For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
7.5 |
18.08 |
1.87 |
1.56 |
67 |
20 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
6.5 |
15.71 |
1.88 |
3.08 |
13 |
29 |
24 |
17 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
7.0 |
14.75 |
1.76 |
3.86 |
5 |
16 |
23 |
23 |
18 |
10 |
4 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
6.0 |
14.56 |
2.30 |
4.04 |
9 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
5.5 |
13.89 |
2.32 |
4.58 |
5 |
11 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
16 |
12 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
5.5 |
13.06 |
2.25 |
5.25 |
2 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
21 |
19 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
4.0 |
11.90 |
1.79 |
6.24 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
14 |
25 |
32 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
10.05 |
1.82 |
7.39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
64.258% |
20.253% |
|
84.511% |
|
8.900% |
4.094% |
1.719% |
0.616% |
|
0.160% |
|
0.138% |
0.022% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.718% |
27.746% |
|
40.464% |
|
22.941% |
17.165% |
10.778% |
5.765% |
|
2.887% |
|
2.375% |
0.512% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.931% |
15.857% |
|
24.788% |
|
16.772% |
17.377% |
15.904% |
12.880% |
|
12.279% |
|
8.639% |
3.640% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
6.280% |
11.524% |
|
17.804% |
|
14.078% |
15.851% |
17.474% |
16.265% |
|
18.528% |
|
12.390% |
6.138% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.137% |
15.838% |
|
20.975% |
|
22.368% |
22.243% |
17.771% |
10.516% |
|
6.127% |
|
4.991% |
1.136% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
2.427% |
7.258% |
|
9.685% |
|
10.614% |
14.098% |
18.036% |
19.897% |
|
27.670% |
|
17.540% |
10.130% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.224% |
1.366% |
|
1.590% |
|
3.732% |
7.480% |
13.991% |
23.540% |
|
49.667% |
|
30.654% |
19.013% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.025% |
0.158% |
|
0.183% |
|
0.595% |
1.692% |
4.327% |
10.521% |
|
82.682% |
|
23.273% |
59.409% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
72.619% |
17.613% |
|
90.232% |
|
6.267% |
2.420% |
0.785% |
0.242% |
|
0.054% |
|
0.049% |
0.005% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.128% |
30.128% |
|
41.256% |
|
24.216% |
16.659% |
10.100% |
5.164% |
|
2.605% |
|
2.135% |
0.470% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.644% |
16.809% |
|
24.453% |
|
17.476% |
17.581% |
15.985% |
12.415% |
|
12.090% |
|
8.382% |
3.708% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.187% |
17.498% |
|
21.685% |
|
23.826% |
22.910% |
16.636% |
9.424% |
|
5.519% |
|
4.403% |
1.116% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.267% |
8.500% |
|
10.767% |
|
12.043% |
15.168% |
18.585% |
18.851% |
|
24.586% |
|
15.848% |
8.738% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
1.971% |
7.818% |
|
9.789% |
|
11.600% |
15.372% |
18.420% |
18.641% |
|
26.178% |
|
16.527% |
9.651% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.160% |
1.488% |
|
1.648% |
|
3.949% |
8.078% |
14.807% |
24.010% |
|
47.508% |
|
29.308% |
18.200% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.024% |
0.146% |
|
0.170% |
|
0.623% |
1.812% |
4.682% |
11.253% |
|
81.460% |
|
23.348% |
58.112% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
60.992% |
21.561% |
|
82.553% |
|
9.863% |
4.661% |
2.039% |
0.690% |
|
0.194% |
|
0.164% |
0.030% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
13.418% |
25.684% |
|
39.102% |
|
22.646% |
17.437% |
11.549% |
6.116% |
|
3.150% |
|
2.573% |
0.577% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
10.108% |
15.759% |
|
25.867% |
|
16.314% |
16.561% |
15.821% |
12.994% |
|
12.443% |
|
8.792% |
3.651% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
6.877% |
13.351% |
|
20.228% |
|
15.632% |
16.856% |
17.544% |
15.188% |
|
14.552% |
|
10.219% |
4.333% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.545% |
15.213% |
|
20.758% |
|
21.225% |
22.293% |
18.022% |
11.235% |
|
6.467% |
|
5.235% |
1.232% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
2.780% |
6.975% |
|
9.755% |
|
10.295% |
13.570% |
17.365% |
20.213% |
|
28.802% |
|
18.346% |
10.456% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.252% |
1.308% |
|
1.560% |
|
3.429% |
7.001% |
13.396% |
23.226% |
|
51.388% |
|
31.435% |
19.953% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.028% |
0.149% |
|
0.177% |
|
0.596% |
1.621% |
4.264% |
10.338% |
|
83.004% |
|
23.236% |
59.768% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
48.274% |
24.326% |
|
72.600% |
|
13.957% |
7.693% |
3.878% |
1.425% |
|
0.447% |
|
0.391% |
0.056% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
15.177% |
17.052% |
|
32.229% |
|
16.992% |
16.138% |
14.924% |
11.239% |
|
8.478% |
|
6.393% |
2.085% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
14.915% |
22.510% |
|
37.425% |
|
21.895% |
17.791% |
12.436% |
6.944% |
|
3.509% |
|
2.827% |
0.682% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
11.828% |
14.487% |
|
26.315% |
|
15.255% |
16.113% |
16.145% |
13.631% |
|
12.541% |
|
8.965% |
3.576% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.376% |
13.841% |
|
20.217% |
|
19.109% |
21.687% |
19.587% |
12.452% |
|
6.948% |
|
5.660% |
1.288% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
3.120% |
6.483% |
|
9.603% |
|
9.215% |
12.735% |
16.900% |
21.471% |
|
30.076% |
|
19.502% |
10.574% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.283% |
1.171% |
|
1.454% |
|
3.069% |
6.424% |
12.317% |
23.063% |
|
53.673% |
|
33.325% |
20.348% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.027% |
0.130% |
|
0.157% |
|
0.508% |
1.419% |
3.813% |
9.775% |
|
84.328% |
|
22.937% |
61.391% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-18 12:32 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 14:34 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 16:36 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 18:38 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 20:40 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 22:42 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 00:44 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 02:46 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 04:48 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 06:49 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 08:51 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 10:53 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 12:55 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 14:57 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:59 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 19:01 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 21:03 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 23:05 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 01:07 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 03:09 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 05:10 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 07:12 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 09:14 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 11:16 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 13:18 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 15:20 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 17:22 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 19:24 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 21:26 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 23:28 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 01:30 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 03:31 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 05:33 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 07:35 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 09:37 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 11:39 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 13:41 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 15:43 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 17:45 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 19:47 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 21:49 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 23:51 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 01:53 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 03:54 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 05:56 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 07:58 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 10:00 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 12:02 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 14:04 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 16:06 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 18:08 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 20:10 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 22:12 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 00:14 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 02:15 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 04:17 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 06:19 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 08:21 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 10:23 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:25 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 14:27 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 16:29 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 18:31 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 20:33 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 22:35 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 00:36 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |