For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
11.0 |
18.61 |
1.51 |
1.30 |
78 |
16 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
10.0 |
16.61 |
1.52 |
2.45 |
15 |
48 |
22 |
10 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
9.5 |
15.39 |
1.50 |
3.41 |
4 |
19 |
35 |
23 |
12 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
8.0 |
14.13 |
1.71 |
4.51 |
1 |
8 |
16 |
25 |
24 |
16 |
10 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.0 |
13.97 |
1.72 |
4.64 |
1 |
7 |
15 |
22 |
25 |
18 |
11 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
7.0 |
12.61 |
1.49 |
5.80 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
19 |
34 |
30 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
7.0 |
12.27 |
1.75 |
5.98 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
25 |
41 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.5 |
8.39 |
1.50 |
7.92 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
75.518% |
17.202% |
|
92.720% |
|
5.292% |
1.518% |
0.390% |
0.075% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
15.955% |
45.377% |
|
61.332% |
|
21.508% |
10.403% |
4.594% |
1.709% |
|
0.454% |
|
0.450% |
0.004% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.145% |
19.271% |
|
24.416% |
|
34.374% |
21.830% |
12.138% |
5.378% |
|
1.864% |
|
1.841% |
0.023% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.878% |
8.441% |
|
10.319% |
|
15.615% |
24.618% |
22.613% |
15.907% |
|
10.928% |
|
10.438% |
0.490% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.196% |
6.501% |
|
7.697% |
|
13.470% |
20.584% |
23.904% |
19.103% |
|
15.242% |
|
14.459% |
0.783% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.213% |
1.804% |
|
2.017% |
|
4.974% |
10.103% |
16.325% |
25.562% |
|
41.019% |
|
37.251% |
3.768% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.095% |
1.403% |
|
1.498% |
|
4.767% |
10.917% |
19.865% |
31.303% |
|
31.650% |
|
29.672% |
1.978% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
|
0.027% |
0.171% |
0.963% |
|
98.838% |
|
5.884% |
92.954% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Fizbo 2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
82.867% |
13.873% |
|
96.740% |
|
2.501% |
0.627% |
0.111% |
0.020% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.730% |
50.819% |
|
63.549% |
|
20.636% |
9.539% |
4.296% |
1.548% |
|
0.432% |
|
0.427% |
0.005% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.731% |
15.740% |
|
17.471% |
|
34.005% |
24.222% |
14.866% |
6.912% |
|
2.524% |
|
2.484% |
0.040% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.514% |
9.218% |
|
10.732% |
|
17.207% |
24.104% |
21.761% |
15.616% |
|
10.580% |
|
10.059% |
0.521% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.939% |
6.968% |
|
7.907% |
|
14.887% |
20.132% |
23.340% |
18.805% |
|
14.929% |
|
14.212% |
0.717% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.169% |
1.910% |
|
2.079% |
|
5.571% |
10.269% |
15.821% |
25.314% |
|
40.946% |
|
37.336% |
3.610% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.050% |
1.472% |
|
1.522% |
|
5.192% |
11.090% |
19.667% |
30.841% |
|
31.688% |
|
29.665% |
2.023% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.017% |
0.138% |
0.944% |
|
98.900% |
|
5.816% |
93.084% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
72.199% |
19.366% |
|
91.565% |
|
6.136% |
1.763% |
0.445% |
0.083% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
17.933% |
41.885% |
|
59.818% |
|
22.171% |
10.963% |
4.899% |
1.679% |
|
0.470% |
|
0.466% |
0.004% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.940% |
21.639% |
|
27.579% |
|
35.316% |
20.835% |
10.730% |
4.238% |
|
1.302% |
|
1.289% |
0.013% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
2.111% |
8.056% |
|
10.167% |
|
14.727% |
24.930% |
22.857% |
16.293% |
|
11.026% |
|
10.483% |
0.543% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.442% |
5.980% |
|
7.422% |
|
12.474% |
20.383% |
24.570% |
19.596% |
|
15.555% |
|
14.706% |
0.849% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.254% |
1.744% |
|
1.998% |
|
4.591% |
10.110% |
16.447% |
25.479% |
|
41.375% |
|
37.522% |
3.853% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.121% |
1.330% |
|
1.451% |
|
4.581% |
10.995% |
19.860% |
31.644% |
|
31.469% |
|
29.405% |
2.064% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.021% |
0.192% |
0.988% |
|
98.795% |
|
6.121% |
92.674% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Fizbo 2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
59.219% |
24.296% |
|
83.515% |
|
11.345% |
3.783% |
1.127% |
0.207% |
|
0.023% |
|
0.023% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
21.479% |
34.391% |
|
55.870% |
|
24.179% |
12.098% |
5.492% |
1.905% |
|
0.456% |
|
0.451% |
0.005% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
14.303% |
26.393% |
|
40.696% |
|
32.833% |
16.200% |
7.215% |
2.465% |
|
0.591% |
|
0.589% |
0.002% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
2.637% |
6.826% |
|
9.463% |
|
13.035% |
25.895% |
23.975% |
16.524% |
|
11.108% |
|
10.536% |
0.572% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.866% |
5.455% |
|
7.321% |
|
10.793% |
21.213% |
25.316% |
19.887% |
|
15.470% |
|
14.633% |
0.837% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.330% |
1.468% |
|
1.798% |
|
4.038% |
9.853% |
16.508% |
25.906% |
|
41.897% |
|
37.957% |
3.940% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.166% |
1.171% |
|
1.337% |
|
3.777% |
10.929% |
20.196% |
32.050% |
|
31.711% |
|
29.607% |
2.104% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.029% |
0.171% |
1.056% |
|
98.744% |
|
6.204% |
92.540% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 13:01 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 15:12 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 17:23 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 19:34 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:45 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 23:56 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 02:07 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 04:18 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 06:29 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 08:40 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 10:51 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 13:02 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 15:13 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 17:24 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 19:35 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 21:46 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 23:57 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 02:08 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 04:19 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:30 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:41 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 10:52 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 13:03 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 15:14 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 17:25 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 19:36 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 21:47 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 23:58 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 02:09 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 04:20 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 06:31 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 08:43 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 10:54 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 13:05 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 15:16 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 17:27 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 19:38 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 21:49 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 00:00 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 02:11 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 04:22 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 06:33 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 08:44 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 10:55 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 13:06 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 15:17 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 17:28 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |