For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
8.5 |
17.81 |
1.72 |
1.64 |
62 |
22 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
8.0 |
16.11 |
1.72 |
2.82 |
17 |
31 |
23 |
15 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
Laser 181205 |
7.0 |
14.82 |
2.04 |
3.93 |
8 |
16 |
19 |
20 |
17 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
7.5 |
14.69 |
1.69 |
4.03 |
4 |
13 |
20 |
24 |
21 |
12 |
5 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
6.0 |
14.26 |
2.19 |
4.39 |
6 |
12 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
17 |
12 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
5.5 |
13.01 |
2.25 |
5.36 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
12 |
17 |
22 |
24 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
5.5 |
12.25 |
1.68 |
6.07 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
29 |
37 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
9.04 |
1.69 |
7.77 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
13 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
59.257% |
22.469% |
|
81.726% |
|
10.525% |
4.816% |
2.058% |
0.681% |
|
0.194% |
|
0.183% |
0.011% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
17.600% |
28.501% |
|
46.101% |
|
22.973% |
15.617% |
9.266% |
4.485% |
|
1.558% |
|
1.473% |
0.085% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.274% |
15.710% |
|
23.984% |
|
18.542% |
19.016% |
16.759% |
12.805% |
|
8.894% |
|
7.647% |
1.247% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
7.033% |
12.522% |
|
19.555% |
|
14.735% |
16.680% |
18.150% |
16.218% |
|
14.662% |
|
11.850% |
2.812% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.030% |
13.191% |
|
18.221% |
|
20.021% |
22.795% |
20.201% |
12.540% |
|
6.222% |
|
5.641% |
0.581% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
2.514% |
6.221% |
|
8.735% |
|
9.601% |
12.943% |
17.193% |
21.633% |
|
29.895% |
|
22.554% |
7.341% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.292% |
1.373% |
|
1.665% |
|
3.543% |
7.867% |
15.273% |
27.564% |
|
44.088% |
|
36.053% |
8.035% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.013% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.060% |
0.266% |
1.100% |
4.074% |
|
94.487% |
|
14.599% |
79.888% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
58.085% |
22.798% |
|
80.883% |
|
11.028% |
5.144% |
2.152% |
0.655% |
|
0.138% |
|
0.129% |
0.009% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.972% |
27.986% |
|
44.958% |
|
23.341% |
16.379% |
9.545% |
4.295% |
|
1.482% |
|
1.402% |
0.080% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
10.588% |
16.749% |
|
27.337% |
|
18.334% |
18.236% |
17.302% |
11.504% |
|
7.287% |
|
6.191% |
1.096% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.358% |
15.472% |
|
23.830% |
|
18.562% |
19.671% |
17.422% |
12.238% |
|
8.277% |
|
7.020% |
1.257% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.796% |
12.750% |
|
17.546% |
|
19.435% |
23.015% |
21.654% |
12.486% |
|
5.864% |
|
5.281% |
0.583% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.925% |
2.951% |
|
3.876% |
|
5.687% |
9.682% |
15.040% |
24.543% |
|
41.172% |
|
29.977% |
11.195% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.274% |
1.286% |
|
1.560% |
|
3.546% |
7.564% |
15.714% |
29.895% |
|
41.721% |
|
34.105% |
7.616% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.002% |
0.008% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.067% |
0.309% |
1.171% |
4.384% |
|
94.059% |
|
15.895% |
78.164% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
60.523% |
22.099% |
|
82.622% |
|
9.959% |
4.676% |
1.936% |
0.633% |
|
0.174% |
|
0.163% |
0.011% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
17.950% |
29.155% |
|
47.105% |
|
22.578% |
15.395% |
8.844% |
4.383% |
|
1.695% |
|
1.609% |
0.086% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.701% |
16.256% |
|
24.957% |
|
18.264% |
18.579% |
16.188% |
12.767% |
|
9.245% |
|
7.892% |
1.353% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.227% |
10.836% |
|
16.063% |
|
14.506% |
16.820% |
19.051% |
17.803% |
|
15.757% |
|
12.993% |
2.764% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.007% |
13.929% |
|
18.936% |
|
20.505% |
22.408% |
19.242% |
12.435% |
|
6.474% |
|
5.859% |
0.615% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
2.299% |
6.319% |
|
8.618% |
|
10.392% |
13.937% |
18.692% |
22.021% |
|
26.340% |
|
20.603% |
5.737% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.292% |
1.392% |
|
1.684% |
|
3.733% |
7.879% |
14.963% |
26.171% |
|
45.570% |
|
37.369% |
8.201% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.014% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.063% |
0.306% |
1.084% |
3.787% |
|
94.745% |
|
13.512% |
81.233% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
60.275% |
22.045% |
|
82.320% |
|
10.097% |
4.672% |
2.018% |
0.703% |
|
0.190% |
|
0.179% |
0.011% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.214% |
29.571% |
|
47.785% |
|
22.293% |
14.771% |
9.080% |
4.378% |
|
1.693% |
|
1.611% |
0.082% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.146% |
15.580% |
|
23.726% |
|
18.242% |
18.407% |
16.941% |
13.033% |
|
9.651% |
|
8.156% |
1.495% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.222% |
13.883% |
|
19.105% |
|
20.603% |
22.719% |
18.814% |
12.373% |
|
6.386% |
|
5.765% |
0.621% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.159% |
10.923% |
|
16.082% |
|
15.065% |
17.403% |
18.866% |
17.044% |
|
15.540% |
|
12.639% |
2.901% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.714% |
6.573% |
|
9.287% |
|
9.840% |
13.981% |
18.176% |
22.682% |
|
26.034% |
|
20.453% |
5.581% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.270% |
1.416% |
|
1.686% |
|
3.787% |
7.732% |
14.947% |
25.858% |
|
45.990% |
|
37.605% |
8.385% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.073% |
0.315% |
1.158% |
3.929% |
|
94.516% |
|
13.592% |
80.924% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-19 02:34 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 04:38 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 06:42 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 08:46 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 10:50 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 12:54 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 14:58 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 17:02 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 19:06 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 21:10 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 23:14 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 01:18 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 03:22 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 05:26 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 07:30 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 09:34 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 11:38 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 13:42 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 15:46 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 17:50 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 19:54 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 21:58 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 00:02 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 02:06 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 04:10 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 06:14 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 08:18 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 10:22 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 12:26 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 14:30 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 16:34 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 18:39 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 20:43 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 22:47 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 00:51 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 02:55 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 04:59 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 07:03 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 09:07 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 11:11 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 13:15 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 15:19 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 17:23 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 19:27 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 21:31 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 23:35 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 01:39 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 03:43 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 05:47 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 07:51 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 09:55 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 11:59 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 14:03 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 16:07 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 18:11 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 20:15 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 22:19 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 00:23 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 02:27 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 04:31 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |