For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 10.5 | 18.56 | 1.59 | 1.35 | 76 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 9.5 | 16.48 | 1.59 | 2.56 | 15 | 43 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Laser 181205 | 8.0 | 14.86 | 1.80 | 3.91 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 5 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 8.5 | 14.76 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 7.5 | 14.11 | 1.82 | 4.55 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 11 |
| 6 | Chiron S14 | 7.0 | 12.98 | 1.87 | 5.45 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 28 | 26 |
| 7 | Jonny 8.1 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 1.56 | 6.26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 48 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.0 | 8.24 | 1.56 | 7.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 73.482% | 18.032% | 91.514% | 5.738% | 1.992% | 0.607% | 0.134% | 0.015% | 0.015% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.497% | 40.655% | 57.152% | 22.370% | 11.954% | 5.732% | 2.218% | 0.574% | 0.568% | 0.006% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 4.675% | 16.322% | 20.997% | 22.074% | 21.559% | 17.760% | 11.669% | 5.941% | 5.703% | 0.238% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 2.802% | 12.190% | 14.992% | 23.940% | 24.970% | 19.836% | 11.544% | 4.718% | 4.598% | 0.120% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.766% | 7.900% | 9.666% | 14.292% | 19.344% | 22.640% | 19.600% | 14.458% | 13.401% | 1.057% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.736% | 4.224% | 4.960% | 8.942% | 13.728% | 19.838% | 26.820% | 25.712% | 23.842% | 1.870% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.042% | 0.677% | 0.719% | 2.641% | 6.424% | 13.439% | 27.011% | 49.766% | 45.875% | 3.891% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.003% | 0.029% | 0.148% | 1.004% | 98.816% | 5.998% | 92.818% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Laser 181205 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 74.338% | 17.383% | 91.721% | 5.591% | 1.951% | 0.584% | 0.139% | 0.014% | 0.014% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.706% | 42.140% | 58.846% | 21.566% | 11.448% | 5.425% | 2.168% | 0.547% | 0.546% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 4.743% | 19.118% | 23.861% | 32.194% | 22.586% | 13.240% | 6.212% | 1.907% | 1.876% | 0.031% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.797% | 8.588% | 10.385% | 15.146% | 23.408% | 23.371% | 17.471% | 10.219% | 9.688% | 0.531% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.680% | 7.730% | 9.410% | 13.711% | 19.276% | 22.773% | 19.733% | 15.097% | 13.894% | 1.203% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.703% | 4.232% | 4.935% | 8.940% | 14.366% | 19.862% | 26.013% | 25.884% | 23.865% | 2.019% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.033% | 0.809% | 0.842% | 2.849% | 6.939% | 14.555% | 27.135% | 47.680% | 43.769% | 3.911% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.003% | 0.026% | 0.190% | 1.129% | 98.652% | 6.348% | 92.304% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 74.088% | 17.573% | 91.661% | 5.566% | 2.014% | 0.606% | 0.145% | 0.008% | 0.008% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 16.817% | 41.496% | 58.313% | 21.404% | 11.674% | 5.790% | 2.286% | 0.533% | 0.529% | 0.004% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 4.091% | 15.798% | 19.889% | 22.832% | 22.636% | 18.039% | 11.277% | 5.327% | 5.140% | 0.187% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 2.359% | 11.985% | 14.344% | 24.245% | 25.776% | 19.962% | 11.544% | 4.129% | 4.047% | 0.082% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.841% | 8.004% | 9.845% | 14.460% | 18.277% | 22.760% | 19.947% | 14.711% | 13.667% | 1.044% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.769% | 4.390% | 5.159% | 8.859% | 13.320% | 19.445% | 26.987% | 26.230% | 24.371% | 1.859% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.035% | 0.753% | 0.788% | 2.628% | 6.282% | 13.254% | 26.819% | 50.229% | 46.178% | 4.051% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.006% | 0.021% | 0.144% | 0.995% | 98.833% | 6.060% | 92.773% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Laser 181205 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 72.335% | 18.343% | 90.678% | 6.234% | 2.230% | 0.706% | 0.137% | 0.015% | 0.015% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 15.749% | 38.641% | 54.390% | 24.172% | 12.733% | 5.950% | 2.190% | 0.565% | 0.561% | 0.004% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 8.225% | 24.326% | 32.551% | 27.818% | 19.272% | 11.876% | 6.169% | 2.314% | 2.254% | 0.060% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.815% | 7.656% | 9.471% | 14.467% | 20.036% | 22.613% | 19.826% | 13.587% | 12.647% | 0.940% | |||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 1.109% | 6.157% | 7.266% | 16.345% | 25.980% | 25.909% | 17.189% | 7.311% | 7.129% | 0.182% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.742% | 4.247% | 4.989% | 8.663% | 13.710% | 19.803% | 27.415% | 25.420% | 23.710% | 1.710% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.025% | 0.630% | 0.655% | 2.298% | 6.022% | 13.010% | 26.193% | 51.822% | 47.672% | 4.150% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.003% | 0.017% | 0.133% | 0.881% | 98.966% | 6.012% | 92.954% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-20 04:01 | 62 | Fritz 16.10 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-20 06:12 | 63 | Jonny 8.1 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-20 08:23 | 64 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-20 10:33 | 65 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-20 12:44 | 66 | Chiron S14 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-20 14:55 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 17:06 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 19:17 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 21:27 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 23:38 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 01:49 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 04:00 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 06:10 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 08:21 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 10:32 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 12:43 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 14:53 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 17:04 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 19:15 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 21:26 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 23:37 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 01:47 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 03:58 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 06:09 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 08:20 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 10:30 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 12:41 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 14:52 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 17:03 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 19:13 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 21:24 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 23:35 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 01:46 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 03:56 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 06:07 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 08:18 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 10:29 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 12:40 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 14:50 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 17:01 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 19:12 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 21:23 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 23:33 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 01:44 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-24 03:55 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-24 06:06 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 08:16 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 10:27 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 12:38 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 14:49 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 17:00 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |