For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Laser 181205 |
2.5 |
15.98 |
3.69 |
3.27 |
27 |
21 |
14 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2.0 |
15.84 |
4.11 |
3.43 |
29 |
19 |
13 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
3 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
1.5 |
15.43 |
2.54 |
3.31 |
14 |
23 |
22 |
17 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
4 |
Chiron S14 |
2.0 |
15.10 |
4.22 |
3.84 |
23 |
17 |
13 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
1.5 |
13.51 |
2.43 |
4.71 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
6 |
Fizbo 2 |
2.0 |
12.96 |
2.30 |
5.14 |
2 |
6 |
12 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
1.5 |
12.18 |
2.22 |
5.74 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
22 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
1.0 |
11.00 |
2.28 |
6.56 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
25 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
28.311% |
18.694% |
|
47.005% |
|
12.498% |
9.153% |
7.488% |
6.904% |
|
16.952% |
|
7.374% |
9.578% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
27.191% |
20.728% |
|
47.919% |
|
14.187% |
10.237% |
8.200% |
6.921% |
|
12.536% |
|
6.179% |
6.357% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
23.303% |
16.714% |
|
40.017% |
|
12.210% |
9.665% |
8.337% |
8.062% |
|
21.709% |
|
8.591% |
13.118% |
4. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
14.342% |
22.789% |
|
37.131% |
|
22.277% |
16.289% |
10.925% |
7.040% |
|
6.338% |
|
4.216% |
2.122% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
3.702% |
9.781% |
|
13.483% |
|
15.322% |
18.120% |
17.675% |
15.221% |
|
20.179% |
|
12.195% |
7.984% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.938% |
6.335% |
|
8.273% |
|
11.855% |
16.553% |
18.768% |
18.504% |
|
26.047% |
|
15.956% |
10.091% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.844% |
3.408% |
|
4.252% |
|
7.833% |
12.716% |
17.055% |
20.411% |
|
37.733% |
|
20.945% |
16.788% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.369% |
1.551% |
|
1.920% |
|
3.818% |
7.267% |
11.552% |
16.937% |
|
58.506% |
|
24.544% |
33.962% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Chiron S14 |
|
28.322% |
15.543% |
|
43.865% |
|
11.141% |
9.019% |
8.190% |
7.712% |
|
20.073% |
|
8.467% |
11.606% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
26.309% |
17.944% |
|
44.253% |
|
12.691% |
10.334% |
8.914% |
8.132% |
|
15.676% |
|
7.667% |
8.009% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
20.448% |
24.661% |
|
45.109% |
|
20.164% |
14.279% |
9.477% |
5.995% |
|
4.976% |
|
3.456% |
1.520% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
13.255% |
12.772% |
|
26.027% |
|
11.339% |
10.517% |
10.172% |
10.622% |
|
31.323% |
|
12.094% |
19.229% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
7.601% |
16.078% |
|
23.679% |
|
19.703% |
18.933% |
15.393% |
11.460% |
|
10.832% |
|
7.233% |
3.599% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.578% |
7.365% |
|
9.943% |
|
12.808% |
16.728% |
18.743% |
17.914% |
|
23.864% |
|
14.871% |
8.993% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.057% |
3.898% |
|
4.955% |
|
8.218% |
12.948% |
17.626% |
20.759% |
|
35.494% |
|
20.489% |
15.005% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.430% |
1.739% |
|
2.169% |
|
3.936% |
7.242% |
11.485% |
17.406% |
|
57.762% |
|
25.723% |
32.039% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
27.716% |
20.092% |
|
47.808% |
|
13.576% |
10.009% |
7.987% |
6.986% |
|
13.634% |
|
6.485% |
7.149% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
25.279% |
19.655% |
|
44.934% |
|
13.772% |
10.269% |
8.539% |
7.464% |
|
15.022% |
|
7.089% |
7.933% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
24.629% |
15.991% |
|
40.620% |
|
11.890% |
9.462% |
8.181% |
7.849% |
|
21.998% |
|
8.681% |
13.317% |
4. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
15.483% |
23.027% |
|
38.510% |
|
21.625% |
15.786% |
10.773% |
6.928% |
|
6.378% |
|
4.204% |
2.174% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
3.589% |
9.909% |
|
13.498% |
|
15.736% |
18.568% |
17.868% |
15.124% |
|
19.206% |
|
11.962% |
7.244% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.062% |
6.316% |
|
8.378% |
|
11.821% |
16.168% |
18.655% |
18.428% |
|
26.550% |
|
15.971% |
10.579% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.875% |
3.449% |
|
4.324% |
|
7.703% |
12.641% |
16.950% |
20.333% |
|
38.049% |
|
20.933% |
17.116% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.367% |
1.561% |
|
1.928% |
|
3.877% |
7.097% |
11.047% |
16.888% |
|
59.163% |
|
24.675% |
34.488% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
42.945% |
23.072% |
|
66.017% |
|
12.226% |
7.280% |
4.936% |
3.731% |
|
5.810% |
|
3.041% |
2.769% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
26.314% |
24.870% |
|
51.184% |
|
15.521% |
9.953% |
7.294% |
5.787% |
|
10.261% |
|
5.171% |
5.090% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
18.416% |
17.280% |
|
35.696% |
|
14.116% |
10.455% |
8.553% |
8.189% |
|
22.991% |
|
8.840% |
14.151% |
4. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
9.180% |
20.392% |
|
29.572% |
|
24.177% |
18.614% |
12.181% |
7.878% |
|
7.578% |
|
4.914% |
2.664% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
1.216% |
5.249% |
|
6.465% |
|
11.343% |
16.429% |
18.499% |
18.296% |
|
28.968% |
|
16.460% |
12.508% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.186% |
5.059% |
|
6.245% |
|
11.353% |
16.611% |
19.199% |
19.135% |
|
27.457% |
|
16.334% |
11.123% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.517% |
2.765% |
|
3.282% |
|
7.442% |
13.236% |
17.440% |
20.116% |
|
38.484% |
|
21.108% |
17.376% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.226% |
1.313% |
|
1.539% |
|
3.822% |
7.422% |
11.898% |
16.868% |
|
58.451% |
|
24.132% |
34.319% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.94h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-15 20:09 |
16 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-15 22:06 |
17 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-16 00:02 |
18 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 01:58 |
19 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 03:54 |
20 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 05:51 |
21 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 07:47 |
22 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-16 09:43 |
23 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-16 11:40 |
24 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-16 13:36 |
25 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-16 15:32 |
26 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-16 17:29 |
27 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 19:25 |
28 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 21:21 |
29 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 23:18 |
30 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 01:14 |
31 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 03:10 |
32 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 05:07 |
33 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 07:03 |
34 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-17 08:59 |
35 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 10:56 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 12:52 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 14:48 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 16:45 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 18:41 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 20:37 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 22:34 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 00:30 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 02:26 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 04:23 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 06:19 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 08:15 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 10:12 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 12:08 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 14:04 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 16:01 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 17:57 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 19:53 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 21:50 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 23:46 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 01:42 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 03:39 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 05:35 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 07:31 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 09:28 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 11:24 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 13:20 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 15:16 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 17:13 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 19:09 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 21:05 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-19 23:02 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 00:58 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 02:54 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 04:51 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 06:47 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 08:43 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 10:40 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 12:36 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 14:32 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 16:29 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 18:25 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 20:21 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 22:18 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 00:14 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 02:10 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 04:07 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 06:03 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 07:59 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 09:56 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 11:52 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 13:48 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 15:45 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 17:41 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 19:37 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 21:34 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 23:30 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 01:26 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 03:23 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 05:19 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 07:15 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 09:12 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 11:08 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 13:04 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 15:01 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 16:57 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 18:53 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 20:49 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 22:46 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 00:42 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 02:38 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 04:35 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 06:31 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 08:27 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 10:24 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 12:20 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 14:16 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |