For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 8.0 | 17.89 | 1.81 | 1.65 | 62 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 8.0 | 16.12 | 1.75 | 2.82 | 17 | 32 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 6.5 | 14.72 | 2.16 | 4.01 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 8 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 7.5 | 14.71 | 1.69 | 4.01 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 12 | 5 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.0 | 14.27 | 2.19 | 4.37 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 5.5 | 13.02 | 2.25 | 5.34 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 22 | 24 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 5.5 | 12.25 | 1.68 | 6.05 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 37 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 9.04 | 1.70 | 7.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 60.413% | 21.499% | 81.912% | 10.102% | 4.907% | 2.187% | 0.705% | 0.187% | 0.176% | 0.011% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.544% | 29.581% | 46.125% | 23.183% | 15.735% | 9.195% | 4.264% | 1.498% | 1.410% | 0.088% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.248% | 15.167% | 24.415% | 17.345% | 18.060% | 16.762% | 13.179% | 10.239% | 8.540% | 1.699% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.514% | 12.444% | 18.958% | 15.106% | 16.829% | 18.278% | 16.075% | 14.754% | 12.049% | 2.705% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 4.682% | 13.664% | 18.346% | 20.716% | 22.971% | 19.616% | 12.276% | 6.075% | 5.504% | 0.571% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.339% | 6.272% | 8.611% | 9.731% | 13.192% | 17.408% | 21.382% | 29.676% | 22.289% | 7.387% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.259% | 1.360% | 1.619% | 3.760% | 7.991% | 15.368% | 27.856% | 43.406% | 35.335% | 8.071% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.013% | 0.014% | 0.057% | 0.315% | 1.186% | 4.263% | 94.165% | 14.697% | 79.468% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 45.339% | 25.316% | 70.655% | 15.183% | 8.304% | 3.953% | 1.484% | 0.421% | 0.389% | 0.032% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 19.402% | 24.449% | 43.851% | 22.421% | 16.793% | 10.253% | 4.958% | 1.724% | 1.628% | 0.096% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 18.491% | 20.096% | 38.587% | 18.712% | 16.635% | 12.969% | 8.428% | 4.669% | 4.126% | 0.543% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.894% | 11.226% | 19.120% | 13.958% | 16.319% | 18.460% | 17.019% | 15.124% | 12.382% | 2.742% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 5.555% | 11.827% | 17.382% | 18.141% | 22.658% | 21.577% | 13.541% | 6.701% | 6.052% | 0.649% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 3.024% | 5.839% | 8.863% | 8.471% | 12.118% | 17.298% | 22.619% | 30.631% | 23.145% | 7.486% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.293% | 1.238% | 1.531% | 3.043% | 6.940% | 14.399% | 28.070% | 46.017% | 37.806% | 8.211% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.002% | 0.009% | 0.011% | 0.071% | 0.233% | 1.091% | 3.881% | 94.713% | 14.472% | 80.241% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 59.444% | 22.225% | 81.669% | 10.622% | 4.933% | 1.962% | 0.667% | 0.147% | 0.137% | 0.010% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 17.705% | 28.716% | 46.421% | 22.846% | 15.573% | 9.203% | 4.381% | 1.576% | 1.507% | 0.069% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 8.267% | 15.761% | 24.028% | 18.421% | 18.938% | 16.871% | 12.834% | 8.908% | 7.667% | 1.241% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 6.907% | 12.209% | 19.116% | 14.875% | 16.855% | 18.018% | 16.291% | 14.845% | 12.011% | 2.834% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 4.946% | 13.293% | 18.239% | 20.065% | 22.871% | 20.145% | 12.501% | 6.179% | 5.590% | 0.589% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 2.443% | 6.478% | 8.921% | 9.531% | 13.046% | 17.263% | 21.343% | 29.896% | 22.483% | 7.413% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.286% | 1.306% | 1.592% | 3.560% | 7.500% | 15.329% | 27.926% | 44.093% | 35.860% | 8.233% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.002% | 0.012% | 0.014% | 0.080% | 0.284% | 1.209% | 4.057% | 94.356% | 14.745% | 79.611% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – LCZero v19.1-11248 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 70.812% | 18.650% | 89.462% | 6.881% | 2.515% | 0.861% | 0.243% | 0.038% | 0.038% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 14.658% | 34.081% | 48.739% | 23.755% | 14.521% | 7.998% | 3.680% | 1.307% | 1.218% | 0.089% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 5.496% | 13.402% | 18.898% | 16.298% | 17.581% | 17.639% | 15.212% | 14.372% | 11.444% | 2.928% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 3.908% | 14.840% | 18.748% | 22.438% | 23.175% | 18.677% | 11.510% | 5.452% | 4.868% | 0.584% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 3.021% | 10.796% | 13.817% | 15.574% | 18.694% | 19.270% | 16.997% | 15.648% | 12.704% | 2.944% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 1.924% | 6.678% | 8.602% | 10.853% | 14.254% | 17.628% | 20.273% | 28.390% | 21.055% | 7.335% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.180% | 1.537% | 1.717% | 4.102% | 8.883% | 16.528% | 27.619% | 41.151% | 33.321% | 7.830% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.016% | 0.017% | 0.099% | 0.377% | 1.399% | 4.466% | 93.642% | 15.352% | 78.290% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-18 23:39 | 52 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-19 01:42 | 53 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 03:45 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 05:48 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 07:51 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 09:54 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 11:57 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 14:00 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 16:03 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 18:06 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 20:09 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 22:13 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 00:16 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 02:19 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 04:22 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 06:25 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 08:28 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 10:31 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 12:34 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 14:37 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 16:40 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 18:43 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 20:46 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 22:49 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 00:52 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 02:55 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 04:58 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 07:01 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 09:04 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 11:07 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 13:10 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 15:13 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 17:16 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 19:19 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 21:22 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 23:25 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 01:28 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 03:31 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 05:34 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 07:38 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 09:41 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 11:44 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 13:47 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 15:50 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 17:53 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 19:56 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 21:59 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 00:02 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 02:05 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 04:08 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 06:11 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 08:14 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 10:17 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 12:20 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 14:23 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 16:26 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 18:29 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 20:32 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 22:35 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 00:38 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 02:41 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |