For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
7.5 |
18.08 |
1.87 |
1.57 |
66 |
20 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
6.5 |
15.71 |
1.87 |
3.09 |
12 |
29 |
24 |
17 |
11 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
6.5 |
14.83 |
1.83 |
3.82 |
5 |
17 |
23 |
22 |
17 |
10 |
4 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
6.0 |
14.57 |
2.30 |
4.04 |
9 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
5.5 |
13.89 |
2.33 |
4.59 |
5 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
5.0 |
12.94 |
2.40 |
5.31 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
20 |
19 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
4.0 |
11.91 |
1.79 |
6.21 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
26 |
31 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
10.07 |
1.83 |
7.36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
23 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
63.630% |
20.369% |
|
83.999% |
|
9.103% |
4.336% |
1.766% |
0.603% |
|
0.193% |
|
0.175% |
0.018% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.709% |
26.995% |
|
39.704% |
|
23.418% |
17.316% |
11.206% |
5.597% |
|
2.759% |
|
2.238% |
0.521% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.910% |
15.544% |
|
24.454% |
|
16.931% |
17.555% |
16.391% |
12.706% |
|
11.963% |
|
8.405% |
3.558% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.973% |
11.271% |
|
17.244% |
|
13.938% |
16.308% |
18.301% |
15.979% |
|
18.230% |
|
12.189% |
6.041% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.880% |
16.922% |
|
22.802% |
|
22.130% |
21.738% |
16.861% |
10.380% |
|
6.089% |
|
4.908% |
1.181% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
2.646% |
7.430% |
|
10.076% |
|
10.335% |
13.525% |
16.693% |
19.037% |
|
30.334% |
|
18.172% |
12.162% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.229% |
1.308% |
|
1.537% |
|
3.577% |
7.464% |
14.254% |
24.541% |
|
48.627% |
|
30.090% |
18.537% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.023% |
0.161% |
|
0.184% |
|
0.568% |
1.758% |
4.528% |
11.157% |
|
81.805% |
|
23.823% |
57.982% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
62.968% |
20.489% |
|
83.457% |
|
9.534% |
4.447% |
1.876% |
0.552% |
|
0.134% |
|
0.113% |
0.021% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.448% |
26.460% |
|
38.908% |
|
23.671% |
18.287% |
11.336% |
5.337% |
|
2.461% |
|
2.008% |
0.453% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.833% |
15.404% |
|
24.237% |
|
16.828% |
18.442% |
17.184% |
12.206% |
|
11.103% |
|
7.689% |
3.414% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.399% |
21.755% |
|
30.154% |
|
25.524% |
21.242% |
13.883% |
6.380% |
|
2.817% |
|
2.373% |
0.444% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
6.177% |
11.152% |
|
17.329% |
|
14.050% |
17.230% |
18.905% |
15.489% |
|
16.997% |
|
11.262% |
5.735% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.934% |
3.267% |
|
4.201% |
|
6.168% |
10.403% |
15.897% |
21.198% |
|
42.133% |
|
23.450% |
18.683% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.219% |
1.311% |
|
1.530% |
|
3.632% |
8.103% |
15.848% |
26.350% |
|
44.537% |
|
27.589% |
16.948% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.022% |
0.162% |
|
0.184% |
|
0.593% |
1.846% |
5.071% |
12.488% |
|
79.818% |
|
25.516% |
54.302% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
64.236% |
20.281% |
|
84.517% |
|
8.778% |
4.165% |
1.733% |
0.613% |
|
0.194% |
|
0.177% |
0.017% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.764% |
27.303% |
|
40.067% |
|
23.378% |
17.381% |
10.651% |
5.631% |
|
2.892% |
|
2.355% |
0.537% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
9.197% |
16.169% |
|
25.366% |
|
16.829% |
16.943% |
16.100% |
12.653% |
|
12.109% |
|
8.476% |
3.633% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
6.100% |
11.504% |
|
17.604% |
|
13.992% |
15.696% |
17.675% |
16.522% |
|
18.511% |
|
12.444% |
6.067% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.087% |
16.017% |
|
21.104% |
|
22.252% |
22.348% |
17.672% |
10.538% |
|
6.086% |
|
4.967% |
1.119% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
2.379% |
7.232% |
|
9.611% |
|
10.565% |
14.258% |
17.780% |
20.078% |
|
27.708% |
|
17.457% |
10.251% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.217% |
1.338% |
|
1.555% |
|
3.604% |
7.474% |
14.077% |
23.625% |
|
49.665% |
|
30.922% |
18.743% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.020% |
0.156% |
|
0.176% |
|
0.602% |
1.735% |
4.312% |
10.340% |
|
82.835% |
|
23.202% |
59.633% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
63.610% |
20.565% |
|
84.175% |
|
9.045% |
4.116% |
1.784% |
0.656% |
|
0.224% |
|
0.202% |
0.022% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.644% |
27.242% |
|
39.886% |
|
23.133% |
16.877% |
10.917% |
6.028% |
|
3.159% |
|
2.590% |
0.569% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
9.046% |
15.916% |
|
24.962% |
|
16.780% |
16.673% |
15.875% |
13.169% |
|
12.541% |
|
8.821% |
3.720% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
6.016% |
11.356% |
|
17.372% |
|
13.980% |
15.313% |
16.781% |
17.179% |
|
19.375% |
|
13.126% |
6.249% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.419% |
12.934% |
|
18.353% |
|
15.758% |
16.758% |
16.908% |
15.742% |
|
16.481% |
|
11.267% |
5.214% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.038% |
10.626% |
|
13.664% |
|
17.484% |
21.632% |
20.823% |
15.568% |
|
10.829% |
|
8.514% |
2.315% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.200% |
1.237% |
|
1.437% |
|
3.226% |
7.030% |
12.972% |
22.146% |
|
53.189% |
|
33.047% |
20.142% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.027% |
0.124% |
|
0.151% |
|
0.594% |
1.601% |
3.940% |
9.512% |
|
84.202% |
|
22.433% |
61.769% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-18 10:20 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 12:21 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 14:23 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 16:25 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 18:27 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 20:28 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 22:30 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 00:32 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 02:33 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 04:35 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 06:37 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 08:38 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 10:40 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 12:42 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 14:43 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:45 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 18:47 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 20:48 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 22:50 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 00:52 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 02:53 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 04:55 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 06:57 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 08:58 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 11:00 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 13:02 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 15:03 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 17:05 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 19:07 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 21:08 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 23:10 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 01:12 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 03:14 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 05:15 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 07:17 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 09:19 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 11:20 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 13:22 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 15:24 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 17:25 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 19:27 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 21:29 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 23:30 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 01:32 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 03:34 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 05:35 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 07:37 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 09:39 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 11:40 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 13:42 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 15:44 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 17:45 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 19:47 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 21:49 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 23:50 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 01:52 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 03:54 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 05:55 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 07:57 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 09:59 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:00 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 14:02 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 16:04 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 18:06 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 20:07 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 22:09 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 00:11 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |