For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
10.5 |
18.60 |
1.58 |
1.33 |
77 |
16 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
9.5 |
16.52 |
1.58 |
2.53 |
16 |
44 |
22 |
11 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
9.5 |
15.33 |
1.50 |
3.48 |
4 |
19 |
32 |
23 |
14 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
8.0 |
14.14 |
1.71 |
4.53 |
1 |
8 |
15 |
24 |
24 |
18 |
9 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.5 |
14.06 |
1.83 |
4.58 |
2 |
9 |
15 |
21 |
23 |
19 |
11 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
7.0 |
12.99 |
1.87 |
5.44 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
27 |
26 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
6.0 |
12.08 |
1.56 |
6.19 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
28 |
46 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
8.29 |
1.56 |
7.91 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
74.141% |
17.452% |
|
91.593% |
|
5.739% |
1.927% |
0.610% |
0.116% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.015% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.859% |
42.039% |
|
58.898% |
|
21.429% |
11.364% |
5.547% |
2.178% |
|
0.584% |
|
0.577% |
0.007% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.711% |
19.050% |
|
23.761% |
|
31.992% |
22.724% |
13.492% |
6.137% |
|
1.894% |
|
1.874% |
0.020% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.819% |
8.592% |
|
10.411% |
|
15.415% |
23.292% |
23.294% |
17.393% |
|
10.195% |
|
9.670% |
0.525% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.663% |
7.861% |
|
9.524% |
|
13.588% |
19.288% |
22.716% |
19.811% |
|
15.073% |
|
13.804% |
1.269% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.759% |
4.190% |
|
4.949% |
|
8.952% |
14.323% |
19.539% |
26.213% |
|
26.024% |
|
24.044% |
1.980% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.048% |
0.816% |
|
0.864% |
|
2.882% |
7.053% |
14.610% |
27.088% |
|
47.503% |
|
43.664% |
3.839% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.029% |
0.192% |
1.064% |
|
98.712% |
|
6.352% |
92.360% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
74.771% |
17.665% |
|
92.436% |
|
5.390% |
1.613% |
0.458% |
0.096% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
17.284% |
43.817% |
|
61.101% |
|
21.678% |
10.485% |
4.525% |
1.729% |
|
0.482% |
|
0.471% |
0.011% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.853% |
20.696% |
|
25.549% |
|
35.093% |
21.778% |
11.115% |
4.812% |
|
1.653% |
|
1.602% |
0.051% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.767% |
8.775% |
|
10.542% |
|
15.979% |
25.328% |
22.580% |
15.889% |
|
9.682% |
|
8.775% |
0.907% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.771% |
4.470% |
|
5.241% |
|
9.806% |
16.398% |
21.103% |
23.343% |
|
24.109% |
|
20.942% |
3.167% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.512% |
3.609% |
|
4.121% |
|
8.643% |
15.574% |
22.756% |
24.669% |
|
24.237% |
|
21.101% |
3.136% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.042% |
0.966% |
|
1.008% |
|
3.405% |
8.735% |
16.938% |
27.313% |
|
42.601% |
|
36.751% |
5.850% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.006% |
0.089% |
0.525% |
2.149% |
|
97.229% |
|
10.351% |
86.878% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
74.554% |
17.539% |
|
92.093% |
|
5.500% |
1.760% |
0.527% |
0.109% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.854% |
42.333% |
|
59.187% |
|
21.768% |
11.008% |
5.343% |
2.137% |
|
0.557% |
|
0.551% |
0.006% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.757% |
19.562% |
|
24.319% |
|
32.338% |
22.334% |
13.058% |
6.041% |
|
1.910% |
|
1.884% |
0.026% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.816% |
8.894% |
|
10.710% |
|
15.480% |
23.292% |
22.918% |
17.302% |
|
10.298% |
|
9.817% |
0.481% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.253% |
6.539% |
|
7.792% |
|
12.882% |
19.710% |
23.829% |
20.934% |
|
14.853% |
|
14.102% |
0.751% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.728% |
4.265% |
|
4.993% |
|
9.076% |
14.530% |
19.470% |
25.561% |
|
26.370% |
|
24.308% |
2.062% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.038% |
0.868% |
|
0.906% |
|
2.955% |
7.347% |
14.706% |
26.990% |
|
47.096% |
|
43.147% |
3.949% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.019% |
0.149% |
0.926% |
|
98.905% |
|
6.180% |
92.725% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
73.564% |
17.446% |
|
91.010% |
|
5.932% |
2.182% |
0.708% |
0.155% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.013% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.224% |
40.011% |
|
56.235% |
|
21.801% |
12.267% |
6.424% |
2.609% |
|
0.664% |
|
0.660% |
0.004% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.485% |
17.742% |
|
22.227% |
|
29.251% |
23.737% |
15.291% |
7.277% |
|
2.217% |
|
2.208% |
0.009% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.019% |
11.777% |
|
14.796% |
|
18.091% |
21.842% |
21.604% |
15.587% |
|
8.080% |
|
8.009% |
0.071% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.950% |
8.341% |
|
10.291% |
|
14.637% |
21.231% |
24.295% |
19.026% |
|
10.520% |
|
10.268% |
0.252% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.726% |
4.017% |
|
4.743% |
|
7.946% |
12.992% |
18.888% |
28.142% |
|
27.289% |
|
26.123% |
1.166% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.032% |
0.666% |
|
0.698% |
|
2.342% |
5.745% |
12.750% |
26.856% |
|
51.609% |
|
49.103% |
2.506% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.040% |
0.348% |
|
99.608% |
|
3.616% |
95.992% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 06:17 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 08:28 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 10:39 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 12:50 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 15:01 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 17:12 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 19:23 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:33 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 23:44 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 01:55 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 04:06 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 06:17 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 08:28 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 10:39 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 12:49 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 15:00 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 17:11 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 19:22 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 21:33 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 23:44 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 01:55 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 04:05 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:16 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:27 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 10:38 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 12:49 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 15:00 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 17:11 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 19:21 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 21:32 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 23:43 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 01:54 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 04:05 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 06:16 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 08:27 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 10:37 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 12:48 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 14:59 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 17:10 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 19:21 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 21:32 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 23:43 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 01:53 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 04:04 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 06:15 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 08:26 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 10:37 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 12:48 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 14:59 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 17:09 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |