For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
10.5 |
18.60 |
1.59 |
1.33 |
77 |
16 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
9.5 |
16.52 |
1.59 |
2.51 |
16 |
45 |
22 |
11 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
9.5 |
15.33 |
1.50 |
3.46 |
4 |
19 |
33 |
23 |
13 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
8.0 |
14.13 |
1.70 |
4.52 |
1 |
8 |
16 |
24 |
24 |
18 |
9 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.0 |
13.96 |
1.72 |
4.65 |
1 |
7 |
15 |
21 |
25 |
19 |
11 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
7.0 |
12.99 |
1.87 |
5.43 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
27 |
26 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
6.0 |
12.10 |
1.56 |
6.18 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
28 |
45 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.5 |
8.37 |
1.49 |
7.92 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
74.541% |
17.564% |
|
92.105% |
|
5.511% |
1.777% |
0.488% |
0.104% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.015% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.810% |
42.655% |
|
59.465% |
|
21.355% |
11.054% |
5.395% |
2.166% |
|
0.565% |
|
0.560% |
0.005% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.760% |
19.301% |
|
24.061% |
|
32.605% |
22.240% |
13.131% |
6.071% |
|
1.892% |
|
1.872% |
0.020% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.818% |
8.705% |
|
10.523% |
|
15.376% |
23.453% |
23.001% |
17.296% |
|
10.351% |
|
9.856% |
0.495% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.225% |
6.673% |
|
7.898% |
|
13.180% |
19.504% |
23.785% |
20.936% |
|
14.697% |
|
13.949% |
0.748% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.808% |
4.297% |
|
5.105% |
|
8.999% |
14.636% |
19.587% |
25.526% |
|
26.147% |
|
24.118% |
2.029% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.038% |
0.805% |
|
0.843% |
|
2.973% |
7.312% |
14.460% |
26.968% |
|
47.444% |
|
43.411% |
4.033% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.024% |
0.153% |
0.933% |
|
98.889% |
|
6.219% |
92.670% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
75.047% |
17.305% |
|
92.352% |
|
5.402% |
1.655% |
0.507% |
0.073% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.691% |
43.750% |
|
60.441% |
|
21.473% |
10.706% |
5.042% |
1.846% |
|
0.492% |
|
0.489% |
0.003% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.982% |
20.360% |
|
25.342% |
|
33.934% |
21.703% |
11.876% |
5.308% |
|
1.837% |
|
1.827% |
0.010% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.722% |
8.702% |
|
10.424% |
|
15.750% |
24.538% |
22.565% |
15.904% |
|
10.819% |
|
10.267% |
0.552% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.251% |
6.646% |
|
7.897% |
|
13.479% |
20.196% |
23.917% |
19.317% |
|
15.194% |
|
14.411% |
0.783% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.216% |
1.797% |
|
2.013% |
|
5.050% |
10.008% |
16.234% |
25.393% |
|
41.302% |
|
37.499% |
3.803% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.091% |
1.439% |
|
1.530% |
|
4.911% |
11.169% |
19.697% |
31.132% |
|
31.561% |
|
29.531% |
2.030% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
0.025% |
0.162% |
1.027% |
|
98.784% |
|
5.965% |
92.819% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
74.672% |
17.368% |
|
92.040% |
|
5.459% |
1.806% |
0.565% |
0.120% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.909% |
42.805% |
|
59.714% |
|
21.442% |
10.902% |
5.279% |
2.111% |
|
0.552% |
|
0.546% |
0.006% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.685% |
19.490% |
|
24.175% |
|
32.976% |
22.304% |
12.787% |
5.824% |
|
1.934% |
|
1.909% |
0.025% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.865% |
8.863% |
|
10.728% |
|
15.367% |
23.806% |
22.630% |
16.803% |
|
10.666% |
|
10.130% |
0.536% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.224% |
6.839% |
|
8.063% |
|
13.306% |
19.494% |
23.783% |
19.988% |
|
15.366% |
|
14.557% |
0.809% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.607% |
3.975% |
|
4.582% |
|
8.893% |
15.276% |
20.990% |
27.207% |
|
23.052% |
|
21.660% |
1.392% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.038% |
0.660% |
|
0.698% |
|
2.556% |
6.387% |
13.816% |
27.015% |
|
49.528% |
|
45.724% |
3.804% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.025% |
0.150% |
0.932% |
|
98.892% |
|
5.464% |
93.428% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
73.702% |
17.623% |
|
91.325% |
|
5.739% |
2.081% |
0.670% |
0.177% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.887% |
40.914% |
|
57.801% |
|
21.376% |
11.891% |
5.999% |
2.443% |
|
0.490% |
|
0.487% |
0.003% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.643% |
18.463% |
|
23.106% |
|
30.529% |
23.026% |
14.434% |
7.128% |
|
1.777% |
|
1.750% |
0.027% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.908% |
8.721% |
|
10.629% |
|
14.884% |
21.920% |
23.683% |
19.617% |
|
9.267% |
|
8.786% |
0.481% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
1.526% |
7.558% |
|
9.084% |
|
13.833% |
19.141% |
22.573% |
24.879% |
|
10.490% |
|
10.031% |
0.459% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.329% |
6.507% |
|
7.836% |
|
12.504% |
18.503% |
23.675% |
23.747% |
|
13.735% |
|
13.050% |
0.685% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.005% |
0.214% |
|
0.219% |
|
1.134% |
3.416% |
8.835% |
21.159% |
|
65.237% |
|
58.734% |
6.503% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.022% |
0.131% |
0.850% |
|
98.996% |
|
7.154% |
91.842% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 08:15 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 10:25 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 12:36 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 14:46 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 16:57 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 19:08 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:18 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 23:29 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 01:40 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 03:50 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 06:01 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 08:12 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 10:22 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 12:33 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:43 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 16:54 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 19:05 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 21:15 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 23:26 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 01:37 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 03:47 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 05:58 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:09 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 10:19 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 12:30 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 14:40 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 16:51 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 19:02 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 21:12 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 23:23 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 01:34 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 03:44 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 05:55 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 08:06 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 10:16 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 12:27 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 14:38 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 16:48 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 18:59 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 21:09 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 23:20 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 01:31 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 03:41 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 05:52 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 08:03 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 10:13 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 12:24 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 14:35 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 16:45 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |