For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 12.0 | 18.98 | 1.43 | 1.17 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 10.5 | 16.57 | 1.45 | 2.42 | 10 | 56 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 9.5 | 15.04 | 1.43 | 3.64 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 8.0 | 14.12 | 1.71 | 4.46 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 10 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.5 | 13.84 | 1.62 | 4.70 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 25 | 18 | 12 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 7.5 | 12.70 | 1.43 | 5.73 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 29 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 7.5 | 12.36 | 1.64 | 5.94 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 3.5 | 8.38 | 1.49 | 7.93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 84.248% | 12.604% | 96.852% | 2.400% | 0.580% | 0.133% | 0.034% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 11.790% | 51.814% | 63.604% | 21.212% | 9.629% | 3.932% | 1.310% | 0.313% | 0.312% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.717% | 16.878% | 18.595% | 34.681% | 23.260% | 13.886% | 6.899% | 2.679% | 2.637% | 0.042% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.506% | 9.945% | 11.451% | 17.073% | 24.163% | 20.478% | 15.453% | 11.382% | 10.822% | 0.560% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.616% | 5.815% | 6.431% | 13.308% | 19.904% | 24.100% | 20.142% | 16.115% | 15.390% | 0.725% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.082% | 1.441% | 1.523% | 5.713% | 10.921% | 16.832% | 24.832% | 40.179% | 37.241% | 2.938% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.041% | 1.503% | 1.544% | 5.610% | 11.511% | 20.460% | 30.505% | 30.370% | 28.700% | 1.670% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.003% | 0.032% | 0.179% | 0.825% | 98.961% | 4.897% | 94.064% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 83.349% | 13.131% | 96.480% | 2.714% | 0.643% | 0.138% | 0.024% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 11.744% | 49.572% | 61.316% | 21.837% | 10.565% | 4.470% | 1.483% | 0.329% | 0.329% | ||||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 2.317% | 13.603% | 15.920% | 21.235% | 25.628% | 18.727% | 11.762% | 6.728% | 6.654% | 0.074% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 1.789% | 15.715% | 17.504% | 32.096% | 24.520% | 15.127% | 7.682% | 3.071% | 3.054% | 0.017% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.644% | 5.282% | 5.926% | 12.473% | 18.491% | 25.576% | 21.270% | 16.264% | 15.895% | 0.369% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.110% | 1.362% | 1.472% | 5.040% | 9.761% | 16.439% | 25.570% | 41.718% | 39.981% | 1.737% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.047% | 1.335% | 1.382% | 4.605% | 10.391% | 19.476% | 31.888% | 32.258% | 31.236% | 1.022% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.047% | 0.321% | 99.631% | 2.850% | 96.781% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 84.383% | 12.813% | 97.196% | 2.213% | 0.479% | 0.097% | 0.012% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.000% | 53.465% | 65.465% | 20.461% | 8.672% | 3.760% | 1.361% | 0.281% | 0.281% | ||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.811% | 17.223% | 19.034% | 36.137% | 22.473% | 13.053% | 6.696% | 2.607% | 2.565% | 0.042% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.029% | 7.536% | 8.565% | 15.675% | 24.648% | 21.913% | 16.748% | 12.451% | 12.034% | 0.417% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.615% | 5.897% | 6.512% | 14.044% | 20.249% | 23.782% | 19.722% | 15.691% | 14.916% | 0.775% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.106% | 1.494% | 1.600% | 5.756% | 11.275% | 16.708% | 24.617% | 40.044% | 36.908% | 3.136% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.056% | 1.572% | 1.628% | 5.712% | 12.186% | 20.561% | 30.040% | 29.873% | 28.073% | 1.800% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.002% | 0.018% | 0.126% | 0.804% | 99.050% | 5.220% | 93.830% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 84.855% | 12.676% | 97.531% | 2.004% | 0.371% | 0.077% | 0.013% | 0.004% | 0.004% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.082% | 55.604% | 67.686% | 20.155% | 7.712% | 3.096% | 1.097% | 0.254% | 0.250% | 0.004% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.926% | 18.102% | 20.028% | 39.133% | 21.371% | 11.725% | 5.605% | 2.138% | 2.053% | 0.085% | |||||
| 4. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.601% | 5.948% | 6.549% | 14.926% | 22.548% | 22.472% | 18.610% | 14.895% | 13.517% | 1.378% | |||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 0.379% | 4.352% | 4.731% | 10.835% | 20.806% | 22.746% | 20.787% | 20.095% | 18.280% | 1.815% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.103% | 1.543% | 1.646% | 6.319% | 12.906% | 17.677% | 23.631% | 37.821% | 32.736% | 5.085% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.054% | 1.775% | 1.829% | 6.621% | 14.193% | 21.775% | 28.369% | 27.213% | 24.321% | 2.892% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.007% | 0.093% | 0.432% | 1.888% | 97.580% | 8.839% | 88.741% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-20 18:40 | 69 | Fizbo 2 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-20 20:50 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 23:00 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 01:11 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 03:21 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 05:31 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 07:41 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 09:52 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 12:02 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 14:12 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 16:22 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 18:32 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 20:43 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 22:53 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 01:03 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 03:13 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 05:24 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 07:34 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 09:44 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 11:54 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 14:05 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 16:15 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 18:25 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 20:35 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 22:45 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 00:56 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 03:06 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 05:16 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 07:26 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 09:37 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 11:47 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 13:57 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 16:07 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 18:18 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 20:28 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 22:38 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 00:48 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-24 02:58 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-24 05:09 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 07:19 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 09:29 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 11:39 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 13:50 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 16:00 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |