For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 10.5 | 18.56 | 1.58 | 1.36 | 75 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 9.5 | 16.48 | 1.59 | 2.58 | 15 | 42 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 7.5 | 14.82 | 1.91 | 3.95 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 6 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 8.5 | 14.76 | 1.57 | 4.01 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 4 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.0 | 14.14 | 1.96 | 4.52 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 11 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 7.0 | 12.99 | 1.87 | 5.43 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 28 | 26 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 1.56 | 6.24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 47 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 8.25 | 1.55 | 7.91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 72.741% | 18.196% | 90.937% | 6.197% | 2.125% | 0.606% | 0.126% | 0.009% | 0.009% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.115% | 39.862% | 55.977% | 23.123% | 12.275% | 5.869% | 2.185% | 0.571% | 0.563% | 0.008% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 5.272% | 16.175% | 21.447% | 20.661% | 20.699% | 17.600% | 12.498% | 7.095% | 6.726% | 0.369% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 2.764% | 11.923% | 14.687% | 23.675% | 26.009% | 20.052% | 11.307% | 4.270% | 4.193% | 0.077% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 2.385% | 9.099% | 11.484% | 14.855% | 18.631% | 21.361% | 18.870% | 14.799% | 13.447% | 1.352% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.700% | 4.077% | 4.777% | 8.816% | 13.764% | 20.472% | 26.604% | 25.567% | 23.754% | 1.813% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.023% | 0.668% | 0.691% | 2.672% | 6.472% | 13.881% | 27.368% | 48.916% | 44.931% | 3.985% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.025% | 0.159% | 1.042% | 98.773% | 6.377% | 92.396% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Laser 181205 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 73.646% | 17.762% | 91.408% | 5.771% | 2.042% | 0.641% | 0.130% | 0.008% | 0.008% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.507% | 40.934% | 57.441% | 22.003% | 11.887% | 5.854% | 2.306% | 0.509% | 0.502% | 0.007% | |||||
| 3. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 3.999% | 14.265% | 18.264% | 20.467% | 21.106% | 18.989% | 13.531% | 7.643% | 7.201% | 0.442% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 2.675% | 12.159% | 14.834% | 23.800% | 24.589% | 20.262% | 11.886% | 4.629% | 4.515% | 0.114% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 2.356% | 9.932% | 12.288% | 16.662% | 20.467% | 21.632% | 17.653% | 11.298% | 10.652% | 0.646% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.781% | 4.254% | 5.035% | 8.651% | 13.625% | 19.325% | 26.905% | 26.459% | 24.477% | 1.982% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.036% | 0.694% | 0.730% | 2.642% | 6.254% | 13.119% | 26.644% | 50.611% | 46.563% | 4.048% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.004% | 0.030% | 0.178% | 0.945% | 98.843% | 6.082% | 92.761% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 73.685% | 17.741% | 91.426% | 5.738% | 2.088% | 0.597% | 0.138% | 0.013% | 0.013% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.299% | 40.833% | 57.132% | 22.263% | 12.047% | 5.718% | 2.236% | 0.604% | 0.597% | 0.007% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 4.717% | 16.237% | 20.954% | 22.011% | 21.589% | 17.700% | 11.868% | 5.878% | 5.625% | 0.253% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 2.723% | 12.361% | 15.084% | 24.171% | 24.755% | 19.863% | 11.492% | 4.635% | 4.526% | 0.109% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.745% | 7.907% | 9.652% | 14.225% | 19.304% | 22.708% | 19.810% | 14.301% | 13.229% | 1.072% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.790% | 4.194% | 4.984% | 8.902% | 13.696% | 19.602% | 26.745% | 26.071% | 24.222% | 1.849% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.041% | 0.727% | 0.768% | 2.685% | 6.496% | 13.622% | 26.738% | 49.691% | 45.551% | 4.140% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.005% | 0.025% | 0.190% | 0.973% | 98.807% | 6.237% | 92.570% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Laser 181205 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 71.646% | 18.827% | 90.473% | 6.594% | 2.204% | 0.598% | 0.121% | 0.010% | 0.010% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.570% | 37.661% | 53.231% | 25.218% | 13.054% | 5.913% | 2.076% | 0.508% | 0.500% | 0.008% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 8.640% | 23.689% | 32.329% | 25.578% | 20.081% | 12.707% | 6.662% | 2.643% | 2.559% | 0.084% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 2.564% | 11.337% | 13.901% | 22.969% | 28.290% | 20.133% | 10.786% | 3.921% | 3.835% | 0.086% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 0.776% | 4.029% | 4.805% | 8.508% | 14.405% | 22.093% | 26.021% | 24.168% | 22.454% | 1.714% | |||||
| 6. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.772% | 3.834% | 4.606% | 8.685% | 15.258% | 23.033% | 24.924% | 23.494% | 21.210% | 2.284% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.032% | 0.623% | 0.655% | 2.443% | 6.682% | 15.322% | 28.272% | 46.626% | 42.703% | 3.923% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.005% | 0.026% | 0.201% | 1.138% | 98.630% | 6.729% | 91.901% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.19h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-20 02:21 | 61 | Fizbo 2 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 04:32 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 06:44 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 08:55 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 11:06 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 13:18 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 15:29 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 17:40 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 19:51 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 22:03 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 00:14 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 02:25 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 04:37 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 06:48 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 08:59 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 11:10 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 13:22 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 15:33 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 17:44 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 19:56 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 22:07 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 00:18 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 02:29 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 04:41 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 06:52 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 09:03 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 11:15 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 13:26 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 15:37 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 17:48 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 20:00 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 22:11 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 00:22 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 02:34 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 04:45 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 06:56 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 09:07 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 11:19 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 13:30 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 15:41 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 17:52 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 20:04 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 22:15 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 00:26 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 02:38 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-24 04:49 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-24 07:00 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 09:11 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 11:23 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 13:34 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 15:45 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 17:57 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |