For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 8.5 | 17.82 | 1.72 | 1.66 | 61 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 8.0 | 16.10 | 1.72 | 2.85 | 17 | 30 | 24 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.0 | 14.98 | 2.06 | 3.81 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 6 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 7.0 | 14.87 | 2.05 | 3.90 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | Fizbo 2 | 7.5 | 14.69 | 1.70 | 4.05 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 4 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 5.5 | 12.25 | 1.68 | 6.05 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 5.5 | 12.25 | 2.10 | 5.94 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 33 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 9.04 | 1.69 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 57.575% | 23.051% | 80.626% | 11.252% | 5.328% | 2.006% | 0.652% | 0.136% | 0.130% | 0.006% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 17.311% | 27.537% | 44.848% | 23.538% | 16.469% | 9.554% | 4.185% | 1.406% | 1.325% | 0.081% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 10.724% | 16.760% | 27.484% | 18.280% | 18.152% | 17.247% | 11.547% | 7.290% | 6.224% | 1.066% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 8.457% | 15.533% | 23.990% | 18.399% | 19.344% | 17.807% | 12.226% | 8.234% | 7.010% | 1.224% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 4.787% | 12.847% | 17.634% | 19.244% | 23.199% | 21.514% | 12.718% | 5.691% | 5.105% | 0.586% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.904% | 2.982% | 3.886% | 5.719% | 9.561% | 15.202% | 24.285% | 41.347% | 30.123% | 11.224% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.239% | 1.280% | 1.519% | 3.510% | 7.634% | 15.548% | 29.947% | 41.842% | 34.036% | 7.806% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.003% | 0.010% | 0.013% | 0.058% | 0.313% | 1.122% | 4.440% | 94.054% | 16.047% | 78.007% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 59.481% | 22.188% | 81.669% | 10.537% | 5.010% | 2.020% | 0.631% | 0.133% | 0.129% | 0.004% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 17.862% | 28.674% | 46.536% | 22.752% | 15.913% | 9.286% | 4.088% | 1.425% | 1.341% | 0.084% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 8.646% | 15.806% | 24.452% | 18.298% | 19.195% | 17.457% | 12.206% | 8.392% | 7.121% | 1.271% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 8.022% | 18.739% | 26.761% | 24.552% | 22.934% | 15.542% | 7.516% | 2.695% | 2.480% | 0.215% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 4.782% | 10.039% | 14.821% | 14.224% | 18.876% | 22.363% | 17.226% | 12.490% | 10.347% | 2.143% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.921% | 3.116% | 4.037% | 5.740% | 9.811% | 15.600% | 23.787% | 41.025% | 29.601% | 11.424% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.286% | 1.432% | 1.718% | 3.831% | 7.937% | 16.495% | 30.040% | 39.979% | 32.520% | 7.459% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.006% | 0.006% | 0.066% | 0.324% | 1.237% | 4.506% | 93.861% | 16.461% | 77.400% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 58.980% | 22.313% | 81.293% | 10.711% | 4.993% | 2.209% | 0.638% | 0.156% | 0.147% | 0.009% | |||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 17.595% | 28.378% | 45.973% | 22.801% | 15.810% | 9.566% | 4.399% | 1.451% | 1.359% | 0.092% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 9.225% | 16.499% | 25.724% | 18.652% | 19.349% | 18.061% | 11.541% | 6.673% | 5.800% | 0.873% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 8.544% | 15.812% | 24.356% | 18.667% | 18.677% | 17.357% | 12.513% | 8.430% | 7.210% | 1.220% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 4.475% | 12.457% | 16.932% | 19.834% | 23.675% | 21.941% | 12.272% | 5.346% | 4.838% | 0.508% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.912% | 3.173% | 4.085% | 5.854% | 9.589% | 14.883% | 24.596% | 40.993% | 29.801% | 11.192% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.269% | 1.352% | 1.621% | 3.423% | 7.630% | 14.917% | 29.673% | 42.736% | 34.943% | 7.793% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.016% | 0.016% | 0.058% | 0.277% | 1.066% | 4.368% | 94.215% | 15.902% | 78.313% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 55.613% | 24.033% | 79.646% | 11.891% | 5.556% | 2.113% | 0.662% | 0.132% | 0.121% | 0.011% | |||||
| 2. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 17.055% | 22.902% | 39.957% | 21.521% | 17.307% | 11.967% | 6.242% | 3.006% | 2.696% | 0.310% | |||||
| 3. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.912% | 26.588% | 42.500% | 24.854% | 17.250% | 9.739% | 4.314% | 1.343% | 1.262% | 0.081% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 8.185% | 15.282% | 23.467% | 18.735% | 20.247% | 17.541% | 12.156% | 7.854% | 6.687% | 1.167% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 2.179% | 7.143% | 9.322% | 14.161% | 22.323% | 27.088% | 18.043% | 9.063% | 8.078% | 0.985% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.841% | 2.881% | 3.722% | 5.686% | 9.715% | 15.329% | 24.692% | 40.856% | 30.182% | 10.674% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.213% | 1.157% | 1.370% | 3.100% | 7.324% | 15.182% | 29.656% | 43.368% | 35.361% | 8.007% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.002% | 0.014% | 0.016% | 0.052% | 0.278% | 1.041% | 4.235% | 94.378% | 15.613% | 78.765% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-19 04:58 | 54 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 07:02 | 55 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 09:06 | 56 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 11:11 | 57 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-19 13:15 | 58 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-19 15:20 | 59 | Chiron S14 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-19 17:24 | 60 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 19:28 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-19 21:33 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-19 23:37 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 01:42 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 03:46 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 05:50 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 07:55 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 09:59 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 12:04 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 14:08 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 16:12 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 18:17 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 20:21 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 22:26 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 00:30 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 02:34 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 04:39 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 06:43 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 08:48 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 10:52 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 12:56 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 15:01 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 17:05 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 19:10 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 21:14 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 23:19 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 01:23 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 03:27 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 05:32 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 07:36 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 09:41 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 11:45 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 13:49 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 15:54 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 17:58 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 20:03 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-22 22:07 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 00:11 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 02:16 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 04:20 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 06:25 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 08:29 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 10:33 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 12:38 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 14:42 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 16:47 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 18:51 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 20:55 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 23:00 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 01:04 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 03:09 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 05:13 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |