For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 8.0 | 17.82 | 1.81 | 1.62 | 64 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 7.0 | 15.58 | 1.81 | 3.19 | 12 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 6.5 | 14.72 | 2.17 | 3.94 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 8 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 7.0 | 14.71 | 1.77 | 3.95 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 5 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.0 | 14.24 | 2.19 | 4.35 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 11 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 5.5 | 13.05 | 2.26 | 5.31 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 5.0 | 12.31 | 1.74 | 6.00 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 33 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 9.56 | 1.76 | 7.64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.532% | 20.825% | 82.357% | 9.775% | 4.742% | 2.082% | 0.793% | 0.251% | 0.220% | 0.031% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.570% | 24.680% | 37.250% | 22.951% | 17.802% | 12.073% | 6.651% | 3.273% | 2.780% | 0.493% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.847% | 16.376% | 26.223% | 16.943% | 17.203% | 15.899% | 12.773% | 10.959% | 8.478% | 2.481% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.064% | 13.445% | 20.509% | 14.943% | 16.233% | 17.324% | 15.602% | 15.389% | 11.537% | 3.852% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.782% | 15.461% | 21.243% | 20.417% | 21.248% | 18.134% | 11.888% | 7.070% | 6.028% | 1.042% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.809% | 7.154% | 9.963% | 10.073% | 13.036% | 16.590% | 20.228% | 30.110% | 20.854% | 9.256% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.385% | 1.996% | 2.381% | 4.652% | 8.968% | 15.626% | 25.735% | 42.638% | 32.023% | 10.615% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.011% | 0.063% | 0.074% | 0.246% | 0.768% | 2.272% | 6.330% | 90.310% | 18.080% | 72.230% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fizbo 2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 62.737% | 20.674% | 83.411% | 9.279% | 4.475% | 1.857% | 0.751% | 0.227% | 0.204% | 0.023% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.743% | 25.745% | 38.488% | 22.897% | 16.998% | 11.151% | 6.814% | 3.652% | 3.137% | 0.515% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.252% | 17.036% | 27.288% | 17.421% | 16.626% | 14.749% | 12.082% | 11.834% | 9.266% | 2.568% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.230% | 14.287% | 21.517% | 15.393% | 15.809% | 15.858% | 14.856% | 16.567% | 12.568% | 3.999% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 3.507% | 11.466% | 14.973% | 17.393% | 20.341% | 19.953% | 15.903% | 11.437% | 9.626% | 1.811% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.818% | 7.493% | 10.311% | 10.297% | 12.785% | 15.610% | 18.613% | 32.384% | 22.507% | 9.877% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.708% | 3.234% | 3.942% | 7.044% | 12.141% | 18.757% | 25.404% | 32.712% | 25.996% | 6.716% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.005% | 0.065% | 0.070% | 0.276% | 0.825% | 2.065% | 5.577% | 91.187% | 16.696% | 74.491% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 61.872% | 20.762% | 82.634% | 9.635% | 4.611% | 2.133% | 0.762% | 0.225% | 0.200% | 0.025% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.520% | 24.966% | 37.486% | 23.118% | 17.697% | 11.895% | 6.498% | 3.306% | 2.828% | 0.478% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.012% | 16.417% | 26.429% | 16.945% | 17.145% | 15.756% | 12.725% | 11.000% | 8.487% | 2.513% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.087% | 13.565% | 20.652% | 14.932% | 16.355% | 17.119% | 15.675% | 15.267% | 11.454% | 3.813% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.435% | 15.341% | 20.776% | 20.723% | 21.940% | 18.375% | 11.894% | 6.292% | 5.393% | 0.899% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.744% | 7.186% | 9.930% | 10.052% | 13.110% | 16.836% | 19.869% | 30.203% | 20.979% | 9.224% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.323% | 1.693% | 2.016% | 4.341% | 8.404% | 15.565% | 26.370% | 43.304% | 32.752% | 10.552% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.007% | 0.070% | 0.077% | 0.254% | 0.738% | 2.321% | 6.207% | 90.403% | 17.907% | 72.496% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fizbo 2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 60.520% | 20.849% | 81.369% | 10.269% | 5.114% | 2.326% | 0.731% | 0.191% | 0.170% | 0.021% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.019% | 23.392% | 35.411% | 23.007% | 19.172% | 12.855% | 6.579% | 2.976% | 2.521% | 0.455% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.532% | 15.218% | 24.750% | 16.745% | 17.946% | 17.398% | 13.368% | 9.793% | 7.650% | 2.143% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 8.378% | 20.337% | 28.715% | 23.175% | 21.588% | 15.778% | 7.839% | 2.905% | 2.572% | 0.333% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.812% | 12.699% | 19.511% | 14.688% | 16.845% | 19.004% | 16.364% | 13.588% | 10.265% | 3.323% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.608% | 6.629% | 9.237% | 9.512% | 13.215% | 17.923% | 22.503% | 27.610% | 18.727% | 8.883% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.124% | 0.803% | 0.927% | 2.377% | 5.448% | 12.356% | 25.491% | 53.401% | 38.416% | 14.985% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.007% | 0.073% | 0.080% | 0.227% | 0.672% | 2.360% | 7.125% | 89.536% | 19.679% | 69.857% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-18 19:35 | 50 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-18 21:38 | 51 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-18 23:41 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 01:44 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 03:48 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 05:51 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 07:54 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 09:57 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 12:00 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 14:03 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 16:06 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 18:09 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 20:12 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 22:15 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 00:18 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 02:21 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 04:25 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 06:28 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 08:31 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:34 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 12:37 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 14:40 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 16:43 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 18:46 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 20:49 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 22:52 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 00:55 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 02:58 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 05:01 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 07:05 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 09:08 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 11:11 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 13:14 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 15:17 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 17:20 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 19:23 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 21:26 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 23:29 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 01:32 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 03:35 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 05:38 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 07:42 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 09:45 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 11:48 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 13:51 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 15:54 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 17:57 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 20:00 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 22:03 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 00:06 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 02:09 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 04:12 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 06:15 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 08:19 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 10:22 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 12:25 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 14:28 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 16:31 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 18:34 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 20:37 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 22:40 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 00:43 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 02:46 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |