For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
12.0 |
18.98 |
1.44 |
1.17 |
86 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
10.5 |
16.55 |
1.45 |
2.45 |
10 |
55 |
21 |
9 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
9.5 |
15.02 |
1.43 |
3.66 |
1 |
15 |
34 |
25 |
15 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
8.0 |
14.14 |
1.70 |
4.46 |
1 |
9 |
18 |
24 |
23 |
15 |
10 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.0 |
13.98 |
1.72 |
4.59 |
1 |
8 |
17 |
22 |
23 |
17 |
12 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
7.0 |
12.59 |
1.49 |
5.80 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
19 |
32 |
31 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
7.5 |
12.36 |
1.64 |
5.94 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
16 |
27 |
40 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.5 |
8.38 |
1.49 |
7.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
83.980% |
12.790% |
|
96.770% |
|
2.455% |
0.607% |
0.146% |
0.021% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.635% |
51.054% |
|
62.689% |
|
21.487% |
10.013% |
4.273% |
1.263% |
|
0.275% |
|
0.275% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.720% |
16.384% |
|
18.104% |
|
33.630% |
23.940% |
14.504% |
7.172% |
|
2.650% |
|
2.609% |
0.041% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.475% |
9.644% |
|
11.119% |
|
16.984% |
23.575% |
21.698% |
15.561% |
|
11.063% |
|
10.513% |
0.550% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.038% |
7.161% |
|
8.199% |
|
14.827% |
20.097% |
22.903% |
18.844% |
|
15.130% |
|
14.351% |
0.779% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.099% |
1.390% |
|
1.489% |
|
5.434% |
10.714% |
16.934% |
26.384% |
|
39.045% |
|
36.206% |
2.839% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.053% |
1.577% |
|
1.630% |
|
5.180% |
11.036% |
19.409% |
29.862% |
|
32.883% |
|
30.860% |
2.023% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.018% |
0.133% |
0.893% |
|
98.953% |
|
5.185% |
93.768% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Jonny 8.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
83.549% |
12.808% |
|
96.357% |
|
2.799% |
0.660% |
0.166% |
0.015% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.481% |
49.685% |
|
61.166% |
|
21.943% |
10.581% |
4.677% |
1.357% |
|
0.276% |
|
0.276% |
|
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.672% |
10.758% |
|
12.430% |
|
19.921% |
23.432% |
23.149% |
13.787% |
|
7.281% |
|
7.041% |
0.240% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.652% |
15.296% |
|
16.948% |
|
31.306% |
25.405% |
16.434% |
7.276% |
|
2.631% |
|
2.589% |
0.042% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.531% |
9.502% |
|
11.033% |
|
16.288% |
22.904% |
23.440% |
15.744% |
|
10.591% |
|
10.042% |
0.549% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.099% |
1.350% |
|
1.449% |
|
5.059% |
10.022% |
16.997% |
28.976% |
|
37.497% |
|
34.783% |
2.714% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.016% |
0.601% |
|
0.617% |
|
2.679% |
6.977% |
14.981% |
31.856% |
|
42.890% |
|
39.808% |
3.082% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.019% |
0.156% |
0.989% |
|
98.831% |
|
5.458% |
93.373% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Jonny 8.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
84.049% |
12.818% |
|
96.867% |
|
2.431% |
0.562% |
0.123% |
0.017% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.884% |
51.910% |
|
63.794% |
|
21.149% |
9.431% |
3.925% |
1.371% |
|
0.330% |
|
0.326% |
0.004% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.729% |
16.732% |
|
18.461% |
|
34.554% |
23.297% |
13.919% |
7.013% |
|
2.756% |
|
2.714% |
0.042% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.578% |
9.762% |
|
11.340% |
|
17.562% |
24.048% |
20.350% |
15.219% |
|
11.481% |
|
10.907% |
0.574% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.593% |
5.709% |
|
6.302% |
|
13.271% |
19.866% |
24.440% |
20.167% |
|
15.954% |
|
15.220% |
0.734% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.112% |
1.527% |
|
1.639% |
|
5.634% |
10.990% |
16.750% |
24.665% |
|
40.322% |
|
37.436% |
2.886% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.055% |
1.542% |
|
1.597% |
|
5.397% |
11.762% |
20.339% |
30.753% |
|
30.152% |
|
28.502% |
1.650% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.044% |
0.154% |
0.795% |
|
99.005% |
|
4.895% |
94.110% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – Jonny 8.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
84.326% |
12.739% |
|
97.065% |
|
2.330% |
0.483% |
0.094% |
0.025% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.942% |
53.013% |
|
64.955% |
|
21.042% |
8.962% |
3.499% |
1.265% |
|
0.277% |
|
0.276% |
0.001% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.788% |
17.380% |
|
19.168% |
|
36.163% |
22.915% |
12.718% |
6.533% |
|
2.503% |
|
2.476% |
0.027% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.432% |
9.566% |
|
10.998% |
|
17.337% |
24.724% |
19.648% |
15.774% |
|
11.519% |
|
10.919% |
0.600% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.248% |
2.753% |
|
3.001% |
|
8.016% |
14.335% |
21.393% |
25.027% |
|
28.228% |
|
26.449% |
1.779% |
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.138% |
3.124% |
|
3.262% |
|
9.460% |
17.358% |
25.123% |
26.624% |
|
18.173% |
|
17.405% |
0.768% |
7. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.126% |
1.425% |
|
1.551% |
|
5.647% |
11.193% |
17.353% |
23.942% |
|
40.314% |
|
37.327% |
2.987% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.030% |
0.172% |
0.810% |
|
98.983% |
|
5.145% |
93.838% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.19h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 17:33 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 19:44 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:55 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 00:07 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 02:18 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 04:29 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 06:40 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 08:51 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 11:03 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 13:14 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 15:25 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 17:36 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 19:47 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 21:58 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 00:10 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 02:21 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 04:32 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:43 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:54 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 11:05 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 13:17 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 15:28 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 17:39 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 19:50 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 22:01 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 00:13 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 02:24 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 04:35 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 06:46 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 08:57 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 11:08 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 13:20 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 15:31 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 17:42 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 19:53 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 22:04 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 00:15 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 02:27 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 04:38 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 06:49 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 09:00 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 11:11 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 13:23 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 15:34 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 17:45 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |