For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 12.0 | 18.99 | 1.43 | 1.17 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 10.5 | 16.59 | 1.45 | 2.39 | 11 | 57 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 9.5 | 15.06 | 1.44 | 3.59 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 8.5 | 13.93 | 1.61 | 4.61 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 23 | 17 | 11 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.5 | 13.84 | 1.61 | 4.67 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 12 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 7.5 | 12.70 | 1.42 | 5.71 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 32 | 29 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 7.5 | 12.36 | 1.64 | 5.94 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 41 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 4.0 | 8.54 | 1.42 | 7.93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 84.405% | 12.730% | 97.135% | 2.208% | 0.522% | 0.120% | 0.015% | ||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 11.981% | 53.166% | 65.147% | 20.703% | 8.912% | 3.702% | 1.235% | 0.301% | 0.300% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.817% | 17.425% | 19.242% | 36.374% | 22.157% | 13.023% | 6.565% | 2.639% | 2.604% | 0.035% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.036% | 7.791% | 8.827% | 15.420% | 24.370% | 22.021% | 16.846% | 12.516% | 12.129% | 0.387% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.596% | 5.829% | 6.425% | 13.832% | 20.385% | 23.758% | 19.730% | 15.870% | 15.059% | 0.811% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.095% | 1.535% | 1.630% | 5.773% | 11.327% | 16.786% | 24.567% | 39.917% | 36.691% | 3.226% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.070% | 1.524% | 1.594% | 5.688% | 12.313% | 20.467% | 30.221% | 29.717% | 27.950% | 1.767% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.002% | 0.014% | 0.123% | 0.821% | 99.040% | 5.267% | 93.773% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 83.919% | 12.740% | 96.659% | 2.575% | 0.616% | 0.130% | 0.019% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 11.764% | 50.480% | 62.244% | 22.567% | 9.660% | 3.888% | 1.363% | 0.278% | 0.276% | 0.002% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 2.669% | 22.109% | 24.778% | 39.220% | 20.430% | 9.959% | 4.293% | 1.320% | 1.316% | 0.004% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 0.914% | 6.870% | 7.784% | 13.776% | 25.427% | 22.899% | 17.478% | 12.636% | 12.426% | 0.210% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.595% | 5.159% | 5.754% | 12.125% | 20.671% | 24.602% | 20.707% | 16.141% | 15.664% | 0.477% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.089% | 1.248% | 1.337% | 4.902% | 11.066% | 17.417% | 25.343% | 39.935% | 38.084% | 1.851% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.050% | 1.394% | 1.444% | 4.835% | 12.126% | 21.063% | 30.425% | 30.107% | 29.067% | 1.040% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.004% | 0.042% | 0.372% | 99.582% | 3.166% | 96.416% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 84.778% | 12.517% | 97.295% | 2.096% | 0.489% | 0.101% | 0.017% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.117% | 54.598% | 66.715% | 19.721% | 8.452% | 3.549% | 1.253% | 0.310% | 0.307% | 0.003% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.258% | 15.881% | 17.139% | 36.046% | 23.292% | 13.880% | 7.023% | 2.620% | 2.600% | 0.020% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.039% | 7.767% | 8.806% | 15.691% | 24.275% | 21.816% | 16.927% | 12.485% | 12.037% | 0.448% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.631% | 6.078% | 6.709% | 14.250% | 20.169% | 23.529% | 19.628% | 15.715% | 14.891% | 0.824% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.128% | 1.546% | 1.674% | 6.182% | 11.173% | 16.741% | 24.229% | 40.001% | 36.646% | 3.355% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.049% | 1.613% | 1.662% | 6.013% | 12.134% | 20.263% | 30.100% | 29.828% | 27.937% | 1.891% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.016% | 0.121% | 0.823% | 99.039% | 5.580% | 93.459% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 85.344% | 12.518% | 97.862% | 1.689% | 0.351% | 0.085% | 0.010% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 12.127% | 57.765% | 69.892% | 18.164% | 7.467% | 3.112% | 1.119% | 0.246% | 0.240% | 0.006% | |||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 1.031% | 8.988% | 10.019% | 18.565% | 22.912% | 20.480% | 15.846% | 12.178% | 11.384% | 0.794% | |||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 0.694% | 10.649% | 11.343% | 31.060% | 25.118% | 17.539% | 10.214% | 4.726% | 4.602% | 0.124% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.634% | 6.563% | 7.197% | 16.659% | 19.773% | 21.887% | 18.843% | 15.641% | 14.249% | 1.392% | |||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.119% | 1.684% | 1.803% | 7.088% | 11.443% | 16.384% | 23.520% | 39.762% | 34.303% | 5.459% | |||||
| 7. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.051% | 1.833% | 1.884% | 6.771% | 12.882% | 20.178% | 28.668% | 29.617% | 26.523% | 3.094% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.004% | 0.054% | 0.335% | 1.780% | 97.827% | 8.696% | 89.131% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-20 20:44 | 70 | Jonny 8.1 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-20 22:54 | 71 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 01:04 | 72 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 03:14 | 73 | Chiron S14 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 05:24 | 74 | Ginkgo 2.18b | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-21 07:34 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 09:44 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 11:55 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 14:05 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 16:15 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 18:25 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 20:35 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 22:45 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 00:55 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 03:05 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 05:16 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 07:26 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 09:36 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 11:46 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 13:56 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 16:06 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 18:16 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 20:27 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 22:37 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 00:47 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 02:57 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 05:07 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 07:17 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 09:27 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 11:37 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 13:48 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 15:58 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 18:08 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 20:18 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 22:28 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 00:38 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-24 02:48 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-24 04:59 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 07:09 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 09:19 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 11:29 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 13:39 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 15:49 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |