For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 8.0 | 17.85 | 1.80 | 1.62 | 64 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 6.5 | 15.65 | 1.88 | 3.13 | 13 | 28 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 7.0 | 14.73 | 1.76 | 3.90 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 4 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 6.0 | 14.58 | 2.30 | 4.04 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 8 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.0 | 14.23 | 2.18 | 4.33 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 10 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 5.5 | 13.04 | 2.25 | 5.28 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 4.0 | 11.86 | 1.79 | 6.30 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 33 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 10.05 | 1.81 | 7.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.155% | 21.545% | 82.700% | 9.906% | 4.529% | 1.993% | 0.680% | 0.192% | 0.171% | 0.021% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 13.588% | 25.556% | 39.144% | 22.812% | 17.068% | 11.513% | 6.218% | 3.245% | 2.585% | 0.660% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.069% | 15.727% | 25.796% | 16.223% | 16.781% | 15.970% | 12.831% | 12.399% | 8.718% | 3.681% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.752% | 13.347% | 20.099% | 15.625% | 17.164% | 17.693% | 15.014% | 14.405% | 10.207% | 4.198% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.445% | 15.251% | 20.696% | 21.214% | 21.993% | 18.171% | 11.249% | 6.677% | 5.421% | 1.256% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.716% | 7.114% | 9.830% | 10.317% | 13.781% | 17.249% | 20.271% | 28.552% | 18.141% | 10.411% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.262% | 1.298% | 1.560% | 3.372% | 7.078% | 13.332% | 23.433% | 51.225% | 31.530% | 19.695% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.013% | 0.162% | 0.175% | 0.531% | 1.606% | 4.079% | 10.304% | 83.305% | 23.227% | 60.078% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Laser 181205 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.594% | 21.755% | 83.349% | 9.606% | 4.486% | 1.818% | 0.590% | 0.151% | 0.133% | 0.018% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 19.137% | 32.414% | 51.551% | 22.757% | 13.576% | 7.313% | 3.371% | 1.432% | 1.204% | 0.228% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.351% | 12.832% | 19.183% | 16.048% | 17.803% | 18.199% | 14.600% | 14.167% | 9.953% | 4.214% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 5.435% | 15.007% | 20.442% | 22.429% | 22.794% | 17.591% | 10.733% | 6.011% | 4.859% | 1.152% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 4.675% | 9.694% | 14.369% | 14.004% | 17.559% | 18.973% | 16.755% | 18.340% | 12.578% | 5.762% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.568% | 6.910% | 9.478% | 10.979% | 14.725% | 17.587% | 19.936% | 27.295% | 17.301% | 9.994% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.225% | 1.237% | 1.462% | 3.586% | 7.355% | 14.077% | 23.437% | 50.083% | 31.019% | 19.064% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.015% | 0.151% | 0.166% | 0.591% | 1.702% | 4.442% | 10.578% | 82.521% | 22.953% | 59.568% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.920% | 20.768% | 82.688% | 9.813% | 4.608% | 2.021% | 0.695% | 0.175% | 0.148% | 0.027% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.421% | 24.838% | 37.259% | 23.020% | 18.266% | 11.867% | 6.439% | 3.149% | 2.597% | 0.552% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.994% | 16.434% | 26.428% | 17.505% | 17.374% | 15.893% | 12.401% | 10.399% | 7.745% | 2.654% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.093% | 13.757% | 20.850% | 15.315% | 16.678% | 17.502% | 15.308% | 14.347% | 10.225% | 4.122% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.696% | 15.579% | 21.275% | 20.497% | 21.556% | 18.409% | 11.458% | 6.805% | 5.579% | 1.226% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.619% | 7.129% | 9.748% | 9.924% | 13.097% | 17.233% | 20.677% | 29.321% | 18.797% | 10.524% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.237% | 1.323% | 1.560% | 3.376% | 6.933% | 13.110% | 23.205% | 51.816% | 31.933% | 19.883% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.020% | 0.172% | 0.192% | 0.550% | 1.488% | 3.965% | 9.817% | 83.988% | 22.976% | 61.012% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Laser 181205 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 59.132% | 22.054% | 81.186% | 10.327% | 5.197% | 2.301% | 0.793% | 0.196% | 0.169% | 0.027% | |||||
| 2. | Laser 181205 | 18.165% | 22.954% | 41.119% | 18.675% | 14.932% | 11.582% | 8.187% | 5.505% | 4.249% | 1.256% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.260% | 13.650% | 20.910% | 15.425% | 16.579% | 17.386% | 15.271% | 14.429% | 10.319% | 4.110% | |||||
| 4. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 7.080% | 17.554% | 24.634% | 21.610% | 21.124% | 16.686% | 9.984% | 5.962% | 4.759% | 1.203% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.403% | 15.375% | 20.778% | 20.211% | 21.310% | 18.712% | 12.061% | 6.928% | 5.538% | 1.390% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.709% | 6.961% | 9.670% | 9.802% | 12.645% | 16.651% | 21.391% | 29.841% | 18.920% | 10.921% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.224% | 1.304% | 1.528% | 3.383% | 6.690% | 12.788% | 22.697% | 52.914% | 33.001% | 19.913% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.027% | 0.148% | 0.175% | 0.567% | 1.523% | 3.894% | 9.616% | 84.225% | 23.045% | 61.180% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-18 15:18 | 48 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-18 17:21 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 19:24 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 21:27 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 23:30 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 01:32 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 03:35 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 05:38 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 07:41 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 09:44 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 11:47 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 13:49 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 15:52 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 17:55 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 19:58 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 22:01 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 00:04 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 02:07 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 04:09 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 06:12 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 08:15 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:18 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 12:21 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 14:24 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 16:26 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 18:29 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 20:32 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 22:35 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 00:38 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 02:41 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 04:44 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 06:46 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 08:49 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 10:52 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 12:55 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 14:58 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 17:01 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 19:03 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 21:06 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 23:09 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 01:12 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 03:15 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 05:18 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 07:21 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 09:23 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 11:26 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 13:29 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 15:32 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 17:35 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 19:38 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 21:41 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 23:43 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 01:46 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 03:49 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 05:52 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 07:55 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 09:58 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 12:00 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 14:03 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 16:06 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 18:09 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 20:12 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 22:15 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 00:18 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 02:20 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |