For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 4.0 | 17.29 | 2.23 | 2.10 | 45 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 3.5 | 14.87 | 2.20 | 3.77 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 6 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 3.0 | 14.36 | 3.19 | 4.24 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 4 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.0 | 14.15 | 3.19 | 4.38 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 5 | Fizbo 2 | 3.5 | 14.05 | 2.13 | 4.44 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 10 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 3.0 | 13.70 | 3.35 | 4.69 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 2.5 | 12.68 | 2.09 | 5.56 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 1.5 | 10.90 | 2.16 | 6.81 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 43.268% | 26.030% | 69.298% | 14.503% | 8.105% | 4.501% | 2.260% | 1.333% | 1.003% | 0.330% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 14.496% | 14.247% | 28.743% | 13.228% | 12.502% | 11.786% | 11.211% | 22.530% | 11.280% | 11.250% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 13.462% | 13.705% | 27.167% | 12.991% | 12.323% | 11.782% | 11.668% | 24.069% | 11.730% | 12.339% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 12.543% | 12.067% | 24.610% | 11.516% | 11.365% | 11.340% | 11.806% | 29.363% | 13.107% | 16.256% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 9.632% | 17.275% | 26.907% | 20.178% | 18.553% | 15.004% | 10.504% | 8.854% | 6.271% | 2.583% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 4.886% | 11.238% | 16.124% | 16.493% | 18.804% | 18.287% | 15.323% | 14.969% | 10.231% | 4.738% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.407% | 4.336% | 5.743% | 8.450% | 13.122% | 17.971% | 21.284% | 33.430% | 20.306% | 13.124% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.306% | 1.102% | 1.408% | 2.641% | 5.226% | 9.329% | 15.944% | 65.452% | 26.072% | 39.380% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Fizbo 2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 40.467% | 27.130% | 67.597% | 15.646% | 8.599% | 4.537% | 2.330% | 1.291% | 0.986% | 0.305% | |||||
| 2. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 20.622% | 18.186% | 38.808% | 15.799% | 12.846% | 10.568% | 8.893% | 13.086% | 7.368% | 5.718% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 14.453% | 14.627% | 29.080% | 13.666% | 12.797% | 11.760% | 11.029% | 21.668% | 10.821% | 10.847% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 12.188% | 11.984% | 24.172% | 11.841% | 11.443% | 11.443% | 11.931% | 29.170% | 13.115% | 16.055% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 8.543% | 16.143% | 24.686% | 20.248% | 19.318% | 15.403% | 10.908% | 9.437% | 6.726% | 2.711% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 2.419% | 7.110% | 9.529% | 12.616% | 17.589% | 20.153% | 18.605% | 21.508% | 14.271% | 7.237% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.082% | 3.910% | 4.992% | 7.837% | 12.635% | 17.528% | 21.435% | 35.573% | 21.412% | 14.161% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.226% | 0.910% | 1.136% | 2.347% | 4.773% | 8.608% | 14.869% | 68.267% | 25.301% | 42.966% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 45.345% | 25.203% | 70.548% | 13.957% | 7.744% | 4.274% | 2.171% | 1.306% | 1.012% | 0.294% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 15.024% | 14.494% | 29.518% | 12.886% | 12.224% | 11.440% | 11.337% | 22.595% | 11.181% | 11.414% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 12.567% | 12.204% | 24.771% | 11.413% | 11.001% | 11.401% | 11.844% | 29.570% | 12.882% | 16.688% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 10.496% | 12.962% | 23.458% | 13.147% | 12.938% | 12.796% | 12.898% | 24.763% | 12.654% | 12.109% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 9.767% | 17.627% | 27.394% | 19.974% | 18.439% | 14.576% | 10.478% | 9.139% | 6.488% | 2.651% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 5.041% | 11.819% | 16.860% | 17.128% | 19.290% | 18.325% | 14.766% | 13.631% | 9.517% | 4.114% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.458% | 4.549% | 6.007% | 8.801% | 13.176% | 17.852% | 20.979% | 33.185% | 20.286% | 12.899% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.302% | 1.142% | 1.444% | 2.694% | 5.188% | 9.336% | 15.527% | 65.811% | 25.980% | 39.831% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Fizbo 2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 46.400% | 24.627% | 71.027% | 13.645% | 7.657% | 4.310% | 2.163% | 1.198% | 0.924% | 0.274% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 14.434% | 13.896% | 28.330% | 12.910% | 12.174% | 11.942% | 11.777% | 22.867% | 11.511% | 11.356% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 12.388% | 12.098% | 24.486% | 11.072% | 11.489% | 11.794% | 12.257% | 28.902% | 13.206% | 15.696% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 10.373% | 17.924% | 28.297% | 20.029% | 18.377% | 14.774% | 10.197% | 8.326% | 5.985% | 2.341% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 8.927% | 17.359% | 26.286% | 20.681% | 19.709% | 15.404% | 10.397% | 7.523% | 5.490% | 2.033% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.404% | 7.695% | 13.099% | 9.195% | 10.678% | 12.760% | 14.681% | 39.587% | 17.225% | 22.362% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.737% | 5.130% | 6.867% | 9.509% | 14.257% | 18.822% | 21.198% | 29.347% | 18.397% | 10.950% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.337% | 1.271% | 1.608% | 2.959% | 5.659% | 10.194% | 17.330% | 62.250% | 27.262% | 34.988% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.97h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-16 16:24 | 26 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-16 18:22 | 27 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-16 20:20 | 28 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-16 22:19 | 29 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 00:17 | 30 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 02:16 | 31 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 04:14 | 32 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 06:12 | 33 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 08:11 | 34 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-17 10:09 | 35 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-17 12:07 | 36 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 14:06 | 37 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 16:04 | 38 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 18:03 | 39 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 20:01 | 40 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-17 21:59 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 23:58 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 01:56 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 03:54 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 05:53 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 07:51 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 09:50 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 11:48 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 13:46 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 15:45 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 17:43 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 19:41 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 21:40 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 23:38 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 01:37 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 03:35 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 05:33 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 07:32 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 09:30 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 11:28 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 13:27 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 15:25 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 17:24 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 19:22 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-19 21:20 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 23:19 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 01:17 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 03:15 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 05:14 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 07:12 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 09:11 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 11:09 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 13:07 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 15:06 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 17:04 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 19:02 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 21:01 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 22:59 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 00:58 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 02:56 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 04:54 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 06:53 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 08:51 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 10:49 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 12:48 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 14:46 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 16:45 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 18:43 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 20:41 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 22:40 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 00:38 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 02:36 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 04:35 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 06:33 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 08:32 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 10:30 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 12:28 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 14:27 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 16:25 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 18:23 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 20:22 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 22:20 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 00:19 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 02:17 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 04:15 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 06:14 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 08:12 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 10:10 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 12:09 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 14:07 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 16:06 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 18:04 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |