For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 6.5 | 17.47 | 1.95 | 1.88 | 54 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 6.0 | 15.62 | 1.93 | 3.17 | 15 | 25 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 6.5 | 14.76 | 1.84 | 3.90 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 5 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 6.0 | 14.54 | 2.29 | 4.09 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 9 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.0 | 13.89 | 2.47 | 4.60 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 5.0 | 13.82 | 2.54 | 4.66 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 4.0 | 11.86 | 1.79 | 6.30 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 10.04 | 1.83 | 7.41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 52.024% | 22.934% | 74.958% | 12.407% | 6.919% | 3.579% | 1.579% | 0.558% | 0.484% | 0.074% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 14.658% | 23.509% | 38.167% | 21.749% | 17.280% | 12.006% | 6.981% | 3.817% | 3.111% | 0.706% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.072% | 14.609% | 24.681% | 15.972% | 16.741% | 16.509% | 13.577% | 12.520% | 8.903% | 3.617% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 8.180% | 11.036% | 19.216% | 12.773% | 14.646% | 15.847% | 16.207% | 21.311% | 13.485% | 7.826% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.177% | 11.363% | 19.540% | 12.687% | 14.432% | 16.680% | 16.329% | 20.332% | 13.039% | 7.293% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 6.632% | 15.215% | 21.847% | 20.550% | 21.481% | 17.564% | 11.584% | 6.974% | 5.611% | 1.363% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.236% | 1.203% | 1.439% | 3.335% | 6.898% | 13.653% | 23.244% | 51.431% | 31.908% | 19.523% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.021% | 0.131% | 0.152% | 0.527% | 1.603% | 4.162% | 10.499% | 83.057% | 23.459% | 59.598% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 50.163% | 23.234% | 73.397% | 12.776% | 7.418% | 3.902% | 1.833% | 0.674% | 0.572% | 0.102% | |||||
| 2. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 14.241% | 16.905% | 31.146% | 15.889% | 15.224% | 14.467% | 12.360% | 10.914% | 7.826% | 3.088% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 11.281% | 15.221% | 26.502% | 15.788% | 15.804% | 15.662% | 13.750% | 12.494% | 8.975% | 3.519% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 8.791% | 17.312% | 26.103% | 20.402% | 19.706% | 16.587% | 10.694% | 6.508% | 5.112% | 1.396% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 8.517% | 10.756% | 19.273% | 12.107% | 13.402% | 15.485% | 16.963% | 22.770% | 14.513% | 8.257% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 6.693% | 15.168% | 21.861% | 19.270% | 20.265% | 17.971% | 12.659% | 7.974% | 6.456% | 1.518% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.290% | 1.257% | 1.547% | 3.274% | 6.765% | 12.262% | 22.287% | 53.865% | 33.550% | 20.315% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.024% | 0.147% | 0.171% | 0.494% | 1.416% | 3.664% | 9.454% | 84.801% | 22.996% | 61.805% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 52.730% | 22.664% | 75.394% | 12.079% | 6.845% | 3.510% | 1.587% | 0.585% | 0.499% | 0.086% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 14.413% | 23.857% | 38.270% | 22.479% | 17.457% | 11.831% | 6.481% | 3.482% | 2.851% | 0.631% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.389% | 14.730% | 25.119% | 15.704% | 16.365% | 16.450% | 13.718% | 12.644% | 8.901% | 3.743% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 8.316% | 11.255% | 19.571% | 12.483% | 14.396% | 16.136% | 16.259% | 21.155% | 13.400% | 7.755% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.075% | 10.620% | 17.695% | 12.899% | 15.278% | 17.239% | 17.293% | 19.596% | 13.270% | 6.326% | |||||
| 6. | Fizbo 2 | 6.816% | 15.443% | 22.259% | 20.453% | 21.094% | 17.500% | 11.497% | 7.197% | 5.768% | 1.429% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.236% | 1.274% | 1.510% | 3.369% | 6.952% | 13.199% | 23.063% | 51.907% | 32.120% | 19.787% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.025% | 0.157% | 0.182% | 0.534% | 1.613% | 4.135% | 10.102% | 83.434% | 23.191% | 60.243% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 52.210% | 23.899% | 76.109% | 12.601% | 6.512% | 3.076% | 1.256% | 0.446% | 0.391% | 0.055% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 21.578% | 29.744% | 51.322% | 22.064% | 14.169% | 7.697% | 3.307% | 1.441% | 1.190% | 0.251% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.193% | 13.586% | 22.779% | 16.298% | 18.057% | 17.535% | 13.199% | 12.132% | 8.330% | 3.802% | |||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 7.514% | 10.662% | 18.176% | 13.611% | 15.780% | 17.201% | 15.622% | 19.610% | 12.417% | 7.193% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 6.236% | 14.986% | 21.222% | 22.492% | 22.847% | 17.208% | 10.159% | 6.072% | 4.876% | 1.196% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 2.992% | 5.830% | 8.822% | 9.078% | 13.250% | 17.703% | 20.168% | 30.979% | 18.923% | 12.056% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.251% | 1.128% | 1.379% | 3.338% | 7.613% | 14.723% | 24.873% | 48.074% | 29.754% | 18.320% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.026% | 0.165% | 0.191% | 0.518% | 1.772% | 4.857% | 11.416% | 81.246% | 24.119% | 57.127% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.01h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-18 05:18 | 44 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 07:19 | 45 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 09:19 | 46 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-18 11:19 | 47 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-18 13:20 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 15:20 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 17:20 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 19:21 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 21:21 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-18 23:21 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 01:22 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 03:22 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 05:22 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 07:23 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 09:23 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 11:23 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 13:24 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 15:24 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 17:24 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 19:25 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 21:25 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-19 23:25 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 01:26 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 03:26 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 05:26 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 07:27 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 09:27 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 11:27 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 13:28 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 15:28 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 17:28 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 19:29 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 21:29 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 23:29 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 01:30 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 03:30 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 05:30 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 07:31 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 09:31 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 11:31 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 13:32 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 15:32 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 17:32 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 19:33 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 21:33 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 23:33 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 01:34 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 03:34 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 05:34 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 07:35 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 09:35 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 11:35 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 13:36 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 15:36 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 17:36 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 19:37 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 21:37 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 23:37 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 01:38 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 03:38 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 05:38 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 07:39 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 09:39 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 11:39 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 13:40 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 15:40 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 17:40 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 19:41 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 21:41 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |