For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
6.5 |
17.42 |
1.95 |
1.90 |
52 |
24 |
12 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
5.0 |
15.02 |
2.01 |
3.68 |
9 |
19 |
21 |
19 |
15 |
10 |
5 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
5.0 |
14.82 |
2.69 |
3.89 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
9 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
6.0 |
14.77 |
1.89 |
3.89 |
7 |
16 |
21 |
21 |
17 |
12 |
5 |
5 |
Laser 181205 |
4.5 |
13.81 |
2.56 |
4.68 |
7 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
6 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
4.5 |
13.81 |
2.64 |
4.66 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
15 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
3.5 |
12.34 |
1.92 |
5.92 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
16 |
24 |
29 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2.0 |
10.02 |
1.95 |
7.38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
49.807% |
24.309% |
|
74.116% |
|
13.137% |
6.996% |
3.477% |
1.621% |
|
0.653% |
|
0.551% |
0.102% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
15.995% |
16.452% |
|
32.447% |
|
14.774% |
13.894% |
13.020% |
11.958% |
|
13.907% |
|
9.278% |
4.629% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
9.696% |
18.264% |
|
27.960% |
|
20.222% |
18.669% |
15.373% |
10.376% |
|
7.400% |
|
5.798% |
1.602% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.705% |
11.428% |
|
20.133% |
|
12.440% |
13.501% |
15.020% |
15.509% |
|
23.397% |
|
14.584% |
8.813% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.828% |
10.823% |
|
18.651% |
|
12.795% |
14.148% |
15.298% |
15.544% |
|
23.564% |
|
14.326% |
9.238% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.242% |
15.853% |
|
23.095% |
|
20.183% |
20.609% |
16.890% |
11.568% |
|
7.655% |
|
5.941% |
1.714% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.688% |
2.630% |
|
3.318% |
|
5.685% |
10.215% |
16.256% |
23.283% |
|
41.243% |
|
26.912% |
14.331% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.039% |
0.241% |
|
0.280% |
|
0.764% |
1.968% |
4.666% |
10.141% |
|
82.181% |
|
22.610% |
59.571% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
52.796% |
23.149% |
|
75.945% |
|
12.229% |
6.536% |
3.336% |
1.428% |
|
0.526% |
|
0.454% |
0.072% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
14.841% |
24.503% |
|
39.344% |
|
22.074% |
16.973% |
11.508% |
6.543% |
|
3.558% |
|
2.828% |
0.730% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.768% |
11.132% |
|
19.900% |
|
12.555% |
13.828% |
15.438% |
15.177% |
|
23.102% |
|
14.330% |
8.772% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
7.778% |
10.974% |
|
18.752% |
|
12.897% |
14.780% |
15.974% |
16.012% |
|
21.585% |
|
13.759% |
7.826% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.632% |
10.857% |
|
18.489% |
|
12.675% |
14.305% |
15.625% |
15.384% |
|
23.522% |
|
14.215% |
9.307% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.411% |
16.436% |
|
23.847% |
|
20.852% |
20.759% |
16.568% |
10.916% |
|
7.058% |
|
5.516% |
1.542% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.721% |
2.718% |
|
3.439% |
|
5.901% |
10.677% |
16.712% |
23.849% |
|
39.422% |
|
25.539% |
13.883% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.053% |
0.231% |
|
0.284% |
|
0.817% |
2.142% |
4.839% |
10.691% |
|
81.227% |
|
23.359% |
57.868% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
50.504% |
23.719% |
|
74.223% |
|
12.698% |
7.003% |
3.727% |
1.688% |
|
0.661% |
|
0.560% |
0.101% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
15.814% |
17.552% |
|
33.366% |
|
15.821% |
14.550% |
13.419% |
11.441% |
|
11.403% |
|
8.013% |
3.390% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
9.056% |
11.269% |
|
20.325% |
|
12.230% |
13.229% |
14.784% |
15.464% |
|
23.968% |
|
15.075% |
8.893% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
8.799% |
17.428% |
|
26.227% |
|
20.586% |
19.217% |
15.842% |
10.815% |
|
7.313% |
|
5.733% |
1.580% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.916% |
11.266% |
|
19.182% |
|
12.328% |
13.745% |
14.988% |
15.705% |
|
24.052% |
|
14.549% |
9.503% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.154% |
15.873% |
|
23.027% |
|
19.926% |
20.237% |
16.918% |
11.908% |
|
7.984% |
|
6.299% |
1.685% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.714% |
2.637% |
|
3.351% |
|
5.669% |
10.053% |
15.812% |
22.925% |
|
42.190% |
|
27.410% |
14.780% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.043% |
0.256% |
|
0.299% |
|
0.742% |
1.966% |
4.510% |
10.054% |
|
82.429% |
|
22.361% |
60.068% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
44.843% |
26.685% |
|
71.528% |
|
14.065% |
7.742% |
4.054% |
1.868% |
|
0.743% |
|
0.621% |
0.122% |
2. |
Chiron S14 |
|
27.078% |
21.857% |
|
48.935% |
|
15.941% |
12.314% |
9.595% |
7.183% |
|
6.032% |
|
4.405% |
1.627% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.489% |
11.195% |
|
19.684% |
|
12.760% |
13.762% |
14.638% |
15.665% |
|
23.491% |
|
14.666% |
8.825% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.729% |
11.229% |
|
18.958% |
|
13.046% |
14.089% |
15.158% |
15.496% |
|
23.253% |
|
14.389% |
8.864% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.547% |
14.851% |
|
21.398% |
|
20.160% |
20.677% |
17.408% |
12.138% |
|
8.219% |
|
6.418% |
1.801% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.690% |
11.577% |
|
16.267% |
|
17.723% |
19.845% |
18.967% |
15.103% |
|
12.095% |
|
9.139% |
2.956% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.588% |
2.351% |
|
2.939% |
|
5.562% |
9.693% |
15.741% |
22.667% |
|
43.398% |
|
28.058% |
15.340% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.036% |
0.255% |
|
0.291% |
|
0.743% |
1.878% |
4.439% |
9.880% |
|
82.769% |
|
22.304% |
60.465% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.02h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-17 19:45 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 21:46 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 23:47 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 01:48 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 03:50 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 05:51 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 07:52 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 09:53 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 11:54 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 13:55 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 15:56 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 17:57 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 19:58 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 21:59 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 00:00 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 02:01 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 04:03 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 06:04 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 08:05 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 10:06 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 12:07 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 14:08 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:09 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 18:10 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 20:11 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 22:12 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 00:13 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 02:14 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 04:15 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 06:17 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 08:18 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 10:19 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 12:20 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 14:21 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 16:22 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 18:23 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 20:24 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 22:25 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 00:26 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 02:27 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 04:28 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 06:29 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 08:31 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 10:32 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 12:33 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 14:34 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 16:35 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 18:36 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 20:37 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 22:38 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 00:39 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 02:40 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 04:41 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 06:42 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:43 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 10:45 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 12:46 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 14:47 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 16:48 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 18:49 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 20:50 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 22:51 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 00:52 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 02:53 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 04:54 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 06:55 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 08:56 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 10:57 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 12:59 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 15:00 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 17:01 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 19:02 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 21:03 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 23:04 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |