For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
5.5 |
17.69 |
2.09 |
1.83 |
56 |
22 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
4.5 |
14.89 |
2.07 |
3.77 |
9 |
18 |
21 |
19 |
15 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
5.0 |
14.85 |
2.69 |
3.87 |
15 |
18 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
9 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
5.5 |
14.68 |
1.95 |
3.93 |
6 |
16 |
21 |
21 |
18 |
12 |
6 |
5 |
Laser 181205 |
4.5 |
13.79 |
2.57 |
4.67 |
7 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
6 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
4.5 |
13.78 |
2.64 |
4.67 |
7 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
15 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
3.5 |
12.34 |
1.93 |
5.90 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
16 |
24 |
28 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2.0 |
9.99 |
1.95 |
7.38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
21 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
53.933% |
22.926% |
|
76.859% |
|
11.531% |
6.260% |
3.295% |
1.493% |
|
0.562% |
|
0.461% |
0.101% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
14.916% |
17.429% |
|
32.345% |
|
15.231% |
14.139% |
13.070% |
11.645% |
|
13.570% |
|
8.975% |
4.595% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
8.692% |
17.622% |
|
26.314% |
|
20.136% |
18.588% |
15.530% |
11.261% |
|
8.171% |
|
6.229% |
1.942% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
7.873% |
11.866% |
|
19.739% |
|
12.852% |
13.937% |
14.895% |
15.328% |
|
23.249% |
|
14.483% |
8.766% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.155% |
11.514% |
|
18.669% |
|
13.272% |
14.115% |
15.225% |
15.388% |
|
23.331% |
|
14.267% |
9.064% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.770% |
15.744% |
|
22.514% |
|
20.125% |
20.556% |
16.819% |
11.799% |
|
8.187% |
|
6.263% |
1.924% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.621% |
2.660% |
|
3.281% |
|
6.039% |
10.302% |
16.376% |
22.748% |
|
41.254% |
|
26.706% |
14.548% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.040% |
0.239% |
|
0.279% |
|
0.814% |
2.103% |
4.790% |
10.338% |
|
81.676% |
|
22.616% |
59.060% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
61.932% |
21.507% |
|
83.439% |
|
9.216% |
4.262% |
2.014% |
0.799% |
|
0.270% |
|
0.246% |
0.024% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
13.607% |
18.902% |
|
32.509% |
|
15.591% |
14.058% |
12.841% |
11.499% |
|
13.502% |
|
8.966% |
4.536% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
7.304% |
12.579% |
|
19.883% |
|
13.504% |
14.287% |
14.834% |
14.777% |
|
22.715% |
|
14.318% |
8.397% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.265% |
12.296% |
|
18.561% |
|
13.843% |
14.459% |
14.937% |
15.206% |
|
22.994% |
|
13.915% |
9.079% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.863% |
16.622% |
|
22.485% |
|
21.057% |
20.400% |
16.624% |
11.363% |
|
8.071% |
|
6.229% |
1.842% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.508% |
14.891% |
|
19.399% |
|
19.623% |
19.492% |
17.387% |
13.310% |
|
10.789% |
|
8.086% |
2.703% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.493% |
2.920% |
|
3.413% |
|
6.256% |
10.840% |
16.495% |
22.877% |
|
40.119% |
|
25.712% |
14.407% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.028% |
0.283% |
|
0.311% |
|
0.910% |
2.202% |
4.868% |
10.169% |
|
81.540% |
|
22.528% |
59.012% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
50.955% |
23.841% |
|
74.796% |
|
12.497% |
6.888% |
3.536% |
1.616% |
|
0.667% |
|
0.565% |
0.102% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
15.651% |
16.894% |
|
32.545% |
|
14.859% |
14.025% |
13.075% |
11.807% |
|
13.689% |
|
9.026% |
4.663% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
9.477% |
18.592% |
|
28.069% |
|
20.720% |
18.904% |
15.006% |
10.215% |
|
7.086% |
|
5.433% |
1.653% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.326% |
11.397% |
|
19.723% |
|
12.690% |
13.538% |
14.780% |
15.520% |
|
23.749% |
|
14.931% |
8.818% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.608% |
11.336% |
|
18.944% |
|
12.882% |
14.390% |
15.204% |
15.246% |
|
23.334% |
|
14.254% |
9.080% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.332% |
15.195% |
|
22.527% |
|
19.685% |
19.928% |
17.469% |
12.074% |
|
8.317% |
|
6.438% |
1.879% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.616% |
2.531% |
|
3.147% |
|
5.898% |
10.223% |
16.198% |
23.141% |
|
41.393% |
|
26.889% |
14.504% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.035% |
0.214% |
|
0.249% |
|
0.769% |
2.104% |
4.732% |
10.381% |
|
81.765% |
|
22.464% |
59.301% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
40.374% |
24.796% |
|
65.170% |
|
15.622% |
9.497% |
5.652% |
2.801% |
|
1.258% |
|
1.046% |
0.212% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.935% |
21.873% |
|
38.808% |
|
20.494% |
16.796% |
11.930% |
7.497% |
|
4.475% |
|
3.653% |
0.822% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
16.837% |
15.304% |
|
32.141% |
|
14.441% |
14.175% |
13.359% |
11.886% |
|
13.998% |
|
9.349% |
4.649% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
9.080% |
10.579% |
|
19.659% |
|
11.949% |
13.708% |
15.137% |
15.864% |
|
23.683% |
|
14.934% |
8.749% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.179% |
10.435% |
|
18.614% |
|
12.280% |
13.956% |
15.693% |
15.810% |
|
23.647% |
|
14.322% |
9.325% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.860% |
14.382% |
|
22.242% |
|
19.167% |
20.127% |
17.429% |
12.357% |
|
8.678% |
|
6.767% |
1.911% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.694% |
2.401% |
|
3.095% |
|
5.343% |
9.768% |
16.230% |
23.573% |
|
41.991% |
|
27.310% |
14.681% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.041% |
0.230% |
|
0.271% |
|
0.704% |
1.973% |
4.570% |
10.212% |
|
82.270% |
|
22.619% |
59.651% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.00h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-17 15:00 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 17:00 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 19:00 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 21:00 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 23:00 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 01:00 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 02:59 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 04:59 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 06:59 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 08:59 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 10:59 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 12:59 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 14:59 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 16:59 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 18:59 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 20:58 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 22:58 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 00:58 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 02:58 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 04:58 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 06:58 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 08:58 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 10:58 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 12:57 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 14:57 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:57 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 18:57 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 20:57 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 22:57 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 00:57 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 02:57 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 04:57 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 06:56 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 08:56 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 10:56 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 12:56 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 14:56 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 16:56 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 18:56 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 20:56 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 22:55 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 00:55 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 02:55 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 04:55 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 06:55 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 08:55 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 10:55 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 12:55 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 14:55 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 16:54 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 18:54 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 20:54 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 22:54 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 00:54 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 02:54 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 04:54 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:54 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 08:54 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 10:53 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 12:53 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 14:53 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 16:53 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 18:53 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 20:53 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 22:53 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 00:53 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 02:52 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 04:52 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 06:52 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 08:52 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 10:52 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 12:52 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 14:52 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 16:52 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 18:52 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 20:51 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |