For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 5.0 | 17.98 | 2.15 | 1.74 | 59 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 4.5 | 15.05 | 2.08 | 3.64 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 5 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 5.0 | 14.83 | 2.01 | 3.82 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 5 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 3.5 | 14.08 | 2.95 | 4.44 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 5 | Chiron S14 | 3.5 | 13.92 | 3.05 | 4.55 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 3.0 | 12.88 | 2.03 | 5.41 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 7 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.0 | 12.65 | 3.00 | 5.43 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 1.5 | 10.61 | 2.10 | 6.96 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 27 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 56.712% | 22.258% | 78.970% | 10.887% | 5.701% | 2.712% | 1.240% | 0.490% | 0.411% | 0.079% | |||||
| 2. | Chiron S14 | 10.627% | 13.511% | 24.138% | 12.746% | 12.799% | 12.988% | 12.977% | 24.352% | 12.720% | 11.632% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.350% | 14.156% | 24.506% | 13.458% | 13.317% | 13.343% | 13.017% | 22.359% | 12.133% | 10.226% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 8.911% | 19.383% | 28.294% | 21.294% | 19.046% | 14.895% | 9.670% | 6.801% | 5.166% | 1.635% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 6.939% | 17.054% | 23.993% | 21.353% | 20.144% | 16.320% | 10.764% | 7.426% | 5.541% | 1.885% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.068% | 8.114% | 13.182% | 9.292% | 10.930% | 12.497% | 15.045% | 39.054% | 17.772% | 21.282% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.289% | 4.804% | 6.093% | 9.077% | 13.921% | 19.234% | 22.094% | 29.581% | 19.177% | 10.404% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.104% | 0.720% | 0.824% | 1.893% | 4.142% | 8.011% | 15.193% | 69.937% | 27.080% | 42.857% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 45.740% | 23.839% | 69.579% | 13.839% | 8.266% | 4.768% | 2.385% | 1.163% | 0.956% | 0.207% | |||||
| 2. | Chiron S14 | 12.728% | 12.294% | 25.022% | 11.679% | 11.751% | 12.380% | 13.489% | 25.679% | 13.431% | 12.248% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 12.178% | 12.874% | 25.052% | 12.537% | 12.356% | 12.922% | 13.421% | 23.712% | 12.829% | 10.883% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 10.448% | 17.656% | 28.104% | 19.392% | 18.341% | 15.133% | 10.780% | 8.250% | 6.152% | 2.098% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 9.614% | 17.212% | 26.826% | 19.943% | 19.016% | 15.441% | 11.083% | 7.691% | 5.830% | 1.861% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.053% | 7.708% | 13.761% | 8.519% | 9.790% | 12.096% | 14.666% | 41.168% | 18.468% | 22.700% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 3.055% | 7.634% | 10.689% | 12.210% | 16.545% | 19.565% | 19.555% | 21.436% | 14.897% | 6.539% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.184% | 0.783% | 0.967% | 1.881% | 3.935% | 7.695% | 14.621% | 70.901% | 27.437% | 43.464% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 54.780% | 23.217% | 77.997% | 11.255% | 5.954% | 2.980% | 1.309% | 0.505% | 0.416% | 0.089% | |||||
| 2. | Chiron S14 | 10.983% | 12.969% | 23.952% | 12.681% | 12.546% | 12.877% | 13.119% | 24.825% | 13.015% | 11.810% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.810% | 13.963% | 24.773% | 13.292% | 13.002% | 12.974% | 13.164% | 22.795% | 12.299% | 10.496% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 9.047% | 18.935% | 27.982% | 21.090% | 18.863% | 14.904% | 9.883% | 7.278% | 5.500% | 1.778% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 7.623% | 17.237% | 24.860% | 20.957% | 19.881% | 16.104% | 10.791% | 7.407% | 5.607% | 1.800% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.335% | 7.974% | 13.309% | 9.212% | 10.780% | 12.482% | 14.726% | 39.491% | 17.547% | 21.944% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.287% | 4.971% | 6.258% | 9.611% | 14.885% | 19.733% | 21.864% | 27.649% | 18.424% | 9.225% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.135% | 0.734% | 0.869% | 1.902% | 4.089% | 7.946% | 15.144% | 70.050% | 27.192% | 42.858% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – LCZero v19.1-11248 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 64.164% | 20.848% | 85.012% | 8.632% | 3.906% | 1.649% | 0.593% | 0.208% | 0.182% | 0.026% | |||||
| 2. | Chiron S14 | 9.372% | 14.212% | 23.584% | 13.414% | 13.318% | 13.333% | 12.951% | 23.400% | 12.188% | 11.212% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 8.792% | 15.039% | 23.831% | 14.149% | 14.035% | 13.560% | 13.023% | 21.402% | 11.771% | 9.631% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 7.505% | 20.404% | 27.909% | 22.609% | 19.800% | 14.799% | 8.882% | 6.001% | 4.554% | 1.447% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.326% | 17.197% | 22.523% | 22.180% | 20.998% | 16.570% | 10.691% | 7.038% | 5.276% | 1.762% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 4.334% | 8.555% | 12.889% | 10.049% | 11.382% | 13.299% | 15.181% | 37.200% | 16.951% | 20.249% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.422% | 3.108% | 3.530% | 7.037% | 12.302% | 18.526% | 23.238% | 35.367% | 22.187% | 13.180% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.085% | 0.637% | 0.722% | 1.930% | 4.259% | 8.264% | 15.441% | 69.384% | 26.891% | 42.493% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.02h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-17 03:42 | 31 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 05:43 | 32 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 07:44 | 33 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-17 09:45 | 34 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-17 11:46 | 35 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-17 13:48 | 36 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 15:49 | 37 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 17:50 | 38 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 19:51 | 39 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 21:53 | 40 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-17 23:54 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 01:55 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 03:56 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 05:58 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 07:59 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 10:00 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 12:01 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 14:03 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 16:04 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 18:05 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 20:06 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 22:08 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 00:09 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 02:10 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 04:11 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 06:13 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 08:14 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 10:15 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 12:16 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 14:17 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 16:19 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 18:20 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 20:21 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 22:22 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 00:24 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 02:25 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 04:26 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 06:27 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 08:29 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:30 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 12:31 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 14:32 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 16:34 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 18:35 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 20:36 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 22:37 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 00:39 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 02:40 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 04:41 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 06:42 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 08:44 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 10:45 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 12:46 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 14:47 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 16:49 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 18:50 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 20:51 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 22:52 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 00:53 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 02:55 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 04:56 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 06:57 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 08:58 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 11:00 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 13:01 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 15:02 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 17:03 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 19:05 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 21:06 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 23:07 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 01:08 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 03:10 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 05:11 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 07:12 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 09:13 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 11:15 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 13:16 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 15:17 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 17:18 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 19:20 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 21:21 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 23:22 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |