For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 6.5 | 17.56 | 1.95 | 1.82 | 56 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 6.0 | 15.68 | 1.94 | 3.13 | 15 | 26 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 6.0 | 14.85 | 1.88 | 3.82 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 5 |
| 4 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.0 | 13.84 | 2.47 | 4.64 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 5 | Chiron S14 | 5.0 | 13.83 | 2.55 | 4.65 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 6 | Laser 181205 | 4.5 | 13.80 | 2.57 | 4.68 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 4.0 | 12.38 | 1.85 | 5.90 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 2.0 | 10.07 | 1.95 | 7.36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 53.213% | 22.717% | 75.930% | 12.128% | 6.606% | 3.372% | 1.443% | 0.521% | 0.452% | 0.069% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.070% | 24.698% | 39.768% | 21.716% | 16.855% | 11.306% | 6.622% | 3.733% | 3.013% | 0.720% | |||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 7.884% | 11.053% | 18.937% | 13.099% | 14.806% | 15.698% | 15.569% | 21.891% | 13.970% | 7.921% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.810% | 11.010% | 18.820% | 12.858% | 14.711% | 16.051% | 16.102% | 21.458% | 14.065% | 7.393% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 7.795% | 11.205% | 19.000% | 12.639% | 14.249% | 15.474% | 15.026% | 23.612% | 14.200% | 9.412% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 7.599% | 16.625% | 24.224% | 21.222% | 20.315% | 16.344% | 10.678% | 7.217% | 5.610% | 1.607% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.581% | 2.453% | 3.034% | 5.531% | 10.356% | 16.795% | 24.032% | 40.252% | 26.437% | 13.815% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.048% | 0.239% | 0.287% | 0.807% | 2.102% | 4.960% | 10.528% | 81.316% | 22.253% | 59.063% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Laser 181205 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 55.539% | 22.679% | 78.218% | 11.511% | 5.831% | 2.781% | 1.179% | 0.480% | 0.389% | 0.091% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.074% | 26.509% | 42.583% | 22.314% | 15.963% | 10.101% | 5.588% | 3.451% | 2.618% | 0.833% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 8.383% | 18.299% | 26.682% | 22.348% | 20.372% | 14.596% | 9.395% | 6.607% | 4.922% | 1.685% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 8.248% | 11.656% | 19.904% | 13.741% | 15.243% | 15.464% | 14.275% | 21.373% | 12.243% | 9.130% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.592% | 10.998% | 18.590% | 12.788% | 15.032% | 16.112% | 15.350% | 22.128% | 12.937% | 9.191% | |||||
| 6. | Laser 181205 | 3.322% | 6.514% | 9.836% | 9.268% | 12.081% | 14.844% | 17.049% | 36.922% | 18.622% | 18.300% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.737% | 2.850% | 3.587% | 6.549% | 11.855% | 18.253% | 22.625% | 37.131% | 22.211% | 14.920% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.105% | 0.495% | 0.600% | 1.481% | 3.623% | 7.849% | 14.539% | 71.908% | 26.058% | 45.850% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 53.974% | 22.625% | 76.599% | 11.907% | 6.379% | 3.153% | 1.408% | 0.554% | 0.473% | 0.081% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.320% | 25.055% | 40.375% | 21.766% | 16.610% | 11.235% | 6.404% | 3.610% | 2.950% | 0.660% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.069% | 11.164% | 19.233% | 13.022% | 14.581% | 15.987% | 15.745% | 21.432% | 13.569% | 7.863% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 7.996% | 11.215% | 19.211% | 13.200% | 14.705% | 15.653% | 15.431% | 21.800% | 13.663% | 8.137% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 7.590% | 16.792% | 24.382% | 21.083% | 20.534% | 16.247% | 10.591% | 7.163% | 5.570% | 1.593% | |||||
| 6. | Laser 181205 | 6.403% | 10.437% | 16.840% | 12.514% | 14.892% | 16.159% | 16.173% | 23.422% | 15.051% | 8.371% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.614% | 2.485% | 3.099% | 5.788% | 10.426% | 16.833% | 23.797% | 40.057% | 25.884% | 14.173% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.034% | 0.227% | 0.261% | 0.720% | 1.873% | 4.733% | 10.451% | 81.962% | 22.840% | 59.122% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Laser 181205 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 50.109% | 23.628% | 73.737% | 12.931% | 7.250% | 3.780% | 1.679% | 0.623% | 0.554% | 0.069% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 14.176% | 22.452% | 36.628% | 21.622% | 17.678% | 12.642% | 7.375% | 4.055% | 3.395% | 0.660% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 12.788% | 15.588% | 28.376% | 15.521% | 15.514% | 14.941% | 12.838% | 12.810% | 9.862% | 2.948% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.822% | 11.059% | 18.881% | 12.620% | 14.411% | 16.476% | 16.931% | 20.681% | 14.508% | 6.173% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 7.726% | 10.414% | 18.140% | 12.463% | 14.332% | 16.216% | 16.966% | 21.883% | 15.310% | 6.573% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 6.863% | 14.697% | 21.560% | 19.746% | 20.963% | 17.714% | 12.324% | 7.693% | 6.350% | 1.343% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.504% | 2.075% | 2.579% | 4.790% | 8.913% | 15.653% | 24.747% | 43.318% | 30.902% | 12.416% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.012% | 0.087% | 0.099% | 0.307% | 0.939% | 2.578% | 7.140% | 88.937% | 19.119% | 69.818% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.02h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-17 23:51 | 41 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 01:52 | 42 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-18 03:53 | 43 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 05:54 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 07:55 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 09:56 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 11:58 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 13:59 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 16:00 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 18:01 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 20:02 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 22:03 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 00:05 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 02:06 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 04:07 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 06:08 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 08:09 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 10:10 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 12:12 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 14:13 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 16:14 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 18:15 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 20:16 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 22:17 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 00:19 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 02:20 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 04:21 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 06:22 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 08:23 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:24 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 12:25 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 14:27 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 16:28 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 18:29 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 20:30 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 22:31 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 00:32 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 02:34 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 04:35 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 06:36 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 08:37 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 10:38 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 12:39 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 14:41 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 16:42 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 18:43 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 20:44 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 22:45 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 00:46 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 02:48 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 04:49 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 06:50 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 08:51 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 10:52 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 12:53 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 14:54 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 16:56 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 18:57 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 20:58 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 22:59 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 01:00 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 03:01 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 05:03 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 07:04 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 09:05 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 11:06 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 13:07 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 15:08 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 17:10 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 19:11 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 21:12 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 23:13 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |