For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
9.5 |
18.21 |
1.65 |
1.48 |
69 |
20 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
9.5 |
16.50 |
1.59 |
2.51 |
19 |
40 |
23 |
12 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
8.5 |
14.83 |
1.57 |
3.91 |
3 |
13 |
25 |
27 |
20 |
10 |
3 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
7.5 |
14.81 |
1.92 |
3.94 |
6 |
15 |
21 |
21 |
19 |
12 |
6 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.0 |
14.16 |
1.95 |
4.48 |
3 |
10 |
16 |
20 |
22 |
17 |
11 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
6.0 |
12.41 |
1.62 |
5.94 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
18 |
32 |
34 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
6.0 |
12.32 |
1.96 |
5.92 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
25 |
35 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
8.75 |
1.63 |
7.82 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
11 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
66.815% |
20.726% |
|
87.541% |
|
7.869% |
3.070% |
1.164% |
0.288% |
|
0.068% |
|
0.068% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
19.624% |
37.679% |
|
57.303% |
|
22.541% |
12.002% |
5.562% |
2.062% |
|
0.530% |
|
0.509% |
0.021% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.213% |
15.775% |
|
21.988% |
|
20.739% |
20.477% |
17.479% |
11.908% |
|
7.409% |
|
6.554% |
0.855% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.608% |
12.857% |
|
16.465% |
|
24.273% |
25.886% |
18.964% |
10.207% |
|
4.205% |
|
3.933% |
0.272% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.977% |
9.021% |
|
11.998% |
|
14.559% |
18.950% |
21.458% |
18.182% |
|
14.853% |
|
12.774% |
2.079% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.563% |
2.605% |
|
3.168% |
|
5.914% |
10.289% |
16.617% |
24.741% |
|
39.271% |
|
30.920% |
8.351% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.200% |
1.334% |
|
1.534% |
|
4.063% |
9.122% |
17.921% |
29.543% |
|
37.817% |
|
32.559% |
5.258% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.042% |
0.204% |
0.835% |
3.069% |
|
95.847% |
|
12.683% |
83.164% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Jonny 8.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
72.867% |
18.382% |
|
91.249% |
|
5.979% |
2.118% |
0.543% |
0.102% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.318% |
40.441% |
|
56.759% |
|
23.256% |
12.198% |
5.418% |
1.907% |
|
0.462% |
|
0.448% |
0.014% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
5.073% |
16.139% |
|
21.212% |
|
21.499% |
21.484% |
17.995% |
11.298% |
|
6.512% |
|
5.752% |
0.760% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.892% |
12.491% |
|
15.383% |
|
25.195% |
26.448% |
19.498% |
9.798% |
|
3.678% |
|
3.434% |
0.244% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.376% |
9.193% |
|
11.569% |
|
15.171% |
19.343% |
22.353% |
17.944% |
|
13.620% |
|
11.603% |
2.017% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.434% |
2.618% |
|
3.052% |
|
5.959% |
10.747% |
17.190% |
25.797% |
|
37.255% |
|
28.954% |
8.301% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.040% |
0.733% |
|
0.773% |
|
2.914% |
7.450% |
16.110% |
29.642% |
|
43.111% |
|
36.303% |
6.808% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.027% |
0.212% |
0.893% |
3.512% |
|
95.353% |
|
13.497% |
81.856% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Jonny 8.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
63.457% |
22.118% |
|
85.575% |
|
9.030% |
3.692% |
1.310% |
0.327% |
|
0.066% |
|
0.064% |
0.002% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
21.207% |
36.111% |
|
57.318% |
|
22.255% |
11.986% |
5.596% |
2.237% |
|
0.608% |
|
0.587% |
0.021% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.000% |
15.354% |
|
22.354% |
|
20.072% |
20.200% |
17.231% |
12.262% |
|
7.881% |
|
6.978% |
0.903% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.236% |
13.190% |
|
17.426% |
|
23.962% |
25.301% |
18.719% |
10.348% |
|
4.244% |
|
3.961% |
0.283% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.260% |
8.959% |
|
12.219% |
|
14.193% |
18.144% |
21.065% |
18.556% |
|
15.823% |
|
13.699% |
2.124% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.642% |
2.643% |
|
3.285% |
|
5.813% |
10.124% |
16.050% |
23.466% |
|
41.262% |
|
32.494% |
8.768% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.197% |
1.622% |
|
1.819% |
|
4.636% |
10.395% |
19.265% |
29.898% |
|
33.987% |
|
29.770% |
4.217% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.003% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.039% |
0.158% |
0.764% |
2.906% |
|
96.129% |
|
12.447% |
83.682% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Jonny 8.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
54.430% |
24.579% |
|
79.009% |
|
11.845% |
5.648% |
2.434% |
0.857% |
|
0.207% |
|
0.202% |
0.005% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
25.605% |
32.124% |
|
57.729% |
|
20.955% |
11.880% |
6.071% |
2.565% |
|
0.800% |
|
0.779% |
0.021% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.518% |
15.068% |
|
23.586% |
|
18.549% |
19.035% |
16.881% |
13.026% |
|
8.923% |
|
8.010% |
0.913% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.522% |
13.530% |
|
19.052% |
|
22.420% |
23.733% |
18.512% |
11.382% |
|
4.901% |
|
4.605% |
0.296% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
4.237% |
8.790% |
|
13.027% |
|
13.198% |
16.721% |
19.585% |
19.637% |
|
17.832% |
|
15.541% |
2.291% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.914% |
2.768% |
|
3.682% |
|
5.565% |
9.476% |
14.595% |
21.883% |
|
44.799% |
|
35.740% |
9.059% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.774% |
3.139% |
|
3.913% |
|
7.431% |
13.347% |
21.269% |
28.161% |
|
25.879% |
|
23.387% |
2.492% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.037% |
0.160% |
0.653% |
2.489% |
|
96.659% |
|
11.736% |
84.923% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.20h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-19 22:48 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 01:00 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 03:12 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 05:24 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 07:36 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 09:48 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 12:01 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 14:13 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 16:25 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 18:37 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 20:49 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 23:01 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 01:13 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 03:26 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 05:38 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 07:50 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 10:02 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 12:14 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:26 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 16:38 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 18:50 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 21:03 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 23:15 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 01:27 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 03:39 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 05:51 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:03 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 10:15 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 12:27 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 14:40 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 16:52 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 19:04 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 21:16 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 23:28 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 01:40 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 03:52 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 06:04 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 08:17 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:29 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:41 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 14:53 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 17:05 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 19:17 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 21:29 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 23:42 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 01:54 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 04:06 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 06:18 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 08:30 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 10:42 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 12:54 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 15:06 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 17:19 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 19:31 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |