For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 4.0 | 17.31 | 2.24 | 2.18 | 40 | 29 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.0 | 15.92 | 3.37 | 3.29 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 3.5 | 14.85 | 2.21 | 3.83 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 6 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 3.0 | 14.66 | 3.19 | 4.06 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 5 | Fizbo 2 | 3.5 | 13.99 | 2.14 | 4.50 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 2.5 | 12.65 | 2.10 | 5.54 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 2.0 | 11.72 | 3.60 | 5.87 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 1.5 | 10.90 | 2.16 | 6.73 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 30 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 38.561% | 28.520% | 67.081% | 15.999% | 8.750% | 4.725% | 2.283% | 1.162% | 0.919% | 0.243% | |||||
| 2. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 27.779% | 18.209% | 45.988% | 14.202% | 10.828% | 9.119% | 8.025% | 11.838% | 6.442% | 5.396% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 14.880% | 15.417% | 30.297% | 14.746% | 13.359% | 12.040% | 11.057% | 18.501% | 9.990% | 8.511% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 8.090% | 16.331% | 24.421% | 20.972% | 19.959% | 15.819% | 10.628% | 8.201% | 6.014% | 2.187% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 5.449% | 6.621% | 12.070% | 7.409% | 8.462% | 9.710% | 12.045% | 50.304% | 16.925% | 33.379% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 3.916% | 10.056% | 13.972% | 16.025% | 19.865% | 19.995% | 16.018% | 14.125% | 10.018% | 4.107% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.095% | 3.847% | 4.942% | 8.199% | 13.593% | 18.877% | 22.894% | 31.495% | 20.226% | 11.269% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.230% | 0.999% | 1.229% | 2.448% | 5.184% | 9.715% | 17.050% | 64.374% | 29.466% | 34.908% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 43.437% | 25.914% | 69.351% | 14.457% | 8.277% | 4.402% | 2.244% | 1.269% | 0.950% | 0.319% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 14.521% | 14.377% | 28.898% | 13.073% | 12.378% | 11.974% | 11.262% | 22.415% | 11.097% | 11.318% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 13.380% | 13.930% | 27.310% | 13.044% | 12.259% | 11.823% | 11.671% | 23.893% | 11.707% | 12.186% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 12.329% | 11.965% | 24.294% | 11.482% | 11.236% | 11.435% | 12.125% | 29.428% | 13.331% | 16.097% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 9.655% | 17.266% | 26.921% | 20.347% | 18.612% | 14.866% | 10.355% | 8.899% | 6.260% | 2.639% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 4.969% | 11.165% | 16.134% | 16.437% | 18.899% | 18.405% | 15.207% | 14.918% | 10.193% | 4.725% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.409% | 4.313% | 5.722% | 8.521% | 13.199% | 17.796% | 21.127% | 33.635% | 20.443% | 13.192% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.300% | 1.070% | 1.370% | 2.639% | 5.140% | 9.299% | 16.009% | 65.543% | 26.019% | 39.524% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 41.995% | 26.894% | 68.889% | 15.047% | 8.304% | 4.408% | 2.175% | 1.177% | 0.916% | 0.261% | |||||
| 2. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 22.833% | 18.483% | 41.316% | 14.842% | 12.234% | 10.274% | 8.727% | 12.607% | 7.177% | 5.430% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 14.996% | 15.373% | 30.369% | 14.194% | 12.635% | 11.804% | 10.999% | 19.999% | 10.314% | 9.685% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 8.995% | 16.632% | 25.627% | 20.715% | 19.189% | 15.343% | 10.537% | 8.589% | 6.181% | 2.408% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 5.269% | 6.941% | 12.210% | 8.475% | 9.797% | 11.002% | 13.383% | 45.133% | 17.530% | 27.603% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 4.427% | 10.531% | 14.958% | 15.857% | 19.372% | 19.418% | 15.667% | 14.728% | 10.196% | 4.532% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.241% | 4.128% | 5.369% | 8.346% | 13.272% | 18.288% | 22.062% | 32.663% | 20.181% | 12.482% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.244% | 1.018% | 1.262% | 2.524% | 5.197% | 9.463% | 16.450% | 65.104% | 27.505% | 37.599% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 36.523% | 21.278% | 57.801% | 14.248% | 9.853% | 7.330% | 5.374% | 5.394% | 3.556% | 1.838% | |||||
| 2. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 35.304% | 30.638% | 65.942% | 17.332% | 8.842% | 4.674% | 2.171% | 1.039% | 0.836% | 0.203% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 14.535% | 15.920% | 30.455% | 15.829% | 13.814% | 12.067% | 10.969% | 16.866% | 9.606% | 7.260% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 7.111% | 15.267% | 22.378% | 21.572% | 21.258% | 16.354% | 10.925% | 7.513% | 5.706% | 1.807% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 3.454% | 9.204% | 12.658% | 15.710% | 20.670% | 21.264% | 16.416% | 13.282% | 9.794% | 3.488% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 1.919% | 3.297% | 5.216% | 4.916% | 6.471% | 8.346% | 11.836% | 63.215% | 18.553% | 44.662% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.957% | 3.537% | 4.494% | 8.035% | 13.782% | 19.929% | 24.208% | 29.552% | 19.812% | 9.740% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.197% | 0.859% | 1.056% | 2.358% | 5.310% | 10.036% | 18.101% | 63.139% | 32.137% | 31.002% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.96h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-16 14:08 | 25 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-16 16:06 | 26 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-16 18:03 | 27 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-16 20:01 | 28 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-16 21:59 | 29 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-16 23:56 | 30 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 01:54 | 31 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 03:52 | 32 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 05:49 | 33 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 07:47 | 34 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-17 09:45 | 35 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-17 11:42 | 36 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 13:40 | 37 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 15:38 | 38 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 17:35 | 39 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 19:33 | 40 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-17 21:31 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 23:28 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 01:26 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 03:24 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 05:21 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 07:19 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 09:17 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 11:14 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 13:12 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 15:10 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 17:07 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 19:05 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 21:03 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 23:00 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 00:58 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 02:56 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 04:53 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 06:51 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 08:49 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 10:46 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 12:44 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 14:42 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 16:39 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 18:37 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-19 20:35 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 22:32 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 00:30 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 02:28 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 04:25 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 06:23 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 08:21 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 10:18 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 12:16 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 14:14 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 16:11 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 18:09 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 20:06 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 22:04 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 00:02 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 01:59 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 03:57 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 05:55 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 07:52 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 09:50 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 11:48 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 13:45 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 15:43 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 17:41 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 19:38 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 21:36 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 23:34 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 01:31 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 03:29 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 05:27 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 07:24 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 09:22 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 11:20 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 13:17 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 15:15 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 17:13 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 19:10 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 21:08 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 23:06 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 01:03 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 03:01 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 04:59 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 06:56 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 08:54 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 10:52 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 12:49 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 14:47 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 16:45 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |