For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 3.0 | 16.54 | 2.33 | 2.61 | 28 | 28 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.0 | 16.00 | 3.36 | 3.22 | 29 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 3.0 | 15.85 | 3.37 | 3.31 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 4 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 2.5 | 14.15 | 2.26 | 4.36 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 10 |
| 5 | Fizbo 2 | 3.5 | 13.93 | 2.15 | 4.52 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 2.5 | 12.66 | 2.10 | 5.54 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 2.0 | 11.56 | 3.58 | 5.96 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 1.5 | 11.31 | 2.21 | 6.49 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 29 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 28.273% | 19.521% | 47.794% | 14.026% | 10.376% | 8.604% | 7.322% | 11.878% | 6.493% | 5.385% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 27.662% | 18.560% | 46.222% | 13.832% | 10.686% | 8.944% | 7.716% | 12.600% | 6.645% | 5.955% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 27.615% | 27.352% | 54.967% | 19.365% | 11.759% | 7.055% | 4.146% | 2.708% | 2.000% | 0.708% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 5.390% | 12.105% | 17.495% | 17.161% | 19.235% | 17.125% | 13.989% | 14.995% | 10.250% | 4.745% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 5.263% | 6.241% | 11.504% | 7.066% | 8.062% | 9.250% | 11.457% | 52.661% | 15.835% | 36.826% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 4.125% | 10.306% | 14.431% | 16.088% | 19.278% | 19.341% | 15.511% | 15.351% | 10.686% | 4.665% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.230% | 4.198% | 5.428% | 8.530% | 13.577% | 18.251% | 21.908% | 32.306% | 19.995% | 12.311% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.442% | 1.717% | 2.159% | 3.932% | 7.027% | 11.430% | 17.951% | 57.501% | 28.096% | 29.405% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 27.948% | 19.067% | 47.015% | 13.875% | 10.806% | 9.236% | 7.696% | 11.372% | 6.409% | 4.963% | |||||
| 2. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 27.262% | 27.640% | 54.902% | 19.438% | 12.108% | 7.111% | 3.987% | 2.454% | 1.860% | 0.594% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 27.205% | 17.962% | 45.167% | 13.900% | 11.250% | 9.403% | 8.049% | 12.231% | 6.748% | 5.483% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 7.340% | 15.071% | 22.411% | 20.090% | 20.285% | 16.508% | 11.601% | 9.105% | 6.731% | 2.374% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 5.150% | 6.206% | 11.356% | 7.019% | 8.091% | 9.429% | 11.976% | 52.129% | 17.016% | 35.113% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 3.774% | 9.428% | 13.202% | 15.359% | 19.463% | 20.228% | 16.720% | 15.028% | 10.651% | 4.377% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.084% | 3.768% | 4.852% | 7.985% | 12.983% | 18.599% | 23.310% | 32.271% | 20.724% | 11.547% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.237% | 0.858% | 1.095% | 2.334% | 5.014% | 9.486% | 16.661% | 65.410% | 29.861% | 35.549% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 28.592% | 19.586% | 48.178% | 13.697% | 10.262% | 8.395% | 7.331% | 12.137% | 6.553% | 5.584% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 28.013% | 18.761% | 46.774% | 13.686% | 10.464% | 8.805% | 7.497% | 12.774% | 6.804% | 5.970% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 27.380% | 27.794% | 55.174% | 19.186% | 11.583% | 7.130% | 4.010% | 2.917% | 2.156% | 0.761% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 5.308% | 6.359% | 11.667% | 7.219% | 8.093% | 8.962% | 10.846% | 53.213% | 15.504% | 37.709% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 4.539% | 10.912% | 15.451% | 16.561% | 18.888% | 17.868% | 15.151% | 16.081% | 10.681% | 5.400% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 4.394% | 10.423% | 14.817% | 16.554% | 19.330% | 18.568% | 15.298% | 15.433% | 10.595% | 4.838% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.294% | 4.331% | 5.625% | 8.866% | 13.785% | 18.090% | 21.355% | 32.279% | 19.995% | 12.284% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.480% | 1.834% | 2.314% | 4.231% | 7.595% | 12.182% | 18.512% | 55.166% | 27.712% | 27.454% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 29.271% | 19.652% | 48.923% | 13.487% | 10.035% | 8.048% | 6.982% | 12.525% | 6.488% | 6.037% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 28.688% | 18.684% | 47.372% | 13.682% | 10.180% | 8.379% | 7.339% | 13.048% | 6.771% | 6.277% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 26.588% | 27.897% | 54.485% | 19.472% | 11.545% | 7.019% | 4.251% | 3.228% | 2.355% | 0.873% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 5.375% | 6.608% | 11.983% | 7.327% | 7.731% | 8.620% | 10.320% | 54.019% | 14.589% | 39.430% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 4.744% | 11.441% | 16.185% | 17.112% | 19.226% | 17.645% | 14.433% | 15.399% | 10.354% | 5.045% | |||||
| 6. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 2.853% | 7.677% | 10.530% | 12.792% | 16.450% | 17.686% | 17.392% | 25.150% | 15.635% | 9.515% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.494% | 4.758% | 6.252% | 9.283% | 14.059% | 17.754% | 19.852% | 32.800% | 19.994% | 12.806% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.987% | 3.283% | 4.270% | 6.845% | 10.774% | 14.849% | 19.431% | 43.831% | 23.814% | 20.017% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.97h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-16 10:20 | 23 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-16 12:18 | 24 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-16 14:16 | 25 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-16 16:14 | 26 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-16 18:12 | 27 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-16 20:10 | 28 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-16 22:08 | 29 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 00:06 | 30 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 02:04 | 31 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 04:02 | 32 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 06:00 | 33 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 07:58 | 34 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-17 09:56 | 35 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-17 11:54 | 36 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 13:52 | 37 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 15:50 | 38 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 17:48 | 39 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 19:46 | 40 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-17 21:44 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 23:42 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 01:40 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 03:38 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 05:36 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 07:34 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 09:32 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 11:29 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 13:27 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 15:25 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 17:23 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 19:21 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 21:19 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 23:17 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 01:15 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 03:13 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 05:11 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 07:09 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 09:07 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 11:05 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 13:03 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 15:01 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 16:59 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 18:57 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-19 20:55 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 22:53 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 00:51 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 02:49 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 04:47 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 06:45 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 08:43 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 10:41 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 12:39 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 14:37 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 16:35 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 18:33 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 20:31 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 22:29 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 00:27 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 02:25 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 04:23 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 06:21 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 08:19 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 10:17 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 12:15 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 14:13 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 16:11 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 18:09 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 20:07 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 22:05 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 00:03 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 02:01 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 03:59 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 05:57 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 07:55 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 09:53 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 11:51 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 13:49 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 15:47 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 17:45 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 19:43 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 21:41 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 23:39 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 01:37 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 03:35 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 05:32 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 07:30 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 09:28 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 11:26 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 13:24 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 15:22 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 17:20 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |