For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
4.0 |
17.43 |
2.22 |
2.03 |
48 |
25 |
13 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
3.5 |
14.98 |
2.21 |
3.72 |
10 |
18 |
21 |
18 |
15 |
10 |
6 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
4.5 |
14.88 |
2.07 |
3.77 |
8 |
18 |
21 |
20 |
16 |
10 |
5 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
3.0 |
14.30 |
3.20 |
4.30 |
14 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
5 |
Chiron S14 |
3.0 |
13.75 |
3.37 |
4.67 |
12 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
12 |
12 |
13 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2.5 |
12.92 |
2.11 |
5.38 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
14 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
7 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
3.0 |
12.63 |
3.01 |
5.45 |
5 |
8 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
18 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
1.5 |
11.10 |
2.16 |
6.68 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
17 |
27 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
46.544% |
24.681% |
|
71.225% |
|
13.382% |
7.775% |
4.304% |
2.135% |
|
1.179% |
|
0.905% |
0.274% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
14.473% |
14.157% |
|
28.630% |
|
12.884% |
12.280% |
12.005% |
11.541% |
|
22.660% |
|
11.409% |
11.251% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
12.483% |
11.916% |
|
24.399% |
|
11.350% |
11.325% |
11.832% |
12.258% |
|
28.836% |
|
13.066% |
15.770% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.270% |
17.951% |
|
28.221% |
|
20.023% |
18.348% |
14.765% |
10.341% |
|
8.302% |
|
5.956% |
2.346% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.688% |
17.253% |
|
25.941% |
|
20.936% |
19.344% |
15.465% |
10.516% |
|
7.798% |
|
5.726% |
2.072% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.378% |
7.707% |
|
13.085% |
|
9.108% |
10.902% |
12.683% |
14.773% |
|
39.449% |
|
17.180% |
22.269% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.804% |
5.104% |
|
6.908% |
|
9.260% |
14.120% |
18.709% |
21.169% |
|
29.834% |
|
18.700% |
11.134% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.360% |
1.231% |
|
1.591% |
|
3.057% |
5.906% |
10.237% |
17.267% |
|
61.942% |
|
27.058% |
34.884% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
45.988% |
24.858% |
|
70.846% |
|
13.705% |
7.835% |
4.342% |
2.138% |
|
1.134% |
|
0.885% |
0.249% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
22.201% |
18.769% |
|
40.970% |
|
14.787% |
12.571% |
10.751% |
8.942% |
|
11.979% |
|
7.034% |
4.945% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.299% |
18.082% |
|
28.381% |
|
20.182% |
18.447% |
14.696% |
10.107% |
|
8.187% |
|
5.858% |
2.329% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.636% |
16.932% |
|
25.568% |
|
20.806% |
20.095% |
15.751% |
10.251% |
|
7.529% |
|
5.543% |
1.986% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.420% |
7.747% |
|
13.167% |
|
9.378% |
10.929% |
12.906% |
14.832% |
|
38.788% |
|
17.305% |
21.483% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.420% |
7.283% |
|
12.703% |
|
8.785% |
10.134% |
12.118% |
14.434% |
|
41.826% |
|
17.522% |
24.304% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.698% |
5.074% |
|
6.772% |
|
9.369% |
14.236% |
19.044% |
21.426% |
|
29.153% |
|
18.340% |
10.813% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.338% |
1.255% |
|
1.593% |
|
2.988% |
5.753% |
10.392% |
17.870% |
|
61.404% |
|
27.513% |
33.891% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
48.598% |
23.440% |
|
72.038% |
|
13.133% |
7.324% |
4.221% |
2.074% |
|
1.210% |
|
0.939% |
0.271% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
11.989% |
12.780% |
|
24.769% |
|
12.327% |
12.502% |
12.717% |
12.626% |
|
25.059% |
|
12.532% |
12.527% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
11.501% |
13.176% |
|
24.677% |
|
13.031% |
12.827% |
13.087% |
12.851% |
|
23.527% |
|
12.254% |
11.273% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.946% |
18.426% |
|
29.372% |
|
19.798% |
17.553% |
14.304% |
10.355% |
|
8.618% |
|
6.128% |
2.490% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
9.127% |
17.686% |
|
26.813% |
|
20.174% |
19.512% |
15.046% |
10.462% |
|
7.993% |
|
5.792% |
2.201% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.703% |
7.938% |
|
13.641% |
|
9.109% |
10.549% |
12.116% |
14.386% |
|
40.199% |
|
17.114% |
23.085% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.770% |
5.229% |
|
6.999% |
|
9.438% |
14.017% |
18.391% |
20.762% |
|
30.393% |
|
18.785% |
11.608% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.366% |
1.325% |
|
1.691% |
|
2.990% |
5.716% |
10.118% |
16.484% |
|
63.001% |
|
26.456% |
36.545% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
45.651% |
25.241% |
|
70.892% |
|
13.945% |
7.850% |
4.167% |
1.991% |
|
1.155% |
|
0.912% |
0.243% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
22.352% |
17.664% |
|
40.016% |
|
14.001% |
12.177% |
10.657% |
9.249% |
|
13.900% |
|
7.850% |
6.050% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.236% |
18.082% |
|
28.318% |
|
20.241% |
18.443% |
14.649% |
10.142% |
|
8.207% |
|
5.855% |
2.352% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.648% |
17.274% |
|
25.922% |
|
20.572% |
19.788% |
15.568% |
10.394% |
|
7.756% |
|
5.696% |
2.060% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
5.731% |
7.989% |
|
13.720% |
|
9.728% |
11.387% |
13.050% |
14.989% |
|
37.126% |
|
16.665% |
20.461% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.407% |
7.501% |
|
12.908% |
|
9.184% |
10.661% |
12.720% |
14.780% |
|
39.747% |
|
17.301% |
22.446% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.633% |
5.024% |
|
6.657% |
|
9.454% |
14.077% |
18.917% |
21.297% |
|
29.598% |
|
18.528% |
11.070% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.342% |
1.225% |
|
1.567% |
|
2.875% |
5.617% |
10.272% |
17.158% |
|
62.511% |
|
27.193% |
35.318% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.99h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-16 18:48 |
27 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 20:47 |
28 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 22:47 |
29 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 00:46 |
30 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 02:45 |
31 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 04:45 |
32 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 06:44 |
33 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 08:44 |
34 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-17 10:43 |
35 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 12:42 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 14:42 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 16:41 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 18:40 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 20:40 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 22:39 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 00:39 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 02:38 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 04:37 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 06:37 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 08:36 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 10:35 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 12:35 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 14:34 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 16:33 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 18:33 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 20:32 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 22:32 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 00:31 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 02:30 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 04:30 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 06:29 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 08:28 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 10:28 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 12:27 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 14:27 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:26 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 18:25 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 20:25 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 22:24 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 00:23 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 02:23 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 04:22 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 06:22 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 08:21 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 10:20 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 12:20 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 14:19 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 16:18 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 18:18 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 20:17 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 22:17 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 00:16 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 02:15 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 04:15 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 06:14 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 08:13 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 10:13 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 12:12 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 14:11 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 16:11 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 18:10 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 20:10 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 22:09 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 00:08 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 02:08 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 04:07 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:06 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 08:06 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 10:05 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 12:05 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 14:04 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 16:03 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 18:03 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 20:02 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 22:01 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 00:01 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 02:00 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 04:00 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 05:59 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 07:58 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 09:58 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 11:57 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 13:56 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 15:56 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 17:55 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 19:54 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |