For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
8.5 |
17.85 |
1.72 |
1.63 |
63 |
21 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
8.0 |
16.14 |
1.71 |
2.81 |
17 |
31 |
23 |
16 |
9 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
8.5 |
15.29 |
1.63 |
3.52 |
7 |
19 |
26 |
24 |
16 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
7.0 |
14.86 |
2.05 |
3.90 |
8 |
16 |
19 |
20 |
18 |
12 |
7 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.0 |
14.15 |
1.96 |
4.49 |
4 |
10 |
15 |
19 |
23 |
17 |
10 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
5.5 |
12.33 |
1.67 |
5.99 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
17 |
32 |
33 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
5.5 |
12.26 |
2.11 |
5.93 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
9 |
15 |
24 |
32 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
9.12 |
1.69 |
7.73 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
15 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
60.590% |
21.855% |
|
82.445% |
|
10.097% |
4.778% |
1.954% |
0.583% |
|
0.143% |
|
0.129% |
0.014% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
17.923% |
29.614% |
|
47.537% |
|
22.826% |
15.556% |
8.805% |
3.911% |
|
1.365% |
|
1.279% |
0.086% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.745% |
16.279% |
|
25.024% |
|
18.724% |
19.506% |
16.958% |
11.604% |
|
8.184% |
|
6.912% |
1.272% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.000% |
18.861% |
|
26.861% |
|
24.765% |
22.931% |
15.372% |
7.362% |
|
2.709% |
|
2.492% |
0.217% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.488% |
8.780% |
|
12.268% |
|
13.516% |
18.193% |
22.865% |
18.538% |
|
14.620% |
|
12.023% |
2.597% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.963% |
3.017% |
|
3.980% |
|
5.938% |
10.027% |
15.760% |
23.496% |
|
40.799% |
|
29.279% |
11.520% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.290% |
1.577% |
|
1.867% |
|
4.062% |
8.653% |
16.933% |
29.638% |
|
38.847% |
|
31.385% |
7.462% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.017% |
|
0.018% |
|
0.072% |
0.356% |
1.353% |
4.868% |
|
93.333% |
|
16.501% |
76.832% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Laser 181205 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
62.786% |
21.143% |
|
83.929% |
|
9.378% |
4.146% |
1.783% |
0.601% |
|
0.163% |
|
0.148% |
0.015% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.702% |
31.383% |
|
50.085% |
|
22.111% |
14.257% |
8.082% |
3.928% |
|
1.537% |
|
1.441% |
0.096% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.557% |
20.255% |
|
28.812% |
|
25.111% |
21.028% |
14.154% |
7.759% |
|
3.136% |
|
2.895% |
0.241% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
4.009% |
10.167% |
|
14.176% |
|
14.793% |
18.433% |
19.773% |
17.971% |
|
14.854% |
|
12.278% |
2.576% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.741% |
9.512% |
|
13.253% |
|
14.196% |
18.025% |
19.750% |
17.935% |
|
16.841% |
|
13.878% |
2.963% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
1.900% |
5.875% |
|
7.775% |
|
10.145% |
14.921% |
19.292% |
22.044% |
|
25.823% |
|
20.370% |
5.453% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.303% |
1.652% |
|
1.955% |
|
4.186% |
8.804% |
15.881% |
25.825% |
|
43.349% |
|
35.216% |
8.133% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.002% |
0.013% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.080% |
0.386% |
1.285% |
3.937% |
|
94.297% |
|
13.774% |
80.523% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
61.441% |
21.490% |
|
82.931% |
|
9.885% |
4.593% |
1.951% |
0.523% |
|
0.117% |
|
0.107% |
0.010% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.370% |
29.956% |
|
48.326% |
|
22.647% |
15.046% |
8.594% |
4.004% |
|
1.383% |
|
1.310% |
0.073% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.097% |
19.354% |
|
27.451% |
|
24.953% |
22.354% |
15.028% |
7.456% |
|
2.758% |
|
2.541% |
0.217% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.361% |
15.766% |
|
23.127% |
|
19.125% |
20.557% |
17.788% |
11.917% |
|
7.486% |
|
6.391% |
1.095% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.693% |
9.045% |
|
12.738% |
|
13.572% |
18.386% |
22.058% |
18.159% |
|
15.087% |
|
12.438% |
2.649% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.721% |
2.818% |
|
3.539% |
|
5.664% |
9.926% |
16.555% |
25.103% |
|
39.213% |
|
29.127% |
10.086% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.312% |
1.556% |
|
1.868% |
|
4.077% |
8.762% |
16.675% |
28.296% |
|
40.322% |
|
32.494% |
7.828% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.005% |
0.015% |
|
0.020% |
|
0.077% |
0.376% |
1.351% |
4.542% |
|
93.634% |
|
15.592% |
78.042% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Laser 181205 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
58.740% |
22.494% |
|
81.234% |
|
10.898% |
5.264% |
1.971% |
0.533% |
|
0.100% |
|
0.093% |
0.007% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.873% |
27.629% |
|
44.502% |
|
23.953% |
17.137% |
9.562% |
3.787% |
|
1.059% |
|
1.002% |
0.057% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
13.260% |
21.765% |
|
35.025% |
|
21.744% |
19.524% |
13.920% |
6.890% |
|
2.897% |
|
2.560% |
0.337% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.404% |
17.600% |
|
25.004% |
|
24.119% |
24.791% |
16.768% |
7.164% |
|
2.154% |
|
1.996% |
0.158% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.217% |
8.157% |
|
11.374% |
|
12.758% |
18.742% |
25.589% |
18.784% |
|
12.753% |
|
10.448% |
2.305% |
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.254% |
1.315% |
|
1.569% |
|
3.723% |
8.466% |
18.500% |
33.356% |
|
34.386% |
|
27.635% |
6.751% |
7. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.250% |
1.026% |
|
1.276% |
|
2.726% |
5.765% |
12.341% |
24.077% |
|
53.815% |
|
36.482% |
17.333% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.002% |
0.014% |
|
0.016% |
|
0.079% |
0.311% |
1.349% |
5.409% |
|
92.836% |
|
19.784% |
73.052% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-19 05:44 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 07:47 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 09:50 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 11:53 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 13:56 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 15:59 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 18:02 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 20:05 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 22:08 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 00:11 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 02:14 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 04:17 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 06:20 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 08:23 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 10:26 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 12:29 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 14:32 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 16:35 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 18:38 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 20:41 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 22:44 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 00:47 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 02:49 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 04:52 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 06:55 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 08:58 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 11:01 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 13:04 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 15:07 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 17:10 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 19:13 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 21:16 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 23:19 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 01:22 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 03:25 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 05:28 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 07:31 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 09:34 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 11:37 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 13:40 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 15:43 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 17:46 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 19:49 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 21:52 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 23:55 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 01:58 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 04:01 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 06:04 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 08:07 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:09 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 12:12 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 14:15 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 16:18 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 18:21 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 20:24 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 22:27 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 00:30 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 02:33 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |