For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 6.5 | 17.54 | 1.95 | 1.84 | 55 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 6.0 | 15.68 | 1.94 | 3.14 | 15 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 6.0 | 14.85 | 1.89 | 3.83 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 5 |
| 4 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 4.5 | 13.84 | 2.64 | 4.64 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 5 | Chiron S14 | 5.0 | 13.82 | 2.53 | 4.66 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | Laser 181205 | 4.5 | 13.81 | 2.57 | 4.68 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 3.5 | 12.40 | 1.92 | 5.87 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | 27 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 2.0 | 10.07 | 1.96 | 7.34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 52.561% | 23.136% | 75.697% | 12.341% | 6.658% | 3.371% | 1.434% | 0.499% | 0.424% | 0.075% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 14.908% | 24.295% | 39.203% | 22.188% | 17.014% | 11.511% | 6.570% | 3.514% | 2.836% | 0.678% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.757% | 11.414% | 20.171% | 12.285% | 14.043% | 15.089% | 15.374% | 23.038% | 14.369% | 8.669% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 7.837% | 10.848% | 18.685% | 13.013% | 14.785% | 15.981% | 15.935% | 21.601% | 13.727% | 7.874% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 7.672% | 11.022% | 18.694% | 12.617% | 14.542% | 15.586% | 15.262% | 23.299% | 14.062% | 9.237% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 7.490% | 16.303% | 23.793% | 20.984% | 20.543% | 16.625% | 10.996% | 7.059% | 5.539% | 1.520% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.724% | 2.707% | 3.431% | 5.764% | 10.344% | 16.954% | 23.677% | 39.830% | 25.766% | 14.064% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.051% | 0.275% | 0.326% | 0.808% | 2.071% | 4.883% | 10.752% | 81.160% | 23.277% | 57.883% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 55.486% | 22.675% | 78.161% | 11.244% | 5.840% | 3.063% | 1.192% | 0.500% | 0.424% | 0.076% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.863% | 25.813% | 41.676% | 22.176% | 15.950% | 10.570% | 6.151% | 3.477% | 2.773% | 0.704% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 8.248% | 18.019% | 26.267% | 21.979% | 20.550% | 15.108% | 9.683% | 6.413% | 4.977% | 1.436% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 7.953% | 11.289% | 19.242% | 13.339% | 14.918% | 15.765% | 15.124% | 21.612% | 13.700% | 7.912% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 7.168% | 10.568% | 17.736% | 12.542% | 14.242% | 15.170% | 15.494% | 24.816% | 14.736% | 10.080% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.931% | 6.698% | 10.629% | 8.864% | 11.531% | 14.717% | 17.991% | 36.268% | 21.161% | 15.107% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.291% | 4.637% | 5.928% | 8.896% | 14.653% | 20.318% | 23.177% | 27.028% | 18.660% | 8.368% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.060% | 0.301% | 0.361% | 0.960% | 2.316% | 5.289% | 11.188% | 79.886% | 23.569% | 56.317% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 53.390% | 22.895% | 76.285% | 12.094% | 6.458% | 3.212% | 1.417% | 0.534% | 0.461% | 0.073% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.250% | 24.427% | 39.677% | 21.877% | 16.875% | 11.405% | 6.480% | 3.686% | 2.959% | 0.727% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 7.806% | 10.948% | 18.754% | 12.969% | 14.809% | 15.768% | 15.726% | 21.974% | 14.045% | 7.929% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.789% | 11.254% | 19.043% | 12.833% | 14.619% | 16.325% | 16.092% | 21.088% | 13.783% | 7.305% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 7.719% | 11.044% | 18.763% | 12.738% | 14.320% | 15.257% | 15.212% | 23.710% | 14.119% | 9.591% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 7.442% | 16.704% | 24.146% | 20.958% | 20.601% | 16.313% | 10.817% | 7.165% | 5.545% | 1.620% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.564% | 2.472% | 3.036% | 5.647% | 10.153% | 16.836% | 23.783% | 40.545% | 26.528% | 14.017% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.040% | 0.256% | 0.296% | 0.884% | 2.165% | 4.884% | 10.473% | 81.298% | 22.560% | 58.738% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 49.136% | 24.159% | 73.295% | 13.418% | 7.358% | 3.790% | 1.611% | 0.528% | 0.449% | 0.079% | |||||
| 2. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 14.992% | 16.326% | 31.318% | 15.378% | 15.366% | 14.904% | 12.339% | 10.695% | 7.466% | 3.229% | |||||
| 3. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 13.673% | 22.328% | 36.001% | 22.305% | 17.912% | 12.796% | 7.326% | 3.660% | 2.975% | 0.685% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 7.892% | 10.928% | 18.820% | 12.784% | 14.743% | 16.259% | 15.643% | 21.751% | 13.485% | 8.266% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 7.602% | 10.616% | 18.218% | 12.513% | 14.559% | 16.462% | 17.499% | 20.749% | 13.385% | 7.364% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 6.454% | 14.271% | 20.725% | 19.774% | 21.327% | 18.376% | 12.166% | 7.632% | 5.946% | 1.686% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.208% | 1.168% | 1.376% | 3.186% | 6.854% | 12.923% | 22.878% | 52.783% | 32.554% | 20.229% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.043% | 0.204% | 0.247% | 0.642% | 1.881% | 4.490% | 10.538% | 82.202% | 23.740% | 58.462% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.02h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-17 22:01 | 40 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 00:02 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 02:04 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 04:05 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 06:07 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 08:08 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 10:09 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 12:11 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 14:12 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 16:14 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 18:15 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 20:17 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 22:18 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 00:20 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 02:21 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 04:22 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 06:24 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 08:25 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 10:27 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 12:28 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 14:30 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 16:31 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 18:33 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 20:34 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 22:35 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 00:37 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 02:38 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 04:40 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 06:41 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 08:43 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:44 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 12:46 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 14:47 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 16:48 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 18:50 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 20:51 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 22:53 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 00:54 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 02:56 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 04:57 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 06:59 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 09:00 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 11:02 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 13:03 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 15:04 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 17:06 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 19:07 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 21:09 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 23:10 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 01:12 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 03:13 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 05:15 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 07:16 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 09:17 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 11:19 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 13:20 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 15:22 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 17:23 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 19:25 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 21:26 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 23:28 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 01:29 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 03:30 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 05:32 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 07:33 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 09:35 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 11:36 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 13:38 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 15:39 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 17:41 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 19:42 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 21:43 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 23:45 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |