For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
2.5 |
16.26 |
2.44 |
2.80 |
23 |
27 |
22 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
Laser 181205 |
2.5 |
16.11 |
3.69 |
3.21 |
30 |
19 |
13 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2.5 |
15.85 |
3.67 |
3.36 |
27 |
19 |
14 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
4 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
2.0 |
13.77 |
2.35 |
4.57 |
4 |
10 |
16 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
11 |
5 |
Chiron S14 |
2.0 |
13.50 |
3.89 |
4.75 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
12 |
6 |
Fizbo 2 |
2.0 |
13.12 |
2.28 |
5.07 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
1.5 |
12.32 |
2.21 |
5.70 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
13 |
18 |
21 |
21 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
1.0 |
11.09 |
2.27 |
6.55 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
17 |
26 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
29.911% |
18.871% |
|
48.782% |
|
13.340% |
10.169% |
8.189% |
6.910% |
|
12.610% |
|
6.224% |
6.386% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
27.081% |
19.218% |
|
46.299% |
|
13.585% |
10.262% |
8.333% |
7.436% |
|
14.085% |
|
6.843% |
7.242% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
22.763% |
27.290% |
|
50.053% |
|
21.059% |
13.122% |
7.872% |
4.510% |
|
3.384% |
|
2.462% |
0.922% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
12.574% |
12.210% |
|
24.784% |
|
11.474% |
10.552% |
10.023% |
10.481% |
|
32.686% |
|
12.138% |
20.548% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.130% |
10.449% |
|
14.579% |
|
16.217% |
18.847% |
18.112% |
14.856% |
|
17.389% |
|
10.966% |
6.423% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.252% |
6.739% |
|
8.991% |
|
12.468% |
16.957% |
18.833% |
18.154% |
|
24.597% |
|
15.124% |
9.473% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.929% |
3.685% |
|
4.614% |
|
7.963% |
13.032% |
17.302% |
20.307% |
|
36.782% |
|
20.978% |
15.804% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.360% |
1.538% |
|
1.898% |
|
3.894% |
7.059% |
11.336% |
17.346% |
|
58.467% |
|
25.265% |
33.202% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fizbo 2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
27.739% |
19.078% |
|
46.817% |
|
13.801% |
10.430% |
8.313% |
7.072% |
|
13.567% |
|
6.514% |
7.053% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
24.962% |
18.872% |
|
43.834% |
|
14.289% |
10.893% |
8.678% |
7.288% |
|
15.018% |
|
7.075% |
7.943% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
20.740% |
26.376% |
|
47.116% |
|
21.891% |
14.219% |
8.328% |
4.749% |
|
3.697% |
|
2.618% |
1.079% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
20.490% |
17.211% |
|
37.701% |
|
14.517% |
11.849% |
9.853% |
8.582% |
|
17.498% |
|
8.085% |
9.413% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
3.871% |
9.874% |
|
13.745% |
|
15.867% |
19.315% |
18.271% |
14.900% |
|
17.902% |
|
11.196% |
6.706% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.099% |
4.116% |
|
5.215% |
|
8.871% |
14.135% |
18.555% |
20.201% |
|
33.023% |
|
19.245% |
13.778% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.787% |
3.136% |
|
3.923% |
|
7.211% |
12.313% |
16.839% |
20.651% |
|
39.063% |
|
21.122% |
17.941% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.312% |
1.337% |
|
1.649% |
|
3.553% |
6.846% |
11.163% |
16.557% |
|
60.232% |
|
24.145% |
36.087% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
31.035% |
19.184% |
|
50.219% |
|
13.059% |
9.713% |
7.706% |
6.678% |
|
12.625% |
|
6.234% |
6.391% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
28.088% |
19.134% |
|
47.222% |
|
13.213% |
9.922% |
8.159% |
7.365% |
|
14.119% |
|
6.815% |
7.304% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
23.231% |
27.357% |
|
50.588% |
|
20.873% |
12.717% |
7.742% |
4.564% |
|
3.516% |
|
2.450% |
1.066% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
9.517% |
11.081% |
|
20.598% |
|
11.520% |
11.184% |
11.051% |
11.736% |
|
33.911% |
|
13.493% |
20.418% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.455% |
10.761% |
|
15.216% |
|
16.436% |
18.579% |
17.483% |
14.642% |
|
17.644% |
|
11.181% |
6.463% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.250% |
7.117% |
|
9.367% |
|
12.772% |
17.398% |
19.113% |
18.103% |
|
23.247% |
|
14.542% |
8.705% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.033% |
3.723% |
|
4.756% |
|
8.090% |
13.185% |
17.272% |
20.154% |
|
36.543% |
|
20.570% |
15.973% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.391% |
1.643% |
|
2.034% |
|
4.037% |
7.302% |
11.474% |
16.758% |
|
58.395% |
|
24.715% |
33.680% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fizbo 2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
32.607% |
19.380% |
|
51.987% |
|
12.843% |
9.406% |
7.744% |
6.597% |
|
11.423% |
|
6.091% |
5.332% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
29.321% |
19.575% |
|
48.896% |
|
12.992% |
9.671% |
8.237% |
7.276% |
|
12.928% |
|
6.683% |
6.245% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
23.648% |
27.569% |
|
51.217% |
|
20.656% |
12.675% |
7.718% |
4.579% |
|
3.155% |
|
2.261% |
0.894% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
4.492% |
6.083% |
|
10.575% |
|
7.326% |
8.245% |
9.482% |
11.563% |
|
52.809% |
|
16.582% |
36.227% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.471% |
11.051% |
|
15.522% |
|
16.418% |
18.673% |
17.755% |
14.967% |
|
16.665% |
|
10.916% |
5.749% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.889% |
10.602% |
|
14.491% |
|
16.853% |
20.072% |
19.055% |
15.163% |
|
14.366% |
|
10.004% |
4.362% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.142% |
3.910% |
|
5.052% |
|
8.578% |
13.448% |
17.884% |
21.264% |
|
33.774% |
|
20.333% |
13.441% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.430% |
1.830% |
|
2.260% |
|
4.334% |
7.810% |
12.125% |
18.591% |
|
54.880% |
|
27.130% |
27.750% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.93h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-15 23:53 |
18 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 01:49 |
19 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 03:45 |
20 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 05:41 |
21 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 07:36 |
22 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-16 09:32 |
23 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-16 11:28 |
24 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-16 13:24 |
25 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-16 15:20 |
26 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-16 17:15 |
27 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 19:11 |
28 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 21:07 |
29 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 23:03 |
30 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 00:59 |
31 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 02:54 |
32 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 04:50 |
33 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 06:46 |
34 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-17 08:42 |
35 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 10:38 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 12:33 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 14:29 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 16:25 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 18:21 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 20:17 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 22:13 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 00:08 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 02:04 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 04:00 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 05:56 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 07:52 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 09:47 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 11:43 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 13:39 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 15:35 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 17:31 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 19:26 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 21:22 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 23:18 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 01:14 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 03:10 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 05:06 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 07:01 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 08:57 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 10:53 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 12:49 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 14:45 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 16:40 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 18:36 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 20:32 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-19 22:28 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 00:24 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 02:19 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 04:15 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 06:11 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 08:07 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 10:03 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 11:59 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 13:54 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 15:50 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 17:46 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 19:42 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:38 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 23:33 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 01:29 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 03:25 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 05:21 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 07:17 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 09:12 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 11:08 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 13:04 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 15:00 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 16:56 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 18:51 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 20:47 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 22:43 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 00:39 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 02:35 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 04:31 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 06:26 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 08:22 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 10:18 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 12:14 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 14:10 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 16:05 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 18:01 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 19:57 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 21:53 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 23:49 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 01:44 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 03:40 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 05:36 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 07:32 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 09:28 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 11:24 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 13:19 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |