For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 8.0 | 17.83 | 1.81 | 1.62 | 64 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 7.0 | 15.57 | 1.81 | 3.18 | 12 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 6.5 | 14.73 | 2.17 | 3.92 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 7 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 7.0 | 14.70 | 1.75 | 3.93 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 11 | 5 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.0 | 14.25 | 2.19 | 4.32 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 10 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 5.5 | 13.02 | 2.25 | 5.31 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 20 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 4.0 | 11.86 | 1.79 | 6.31 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 34 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 10.05 | 1.83 | 7.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.826% | 20.627% | 82.453% | 9.812% | 4.737% | 2.085% | 0.689% | 0.224% | 0.194% | 0.030% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.434% | 24.966% | 37.400% | 23.317% | 18.174% | 11.807% | 6.250% | 3.052% | 2.463% | 0.589% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.040% | 16.353% | 26.393% | 17.345% | 17.475% | 16.016% | 12.409% | 10.362% | 7.618% | 2.744% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.030% | 13.741% | 20.771% | 15.251% | 16.565% | 17.745% | 15.168% | 14.500% | 10.365% | 4.135% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.703% | 15.559% | 21.262% | 20.543% | 21.511% | 18.429% | 11.518% | 6.737% | 5.456% | 1.281% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.675% | 7.264% | 9.939% | 9.843% | 13.258% | 17.235% | 20.676% | 29.049% | 18.634% | 10.415% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.267% | 1.315% | 1.582% | 3.321% | 6.805% | 12.708% | 23.280% | 52.304% | 32.185% | 20.119% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.025% | 0.175% | 0.200% | 0.568% | 1.475% | 3.975% | 10.010% | 83.772% | 23.085% | 60.687% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.727% | 20.836% | 82.563% | 9.778% | 4.616% | 2.095% | 0.712% | 0.236% | 0.211% | 0.025% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.416% | 24.580% | 36.996% | 22.707% | 18.078% | 12.145% | 6.830% | 3.244% | 2.786% | 0.458% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.882% | 16.061% | 25.943% | 17.342% | 17.191% | 15.829% | 12.847% | 10.848% | 8.501% | 2.347% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.137% | 13.582% | 20.719% | 15.138% | 16.109% | 17.307% | 15.520% | 15.207% | 11.369% | 3.838% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.753% | 15.835% | 21.588% | 20.062% | 21.441% | 18.072% | 11.898% | 6.939% | 5.958% | 0.981% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.644% | 6.980% | 9.624% | 10.019% | 12.971% | 16.639% | 20.099% | 30.648% | 21.202% | 9.446% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.432% | 2.066% | 2.498% | 4.700% | 8.856% | 15.735% | 25.870% | 42.341% | 32.017% | 10.324% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.009% | 0.060% | 0.069% | 0.254% | 0.738% | 2.178% | 6.224% | 90.537% | 17.956% | 72.581% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.898% | 20.772% | 82.670% | 9.686% | 4.722% | 2.036% | 0.677% | 0.209% | 0.190% | 0.019% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.432% | 25.056% | 37.488% | 23.160% | 18.108% | 11.974% | 6.133% | 3.137% | 2.499% | 0.638% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.971% | 16.710% | 26.681% | 17.334% | 17.170% | 16.195% | 12.371% | 10.249% | 7.345% | 2.904% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.173% | 13.538% | 20.711% | 15.435% | 16.895% | 17.728% | 15.166% | 14.065% | 9.825% | 4.240% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.650% | 15.383% | 21.033% | 20.829% | 21.898% | 18.212% | 11.382% | 6.646% | 5.330% | 1.316% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.676% | 7.187% | 9.863% | 10.006% | 13.467% | 17.313% | 20.822% | 28.529% | 17.795% | 10.734% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.183% | 1.196% | 1.379% | 3.012% | 6.243% | 12.518% | 23.068% | 53.780% | 33.228% | 20.552% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.017% | 0.158% | 0.175% | 0.538% | 1.497% | 4.024% | 10.381% | 83.385% | 23.788% | 59.597% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.578% | 20.989% | 82.567% | 9.806% | 4.724% | 2.022% | 0.692% | 0.189% | 0.161% | 0.028% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.412% | 25.203% | 37.615% | 23.278% | 18.211% | 11.907% | 5.968% | 3.021% | 2.297% | 0.724% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.078% | 16.237% | 26.315% | 17.740% | 17.643% | 16.158% | 12.117% | 10.027% | 6.833% | 3.194% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.282% | 13.593% | 20.875% | 15.430% | 16.979% | 17.828% | 15.036% | 13.852% | 9.095% | 4.757% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.744% | 15.833% | 21.577% | 20.666% | 21.875% | 18.519% | 11.088% | 6.275% | 4.766% | 1.509% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.782% | 7.217% | 9.999% | 10.200% | 13.477% | 17.613% | 20.925% | 27.786% | 15.984% | 11.802% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.076% | 0.622% | 0.698% | 1.821% | 4.321% | 9.418% | 18.998% | 64.744% | 31.555% | 33.189% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.048% | 0.306% | 0.354% | 1.059% | 2.770% | 6.535% | 15.176% | 74.106% | 29.309% | 44.797% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.06h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-18 17:48 | 49 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-18 19:51 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 21:55 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 23:58 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 02:02 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 04:05 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 06:08 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 08:12 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 10:15 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 12:19 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 14:22 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 16:25 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 18:29 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 20:32 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 22:36 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 00:39 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 02:42 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 04:46 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 06:49 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 08:53 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:56 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 12:59 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 15:03 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 17:06 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 19:10 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 21:13 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 23:16 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 01:20 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 03:23 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 05:27 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 07:30 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 09:34 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 11:37 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 13:40 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 15:44 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 17:47 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 19:51 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 21:54 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 23:57 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 02:01 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 04:04 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 06:08 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 08:11 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 10:14 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 12:18 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 14:21 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 16:25 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 18:28 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 20:31 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 22:35 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 00:38 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 02:42 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 04:45 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 06:48 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 08:52 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 10:55 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 12:59 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 15:02 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 17:06 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 19:09 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 21:12 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 23:16 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 01:19 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 03:23 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |