For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 12.0 | 18.99 | 1.44 | 1.18 | 85 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 10.0 | 16.63 | 1.52 | 2.43 | 11 | 54 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 9.5 | 15.04 | 1.44 | 3.66 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 2 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 8.0 | 14.15 | 1.71 | 4.45 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 15 | 9 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.0 | 13.97 | 1.72 | 4.60 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 11 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 7.0 | 12.60 | 1.50 | 5.78 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 30 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 7.0 | 12.25 | 1.74 | 5.97 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 41 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.5 | 8.37 | 1.49 | 7.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 82.904% | 13.803% | 96.707% | 2.563% | 0.573% | 0.136% | 0.020% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.772% | 50.851% | 63.623% | 20.774% | 9.616% | 4.117% | 1.489% | 0.381% | 0.375% | 0.006% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.676% | 15.612% | 17.288% | 33.984% | 24.261% | 14.814% | 7.174% | 2.479% | 2.440% | 0.039% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.488% | 9.368% | 10.856% | 17.299% | 23.826% | 22.001% | 15.553% | 10.465% | 9.950% | 0.515% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.949% | 6.903% | 7.852% | 14.700% | 20.279% | 23.116% | 18.996% | 15.057% | 14.274% | 0.783% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.147% | 1.918% | 2.065% | 5.396% | 10.228% | 16.107% | 25.299% | 40.905% | 37.251% | 3.654% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.064% | 1.545% | 1.609% | 5.283% | 11.190% | 19.519% | 30.489% | 31.910% | 29.858% | 2.052% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.027% | 0.190% | 0.980% | 98.802% | 5.851% | 92.951% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 87.110% | 9.833% | 96.943% | 2.279% | 0.602% | 0.144% | 0.031% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 7.577% | 43.565% | 51.142% | 23.942% | 13.694% | 7.100% | 3.103% | 1.019% | 1.013% | 0.006% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.939% | 19.848% | 21.787% | 29.276% | 22.461% | 14.946% | 8.087% | 3.443% | 3.390% | 0.053% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.711% | 11.542% | 13.253% | 16.347% | 21.093% | 20.104% | 16.680% | 12.523% | 11.963% | 0.560% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 1.186% | 8.822% | 10.008% | 13.582% | 17.789% | 21.052% | 19.428% | 18.141% | 17.294% | 0.847% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.400% | 4.452% | 4.852% | 9.501% | 14.375% | 19.174% | 24.808% | 27.290% | 26.062% | 1.228% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.077% | 1.938% | 2.015% | 5.069% | 9.970% | 17.357% | 27.210% | 38.379% | 36.121% | 2.258% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.004% | 0.016% | 0.123% | 0.653% | 99.204% | 4.156% | 95.048% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 83.971% | 12.736% | 96.707% | 2.541% | 0.603% | 0.133% | 0.014% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 11.714% | 51.258% | 62.972% | 21.319% | 9.954% | 4.104% | 1.369% | 0.282% | 0.279% | 0.003% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.740% | 16.320% | 18.060% | 33.579% | 24.039% | 14.734% | 6.955% | 2.633% | 2.603% | 0.030% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.455% | 9.559% | 11.014% | 17.240% | 23.673% | 21.559% | 15.716% | 10.798% | 10.272% | 0.526% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.980% | 7.199% | 8.179% | 14.729% | 20.072% | 23.133% | 18.646% | 15.241% | 14.401% | 0.840% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.087% | 1.472% | 1.559% | 5.318% | 10.474% | 17.051% | 26.354% | 39.244% | 36.461% | 2.783% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.053% | 1.456% | 1.509% | 5.271% | 11.163% | 19.128% | 30.078% | 32.851% | 30.809% | 2.042% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.003% | 0.022% | 0.158% | 0.868% | 98.949% | 5.173% | 93.776% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 78.843% | 17.544% | 96.387% | 2.878% | 0.600% | 0.117% | 0.015% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 17.713% | 56.192% | 73.905% | 17.184% | 6.244% | 2.137% | 0.486% | 0.044% | 0.043% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.383% | 12.386% | 13.769% | 38.130% | 25.520% | 14.558% | 6.227% | 1.796% | 1.766% | 0.030% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.233% | 7.368% | 8.601% | 17.709% | 26.602% | 23.216% | 15.017% | 8.855% | 8.373% | 0.482% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.754% | 5.214% | 5.968% | 15.826% | 22.220% | 24.988% | 18.722% | 12.276% | 11.566% | 0.710% | |||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.053% | 1.015% | 1.068% | 5.474% | 12.111% | 21.731% | 33.537% | 26.079% | 24.254% | 1.825% | |||||
| 7. | Chiron S14 | 0.021% | 0.281% | 0.302% | 2.795% | 6.667% | 13.077% | 24.712% | 52.447% | 46.484% | 5.963% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.004% | 0.036% | 0.176% | 1.284% | 98.500% | 7.511% | 90.989% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-20 15:10 | 67 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-20 17:21 | 68 | Laser 181205 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 19:32 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 21:43 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 23:54 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 02:05 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 04:16 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 06:27 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 08:38 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 10:49 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 13:00 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 15:11 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 17:22 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 19:33 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 21:44 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 23:55 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 02:06 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 04:17 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 06:28 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 08:39 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 10:50 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 13:01 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 15:12 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 17:23 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 19:34 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 21:45 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 23:56 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 02:07 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 04:18 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 06:29 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 08:40 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 10:51 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 13:02 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 15:13 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 17:24 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 19:35 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 21:46 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 23:57 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 02:08 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-24 04:19 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-24 06:30 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 08:41 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 10:52 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 13:03 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 15:14 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 17:25 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |