For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
5.5 |
17.79 |
2.08 |
1.76 |
60 |
21 |
10 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
4.5 |
14.98 |
2.06 |
3.69 |
9 |
20 |
21 |
18 |
15 |
10 |
5 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
5.5 |
14.79 |
1.93 |
3.84 |
7 |
17 |
22 |
20 |
16 |
11 |
6 |
4 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
4.5 |
13.82 |
2.64 |
4.64 |
8 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
5 |
Laser 181205 |
4.5 |
13.81 |
2.57 |
4.67 |
7 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
14 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
4.0 |
13.80 |
2.84 |
4.64 |
9 |
13 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
3.5 |
12.92 |
1.98 |
5.43 |
1 |
5 |
9 |
14 |
19 |
23 |
21 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2.0 |
10.09 |
1.95 |
7.34 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
10 |
23 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
56.856% |
21.538% |
|
78.394% |
|
10.805% |
5.811% |
2.976% |
1.434% |
|
0.580% |
|
0.485% |
0.095% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
9.679% |
19.230% |
|
28.909% |
|
20.254% |
17.907% |
14.799% |
10.619% |
|
7.512% |
|
5.774% |
1.738% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
9.399% |
12.874% |
|
22.273% |
|
12.376% |
12.746% |
13.294% |
14.010% |
|
25.301% |
|
14.980% |
10.321% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.221% |
12.196% |
|
20.417% |
|
13.088% |
13.544% |
14.530% |
14.974% |
|
23.447% |
|
14.560% |
8.887% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.430% |
17.038% |
|
24.468% |
|
20.534% |
20.031% |
16.177% |
11.249% |
|
7.541% |
|
5.853% |
1.688% |
6. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.074% |
11.912% |
|
18.986% |
|
12.966% |
14.040% |
14.924% |
15.268% |
|
23.816% |
|
14.391% |
9.425% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.300% |
4.939% |
|
6.239% |
|
9.085% |
13.695% |
18.394% |
21.888% |
|
30.699% |
|
20.578% |
10.121% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.041% |
0.273% |
|
0.314% |
|
0.892% |
2.226% |
4.906% |
10.558% |
|
81.104% |
|
23.379% |
57.725% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Jonny 8.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
54.026% |
22.730% |
|
76.756% |
|
11.419% |
6.365% |
3.394% |
1.452% |
|
0.614% |
|
0.519% |
0.095% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
14.772% |
17.547% |
|
32.319% |
|
15.351% |
13.962% |
13.078% |
11.582% |
|
13.708% |
|
9.047% |
4.661% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
8.850% |
17.803% |
|
26.653% |
|
20.061% |
18.692% |
15.452% |
11.089% |
|
8.053% |
|
6.163% |
1.890% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
7.891% |
11.819% |
|
19.710% |
|
12.883% |
14.002% |
14.925% |
15.318% |
|
23.162% |
|
14.537% |
8.625% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.082% |
11.307% |
|
18.389% |
|
13.197% |
14.475% |
15.268% |
15.498% |
|
23.173% |
|
14.112% |
9.061% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.776% |
15.926% |
|
22.702% |
|
20.437% |
19.889% |
16.849% |
11.839% |
|
8.284% |
|
6.470% |
1.814% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.565% |
2.593% |
|
3.158% |
|
5.829% |
10.520% |
16.366% |
22.992% |
|
41.135% |
|
26.783% |
14.352% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.038% |
0.275% |
|
0.313% |
|
0.823% |
2.095% |
4.668% |
10.230% |
|
81.871% |
|
22.369% |
59.502% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Jonny 8.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
57.787% |
21.320% |
|
79.107% |
|
10.272% |
5.658% |
2.986% |
1.382% |
|
0.595% |
|
0.501% |
0.094% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.023% |
19.541% |
|
29.564% |
|
19.996% |
18.036% |
14.325% |
10.257% |
|
7.822% |
|
5.920% |
1.902% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.357% |
12.528% |
|
20.885% |
|
12.923% |
13.568% |
14.452% |
14.770% |
|
23.402% |
|
14.476% |
8.926% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.788% |
17.673% |
|
25.461% |
|
20.988% |
19.233% |
15.738% |
10.752% |
|
7.828% |
|
6.081% |
1.747% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
7.512% |
11.486% |
|
18.998% |
|
12.328% |
13.150% |
14.013% |
15.354% |
|
26.157% |
|
15.839% |
10.318% |
6. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.270% |
12.184% |
|
19.454% |
|
13.103% |
14.040% |
14.532% |
14.845% |
|
24.026% |
|
14.414% |
9.612% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.205% |
4.973% |
|
6.178% |
|
9.458% |
14.138% |
19.006% |
22.171% |
|
29.049% |
|
20.035% |
9.014% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.058% |
0.295% |
|
0.353% |
|
0.932% |
2.177% |
4.948% |
10.469% |
|
81.121% |
|
22.734% |
58.387% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Jonny 8.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
60.168% |
20.226% |
|
80.394% |
|
9.897% |
5.171% |
2.653% |
1.341% |
|
0.544% |
|
0.477% |
0.067% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.112% |
20.158% |
|
30.270% |
|
20.498% |
17.769% |
14.224% |
9.941% |
|
7.298% |
|
5.541% |
1.757% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.425% |
19.238% |
|
27.663% |
|
21.359% |
19.152% |
15.010% |
10.121% |
|
6.695% |
|
5.146% |
1.549% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.023% |
12.523% |
|
20.546% |
|
12.773% |
13.612% |
14.598% |
15.219% |
|
23.252% |
|
14.365% |
8.887% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.051% |
12.312% |
|
19.363% |
|
13.147% |
13.948% |
14.848% |
15.348% |
|
23.346% |
|
13.989% |
9.357% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
3.724% |
6.992% |
|
10.716% |
|
8.261% |
10.370% |
12.981% |
16.842% |
|
40.830% |
|
22.009% |
18.821% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
2.438% |
8.205% |
|
10.643% |
|
13.072% |
17.564% |
20.493% |
19.744% |
|
18.484% |
|
13.436% |
5.048% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.059% |
0.346% |
|
0.405% |
|
0.993% |
2.414% |
5.193% |
11.444% |
|
79.551% |
|
25.037% |
54.514% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.99h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-17 12:43 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 14:42 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 16:42 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 18:41 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 20:41 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 22:40 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 00:39 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 02:39 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 04:38 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 06:38 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 08:37 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 10:36 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 12:36 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 14:35 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 16:34 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 18:34 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 20:33 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 22:33 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 00:32 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 02:31 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 04:31 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 06:30 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 08:30 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 10:29 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 12:28 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 14:28 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:27 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 18:27 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 20:26 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 22:25 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 00:25 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 02:24 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 04:24 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 06:23 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 08:22 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 10:22 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 12:21 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 14:20 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 16:20 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 18:19 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 20:19 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 22:18 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 00:17 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 02:17 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 04:16 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 06:16 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 08:15 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 10:14 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 12:14 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 14:13 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 16:13 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 18:12 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 20:11 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 22:11 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 00:10 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 02:09 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 04:09 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:08 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 08:08 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 10:07 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 12:06 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 14:06 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 16:05 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 18:05 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 20:04 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 22:03 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 00:03 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 02:02 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 04:02 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 06:01 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 08:00 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 10:00 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 11:59 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 13:59 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 15:58 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 17:57 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 19:57 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |