For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 5.5 | 17.86 | 2.08 | 1.71 | 61 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 4.5 | 15.07 | 2.06 | 3.59 | 10 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 5 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 5.5 | 14.93 | 1.94 | 3.69 | 8 | 19 | 22 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 5 |
| 4 | Chiron S14 | 4.0 | 13.84 | 2.84 | 4.61 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 5 | Laser 181205 | 4.5 | 13.73 | 2.57 | 4.71 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 3.5 | 13.03 | 1.99 | 5.33 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 19 |
| 7 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.5 | 12.85 | 2.79 | 5.34 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 18 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 2.0 | 10.69 | 2.03 | 7.00 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 58.711% | 21.259% | 79.970% | 10.226% | 5.453% | 2.712% | 1.146% | 0.493% | 0.414% | 0.079% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 10.291% | 20.177% | 30.468% | 20.704% | 17.958% | 13.969% | 9.674% | 7.227% | 5.287% | 1.940% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 9.508% | 13.078% | 22.586% | 12.607% | 12.999% | 13.418% | 13.703% | 24.687% | 13.620% | 11.067% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 8.114% | 19.019% | 27.133% | 21.793% | 19.414% | 14.838% | 9.843% | 6.979% | 5.254% | 1.725% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 6.746% | 11.657% | 18.403% | 13.183% | 14.223% | 14.971% | 14.767% | 24.453% | 13.827% | 10.626% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.066% | 8.598% | 13.664% | 9.919% | 11.399% | 13.270% | 15.229% | 36.519% | 17.326% | 19.193% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.413% | 5.501% | 6.914% | 9.665% | 14.539% | 19.134% | 21.183% | 28.565% | 18.480% | 10.085% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.151% | 0.711% | 0.862% | 1.903% | 4.015% | 7.688% | 14.455% | 71.077% | 25.792% | 45.285% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Fritz 16.10 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 56.857% | 21.654% | 78.511% | 10.819% | 5.748% | 2.997% | 1.354% | 0.571% | 0.486% | 0.085% | |||||
| 2. | Chiron S14 | 9.488% | 12.836% | 22.324% | 12.245% | 12.926% | 13.471% | 13.912% | 25.122% | 14.741% | 10.381% | |||||
| 3. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 9.350% | 19.202% | 28.552% | 20.050% | 18.297% | 14.671% | 10.606% | 7.824% | 5.966% | 1.858% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.236% | 12.065% | 20.301% | 13.043% | 13.540% | 14.559% | 15.121% | 23.436% | 14.540% | 8.896% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 7.553% | 17.048% | 24.601% | 20.736% | 19.876% | 15.991% | 11.013% | 7.783% | 5.910% | 1.873% | |||||
| 6. | Laser 181205 | 7.251% | 11.929% | 19.180% | 13.093% | 14.164% | 14.763% | 15.082% | 23.718% | 14.251% | 9.467% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.211% | 4.960% | 6.171% | 9.168% | 13.183% | 18.703% | 22.264% | 30.511% | 20.594% | 9.917% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.054% | 0.306% | 0.360% | 0.846% | 2.266% | 4.845% | 10.648% | 81.035% | 23.512% | 57.523% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 59.578% | 20.948% | 80.526% | 10.024% | 5.101% | 2.672% | 1.171% | 0.506% | 0.405% | 0.101% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 10.372% | 20.748% | 31.120% | 20.856% | 18.027% | 13.764% | 9.165% | 7.068% | 5.098% | 1.970% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 9.613% | 13.285% | 22.898% | 12.679% | 13.201% | 13.253% | 13.417% | 24.552% | 13.015% | 11.537% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 8.433% | 19.371% | 27.804% | 22.111% | 19.508% | 14.577% | 9.254% | 6.746% | 4.977% | 1.769% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 6.732% | 11.869% | 18.601% | 13.061% | 14.118% | 15.029% | 14.847% | 24.344% | 13.305% | 11.039% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.657% | 7.221% | 10.878% | 9.230% | 11.066% | 13.576% | 16.279% | 38.971% | 18.941% | 20.030% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.506% | 5.819% | 7.325% | 10.163% | 14.981% | 19.011% | 20.687% | 27.833% | 17.501% | 10.332% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.109% | 0.739% | 0.848% | 1.876% | 3.998% | 8.118% | 15.180% | 69.980% | 26.758% | 43.222% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Fritz 16.10 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 60.514% | 20.761% | 81.275% | 9.746% | 5.088% | 2.398% | 1.022% | 0.471% | 0.386% | 0.085% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 10.676% | 21.713% | 32.389% | 21.252% | 17.951% | 13.181% | 8.608% | 6.619% | 4.662% | 1.957% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 9.660% | 13.747% | 23.407% | 12.758% | 13.148% | 13.387% | 13.388% | 23.912% | 12.463% | 11.449% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 9.191% | 20.930% | 30.121% | 22.889% | 18.931% | 13.510% | 8.471% | 6.078% | 4.507% | 1.571% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 6.236% | 10.989% | 17.225% | 12.781% | 14.220% | 15.101% | 15.129% | 25.544% | 13.899% | 11.645% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.790% | 3.955% | 5.745% | 5.936% | 8.017% | 10.814% | 14.354% | 55.134% | 19.987% | 35.147% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.642% | 6.525% | 8.167% | 11.196% | 15.905% | 19.802% | 19.691% | 25.239% | 15.790% | 9.449% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.291% | 1.380% | 1.671% | 3.442% | 6.740% | 11.807% | 19.337% | 57.003% | 28.306% | 28.697% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.99h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-17 10:36 | 35 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-17 12:36 | 36 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-17 14:35 | 37 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-17 16:34 | 38 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-17 18:33 | 39 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-17 20:32 | 40 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-17 22:32 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 00:31 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 02:30 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 04:29 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 06:28 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 08:27 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 10:27 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 12:26 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 14:25 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 16:24 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 18:23 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 20:23 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 22:22 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 00:21 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 02:20 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 04:19 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 06:18 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 08:18 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 10:17 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 12:16 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 14:15 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 16:14 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 18:14 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 20:13 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-19 22:12 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 00:11 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 02:10 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 04:09 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 06:09 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 08:08 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 10:07 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 12:06 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 14:05 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 16:05 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 18:04 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 20:03 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 22:02 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 00:01 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 02:00 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 04:00 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 05:59 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 07:58 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 09:57 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 11:56 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 13:56 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 15:55 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 17:54 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 19:53 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 21:52 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 23:51 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 01:51 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 03:50 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 05:49 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 07:48 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 09:47 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 11:47 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 13:46 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 15:45 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 17:44 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 19:43 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 21:42 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 23:42 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 01:41 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 03:40 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 05:39 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 07:38 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 09:38 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 11:37 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 13:36 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 15:35 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 17:34 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 19:33 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |