For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Laser 181205 |
2.0 |
16.65 |
4.05 |
3.01 |
34 |
21 |
13 |
9 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2.0 |
16.07 |
4.06 |
3.31 |
28 |
21 |
13 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
1.5 |
15.27 |
2.53 |
3.41 |
12 |
22 |
24 |
18 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
Chiron S14 |
2.0 |
14.91 |
4.21 |
3.93 |
21 |
17 |
13 |
10 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
1.5 |
13.36 |
2.44 |
4.78 |
3 |
9 |
15 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
6 |
Fizbo 2 |
2.0 |
12.82 |
2.30 |
5.19 |
1 |
6 |
12 |
17 |
20 |
19 |
16 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
1.0 |
11.98 |
2.29 |
5.83 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
17 |
20 |
22 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
1.0 |
10.95 |
2.28 |
6.54 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
25 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
33.160% |
20.754% |
|
53.914% |
|
12.690% |
8.693% |
6.912% |
5.765% |
|
12.026% |
|
5.616% |
6.410% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
27.926% |
20.563% |
|
48.489% |
|
13.416% |
9.328% |
7.443% |
6.596% |
|
14.728% |
|
6.590% |
8.138% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
21.104% |
17.149% |
|
38.253% |
|
13.130% |
10.027% |
8.526% |
8.141% |
|
21.923% |
|
8.748% |
13.175% |
4. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
12.221% |
22.180% |
|
34.401% |
|
23.023% |
17.378% |
11.237% |
7.368% |
|
6.593% |
|
4.427% |
2.166% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.994% |
9.077% |
|
12.071% |
|
15.009% |
18.152% |
18.258% |
15.684% |
|
20.826% |
|
12.596% |
8.230% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.553% |
5.624% |
|
7.177% |
|
11.551% |
16.648% |
19.203% |
19.014% |
|
26.407% |
|
15.985% |
10.422% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.754% |
3.247% |
|
4.001% |
|
7.391% |
12.453% |
16.709% |
20.234% |
|
39.212% |
|
21.190% |
18.022% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.288% |
1.406% |
|
1.694% |
|
3.790% |
7.321% |
11.712% |
17.198% |
|
58.285% |
|
24.848% |
33.437% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Laser 181205 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Chiron S14 |
|
28.104% |
16.086% |
|
44.190% |
|
11.118% |
8.942% |
7.804% |
7.616% |
|
20.330% |
|
8.403% |
11.927% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
26.891% |
16.553% |
|
43.444% |
|
11.509% |
8.883% |
8.047% |
7.857% |
|
20.260% |
|
8.613% |
11.647% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
18.987% |
24.756% |
|
43.743% |
|
20.505% |
14.065% |
9.732% |
6.198% |
|
5.757% |
|
3.941% |
1.816% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
15.650% |
14.882% |
|
30.532% |
|
11.887% |
10.472% |
9.797% |
9.881% |
|
27.431% |
|
11.189% |
16.242% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
5.245% |
11.846% |
|
17.091% |
|
16.649% |
17.584% |
16.380% |
14.139% |
|
18.157% |
|
11.201% |
6.956% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.743% |
7.608% |
|
10.351% |
|
12.719% |
16.461% |
18.101% |
17.945% |
|
24.423% |
|
15.143% |
9.280% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.896% |
6.323% |
|
8.219% |
|
11.243% |
16.142% |
18.331% |
18.873% |
|
27.192% |
|
16.330% |
10.862% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.484% |
1.946% |
|
2.430% |
|
4.370% |
7.451% |
11.808% |
17.491% |
|
56.450% |
|
25.180% |
31.270% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
28.110% |
18.795% |
|
46.905% |
|
12.423% |
9.352% |
7.820% |
6.879% |
|
16.621% |
|
7.095% |
9.526% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
27.052% |
21.112% |
|
48.164% |
|
14.179% |
10.150% |
8.034% |
6.989% |
|
12.484% |
|
6.290% |
6.194% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
23.580% |
16.351% |
|
39.931% |
|
12.214% |
9.604% |
8.311% |
7.980% |
|
21.960% |
|
8.776% |
13.184% |
4. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
14.367% |
22.775% |
|
37.142% |
|
22.162% |
16.297% |
10.939% |
7.052% |
|
6.408% |
|
4.287% |
2.121% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
3.808% |
9.547% |
|
13.355% |
|
15.393% |
17.937% |
17.563% |
15.342% |
|
20.410% |
|
12.369% |
8.041% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.929% |
6.374% |
|
8.303% |
|
11.937% |
16.457% |
18.674% |
18.489% |
|
26.140% |
|
15.715% |
10.425% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.806% |
3.438% |
|
4.244% |
|
7.783% |
12.765% |
17.207% |
20.277% |
|
37.724% |
|
21.054% |
16.670% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.348% |
1.608% |
|
1.956% |
|
3.909% |
7.438% |
11.452% |
16.992% |
|
58.253% |
|
24.414% |
33.839% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Laser 181205 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
45.426% |
24.157% |
|
69.583% |
|
11.926% |
6.776% |
4.352% |
3.121% |
|
4.242% |
|
2.370% |
1.872% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
27.314% |
24.205% |
|
51.519% |
|
14.328% |
9.372% |
7.100% |
5.911% |
|
11.770% |
|
5.418% |
6.352% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
16.212% |
17.695% |
|
33.907% |
|
15.113% |
11.130% |
9.059% |
8.307% |
|
22.484% |
|
9.104% |
13.380% |
4. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
7.895% |
19.554% |
|
27.449% |
|
25.244% |
19.588% |
12.537% |
8.057% |
|
7.125% |
|
4.718% |
2.407% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
1.847% |
6.939% |
|
8.786% |
|
14.041% |
18.983% |
19.685% |
16.679% |
|
21.826% |
|
13.117% |
8.709% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
0.947% |
4.829% |
|
5.776% |
|
10.953% |
16.902% |
20.206% |
19.481% |
|
26.682% |
|
16.308% |
10.374% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.208% |
1.567% |
|
1.775% |
|
4.961% |
10.004% |
15.395% |
20.721% |
|
47.144% |
|
24.157% |
22.987% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.151% |
1.054% |
|
1.205% |
|
3.434% |
7.245% |
11.666% |
17.723% |
|
58.727% |
|
24.808% |
33.919% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.92h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-15 18:01 |
15 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-15 19:56 |
16 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-15 21:52 |
17 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-15 23:47 |
18 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 01:43 |
19 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 03:38 |
20 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 05:34 |
21 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 07:29 |
22 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-16 09:24 |
23 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-16 11:20 |
24 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-16 13:15 |
25 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-16 15:11 |
26 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-16 17:06 |
27 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 19:02 |
28 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 20:57 |
29 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 22:53 |
30 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 00:48 |
31 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 02:44 |
32 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 04:39 |
33 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 06:35 |
34 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-17 08:30 |
35 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 10:25 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 12:21 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 14:16 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 16:12 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 18:07 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 20:03 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 21:58 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 23:54 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 01:49 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 03:45 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 05:40 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 07:36 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 09:31 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 11:26 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 13:22 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 15:17 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 17:13 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 19:08 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 21:04 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 22:59 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 00:55 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 02:50 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 04:46 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 06:41 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 08:37 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 10:32 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 12:27 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 14:23 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 16:18 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 18:14 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 20:09 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-19 22:05 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 00:00 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 01:56 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 03:51 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 05:47 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 07:42 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 09:38 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 11:33 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 13:28 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 15:24 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 17:19 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 19:15 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:10 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 23:06 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 01:01 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 02:57 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 04:52 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 06:48 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 08:43 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 10:39 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 12:34 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 14:29 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 16:25 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 18:20 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 20:16 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 22:11 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 00:07 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 02:02 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 03:58 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 05:53 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 07:49 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 09:44 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 11:40 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 13:35 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 15:30 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 17:26 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 19:21 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 21:17 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 23:12 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 01:08 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 03:03 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 04:59 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 06:54 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 08:50 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:45 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 12:41 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |