For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
10.5 |
18.57 |
1.59 |
1.36 |
75 |
17 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
9.5 |
16.51 |
1.59 |
2.54 |
15 |
43 |
23 |
12 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
8.5 |
14.81 |
1.57 |
3.92 |
2 |
12 |
25 |
28 |
20 |
9 |
3 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
7.5 |
14.80 |
1.92 |
3.93 |
5 |
15 |
22 |
22 |
19 |
11 |
5 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.0 |
14.16 |
1.95 |
4.45 |
2 |
10 |
17 |
21 |
23 |
16 |
9 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
6.0 |
12.32 |
1.96 |
5.87 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
16 |
27 |
32 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
6.0 |
12.07 |
1.56 |
6.13 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
15 |
32 |
38 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
8.76 |
1.64 |
7.81 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
73.140% |
18.241% |
|
91.381% |
|
6.044% |
1.906% |
0.554% |
0.100% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.015% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.357% |
40.466% |
|
56.823% |
|
23.502% |
11.984% |
5.393% |
1.890% |
|
0.408% |
|
0.394% |
0.014% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
4.952% |
16.394% |
|
21.346% |
|
21.313% |
21.416% |
17.829% |
11.533% |
|
6.563% |
|
5.757% |
0.806% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.786% |
12.407% |
|
15.193% |
|
25.077% |
26.830% |
19.337% |
9.852% |
|
3.711% |
|
3.452% |
0.259% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.296% |
9.144% |
|
11.440% |
|
15.013% |
19.488% |
22.741% |
17.757% |
|
13.561% |
|
11.503% |
2.058% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.430% |
2.628% |
|
3.058% |
|
6.077% |
10.799% |
17.216% |
25.817% |
|
37.033% |
|
28.618% |
8.415% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.039% |
0.714% |
|
0.753% |
|
2.942% |
7.388% |
15.990% |
29.547% |
|
43.380% |
|
36.591% |
6.789% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.032% |
0.189% |
0.940% |
3.504% |
|
95.329% |
|
13.670% |
81.659% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
73.008% |
17.943% |
|
90.951% |
|
6.229% |
2.017% |
0.646% |
0.145% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
15.988% |
40.071% |
|
56.059% |
|
23.080% |
12.414% |
5.667% |
2.221% |
|
0.559% |
|
0.552% |
0.007% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
5.216% |
16.253% |
|
21.469% |
|
20.899% |
20.524% |
17.477% |
12.556% |
|
7.075% |
|
6.602% |
0.473% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.676% |
11.872% |
|
14.548% |
|
23.741% |
25.944% |
20.188% |
11.228% |
|
4.351% |
|
4.178% |
0.173% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.355% |
9.001% |
|
11.356% |
|
14.691% |
18.688% |
21.439% |
18.896% |
|
14.930% |
|
13.466% |
1.464% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.721% |
4.160% |
|
4.881% |
|
8.736% |
13.911% |
20.487% |
26.608% |
|
25.377% |
|
23.445% |
1.932% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.036% |
0.699% |
|
0.735% |
|
2.618% |
6.463% |
13.844% |
26.964% |
|
49.376% |
|
44.132% |
5.244% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.006% |
0.039% |
0.252% |
1.382% |
|
98.320% |
|
7.613% |
90.707% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
73.404% |
18.084% |
|
91.488% |
|
5.934% |
1.958% |
0.527% |
0.081% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.296% |
41.133% |
|
57.429% |
|
23.372% |
11.901% |
5.189% |
1.684% |
|
0.425% |
|
0.412% |
0.013% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
4.937% |
16.361% |
|
21.298% |
|
21.539% |
21.717% |
17.814% |
11.173% |
|
6.459% |
|
5.641% |
0.818% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.828% |
12.819% |
|
15.647% |
|
25.565% |
26.911% |
19.121% |
9.305% |
|
3.451% |
|
3.192% |
0.259% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.237% |
8.949% |
|
11.186% |
|
15.440% |
19.918% |
22.977% |
17.322% |
|
13.157% |
|
11.115% |
2.042% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.260% |
1.863% |
|
2.123% |
|
5.050% |
9.784% |
17.149% |
27.115% |
|
38.779% |
|
31.465% |
7.314% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.038% |
0.788% |
|
0.826% |
|
3.075% |
7.640% |
16.444% |
30.093% |
|
41.922% |
|
35.019% |
6.903% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.025% |
0.171% |
0.779% |
3.227% |
|
95.795% |
|
13.144% |
82.651% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
73.092% |
18.308% |
|
91.400% |
|
6.093% |
1.947% |
0.489% |
0.066% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.004% |
0.001% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.612% |
41.208% |
|
57.820% |
|
23.634% |
11.826% |
4.933% |
1.470% |
|
0.317% |
|
0.289% |
0.028% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
4.907% |
16.314% |
|
21.221% |
|
21.865% |
22.642% |
18.378% |
10.130% |
|
5.764% |
|
4.617% |
1.147% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.955% |
13.285% |
|
16.240% |
|
26.784% |
27.647% |
18.543% |
8.010% |
|
2.776% |
|
2.437% |
0.339% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.272% |
9.182% |
|
11.454% |
|
15.489% |
20.697% |
24.276% |
16.435% |
|
11.649% |
|
8.901% |
2.748% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.114% |
0.886% |
|
1.000% |
|
2.788% |
6.327% |
12.892% |
23.857% |
|
53.136% |
|
33.802% |
19.334% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.047% |
0.810% |
|
0.857% |
|
3.256% |
8.460% |
18.590% |
32.959% |
|
35.878% |
|
27.109% |
8.769% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.091% |
0.454% |
1.899% |
7.073% |
|
90.475% |
|
22.841% |
67.634% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.20h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 00:48 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 03:00 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 05:12 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 07:24 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 09:36 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 11:48 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 14:00 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 16:12 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 18:24 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 20:36 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 22:48 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 01:00 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 03:12 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 05:24 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 07:36 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 09:48 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 11:59 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:11 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 16:23 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 18:35 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 20:47 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 22:59 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 01:11 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 03:23 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 05:35 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 07:47 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 09:59 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 12:11 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 14:23 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 16:35 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 18:47 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 20:58 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 23:10 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 01:22 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 03:34 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 05:46 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 07:58 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:10 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:22 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 14:34 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 16:46 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 18:58 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 21:10 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 23:22 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 01:34 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 03:46 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 05:57 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 08:09 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 10:21 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 12:33 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 14:45 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 16:57 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 19:09 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |