For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
9.5 |
18.20 |
1.65 |
1.46 |
71 |
18 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
8.5 |
16.00 |
1.65 |
2.91 |
13 |
32 |
25 |
17 |
9 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
8.5 |
15.28 |
1.63 |
3.52 |
6 |
20 |
26 |
23 |
16 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
7.5 |
14.80 |
1.93 |
3.94 |
6 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
19 |
12 |
6 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.0 |
14.16 |
1.95 |
4.48 |
3 |
10 |
15 |
19 |
23 |
17 |
11 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
6.0 |
12.44 |
1.63 |
5.93 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
17 |
32 |
34 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
6.0 |
12.32 |
1.96 |
5.93 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
15 |
26 |
35 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
8.79 |
1.64 |
7.82 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
68.563% |
18.955% |
|
87.518% |
|
7.800% |
3.131% |
1.169% |
0.323% |
|
0.059% |
|
0.058% |
0.001% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
14.061% |
30.497% |
|
44.558% |
|
24.063% |
16.441% |
9.374% |
4.237% |
|
1.327% |
|
1.286% |
0.041% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.954% |
20.465% |
|
27.419% |
|
24.968% |
22.114% |
15.174% |
7.478% |
|
2.847% |
|
2.700% |
0.147% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.456% |
16.450% |
|
22.906% |
|
19.440% |
20.575% |
17.645% |
11.906% |
|
7.528% |
|
6.698% |
0.830% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.137% |
9.255% |
|
12.392% |
|
13.816% |
18.454% |
21.538% |
18.600% |
|
15.200% |
|
13.072% |
2.128% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.604% |
2.803% |
|
3.407% |
|
5.715% |
9.999% |
16.365% |
24.617% |
|
39.897% |
|
31.235% |
8.662% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.225% |
1.571% |
|
1.796% |
|
4.174% |
9.102% |
17.911% |
29.628% |
|
37.389% |
|
32.031% |
5.358% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.024% |
0.184% |
0.824% |
3.211% |
|
95.753% |
|
12.920% |
82.833% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Fizbo 2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
67.091% |
20.403% |
|
87.494% |
|
7.871% |
3.121% |
1.171% |
0.294% |
|
0.049% |
|
0.047% |
0.002% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
19.301% |
38.143% |
|
57.444% |
|
22.391% |
12.006% |
5.462% |
2.121% |
|
0.576% |
|
0.563% |
0.013% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.175% |
15.704% |
|
21.879% |
|
20.656% |
20.643% |
17.572% |
11.862% |
|
7.388% |
|
6.570% |
0.818% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.636% |
12.840% |
|
16.476% |
|
24.320% |
25.784% |
18.933% |
10.323% |
|
4.164% |
|
3.888% |
0.276% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.950% |
8.940% |
|
11.890% |
|
14.645% |
18.727% |
21.728% |
18.157% |
|
14.853% |
|
12.732% |
2.121% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.638% |
2.608% |
|
3.246% |
|
5.906% |
10.192% |
16.530% |
24.706% |
|
39.420% |
|
30.914% |
8.506% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.209% |
1.361% |
|
1.570% |
|
4.180% |
9.355% |
17.825% |
29.389% |
|
37.681% |
|
32.411% |
5.270% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.031% |
0.172% |
0.779% |
3.148% |
|
95.869% |
|
12.875% |
82.994% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
69.415% |
18.229% |
|
87.644% |
|
7.620% |
3.223% |
1.111% |
0.353% |
|
0.049% |
|
0.048% |
0.001% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.636% |
29.253% |
|
41.889% |
|
25.171% |
17.400% |
10.032% |
4.205% |
|
1.303% |
|
1.275% |
0.028% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.203% |
21.708% |
|
28.911% |
|
25.690% |
22.182% |
14.200% |
6.729% |
|
2.288% |
|
2.188% |
0.100% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.656% |
16.997% |
|
23.653% |
|
18.819% |
20.463% |
17.703% |
11.914% |
|
7.448% |
|
6.628% |
0.820% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.221% |
9.415% |
|
12.636% |
|
13.118% |
17.835% |
21.989% |
18.883% |
|
15.539% |
|
13.398% |
2.141% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.602% |
2.805% |
|
3.407% |
|
5.454% |
9.808% |
16.515% |
24.780% |
|
40.036% |
|
31.295% |
8.741% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.266% |
1.590% |
|
1.856% |
|
4.100% |
8.896% |
17.651% |
29.964% |
|
37.533% |
|
32.283% |
5.250% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.028% |
0.193% |
0.799% |
3.172% |
|
95.804% |
|
12.885% |
82.919% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Fizbo 2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
69.202% |
18.048% |
|
87.250% |
|
7.740% |
3.340% |
1.262% |
0.338% |
|
0.070% |
|
0.070% |
|
2. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
12.886% |
30.951% |
|
43.837% |
|
25.158% |
16.893% |
9.192% |
3.828% |
|
1.092% |
|
1.053% |
0.039% |
3. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
7.317% |
20.172% |
|
27.489% |
|
25.419% |
22.332% |
14.817% |
7.250% |
|
2.693% |
|
2.565% |
0.128% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.531% |
16.860% |
|
23.391% |
|
18.573% |
20.346% |
17.799% |
12.223% |
|
7.668% |
|
6.766% |
0.902% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.136% |
9.442% |
|
12.578% |
|
13.186% |
17.925% |
21.696% |
18.710% |
|
15.905% |
|
13.650% |
2.255% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.646% |
2.936% |
|
3.582% |
|
5.570% |
9.867% |
16.160% |
24.610% |
|
40.211% |
|
31.526% |
8.685% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.281% |
1.585% |
|
1.866% |
|
4.318% |
9.120% |
18.220% |
29.841% |
|
36.635% |
|
31.295% |
5.340% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.036% |
0.177% |
0.854% |
3.200% |
|
95.726% |
|
13.075% |
82.651% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.21h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-19 20:45 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 22:58 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 01:10 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 03:22 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 05:35 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 07:47 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 09:59 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 12:12 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 14:24 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 16:36 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 18:48 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:01 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 23:13 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 01:25 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 03:38 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 05:50 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 08:02 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 10:15 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 12:27 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:39 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 16:52 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 19:04 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 21:16 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 23:28 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 01:41 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 03:53 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 06:05 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:18 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 10:30 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 12:42 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 14:55 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 17:07 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 19:19 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 21:31 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 23:44 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 01:56 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 04:08 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 06:21 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 08:33 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:45 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:58 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 15:10 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 17:22 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 19:34 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 21:47 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 23:59 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 02:11 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 04:24 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 06:36 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 08:48 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 11:01 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 13:13 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 15:25 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 17:37 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 19:50 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |