For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
12.0 |
18.98 |
1.43 |
1.16 |
87 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
10.5 |
16.58 |
1.44 |
2.37 |
11 |
59 |
19 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
10.0 |
14.96 |
1.37 |
3.65 |
1 |
15 |
37 |
25 |
14 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
8.5 |
13.92 |
1.61 |
4.60 |
1 |
7 |
17 |
24 |
23 |
17 |
12 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.5 |
13.85 |
1.62 |
4.65 |
1 |
7 |
16 |
22 |
24 |
18 |
12 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
7.5 |
12.70 |
1.42 |
5.71 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
11 |
20 |
32 |
29 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
7.5 |
12.36 |
1.63 |
5.93 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
16 |
25 |
40 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
4.5 |
8.65 |
1.35 |
7.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
84.944% |
12.372% |
|
97.316% |
|
2.110% |
0.460% |
0.093% |
0.019% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.005% |
54.750% |
|
66.755% |
|
19.715% |
8.428% |
3.517% |
1.254% |
|
0.331% |
|
0.331% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.271% |
15.825% |
|
17.096% |
|
36.122% |
23.503% |
13.623% |
7.091% |
|
2.565% |
|
2.541% |
0.024% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.941% |
7.915% |
|
8.856% |
|
15.738% |
24.062% |
21.916% |
16.886% |
|
12.542% |
|
12.108% |
0.434% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.666% |
6.000% |
|
6.666% |
|
14.382% |
20.033% |
23.411% |
19.700% |
|
15.808% |
|
15.027% |
0.781% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.127% |
1.556% |
|
1.683% |
|
5.982% |
11.295% |
16.723% |
24.357% |
|
39.960% |
|
36.705% |
3.255% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.046% |
1.582% |
|
1.628% |
|
5.951% |
12.204% |
20.596% |
29.910% |
|
29.711% |
|
27.841% |
1.870% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
0.121% |
0.783% |
|
99.081% |
|
5.445% |
93.636% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Laser 181205 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
85.501% |
12.252% |
|
97.753% |
|
1.770% |
0.358% |
0.097% |
0.019% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.988% |
56.800% |
|
68.788% |
|
19.075% |
7.426% |
3.138% |
1.284% |
|
0.289% |
|
0.286% |
0.003% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.339% |
16.373% |
|
17.712% |
|
38.076% |
21.732% |
13.056% |
6.822% |
|
2.602% |
|
2.577% |
0.025% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.618% |
6.256% |
|
6.874% |
|
15.028% |
20.836% |
20.384% |
19.914% |
|
16.964% |
|
16.090% |
0.874% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.335% |
3.709% |
|
4.044% |
|
10.024% |
19.427% |
22.534% |
22.798% |
|
21.173% |
|
20.343% |
0.830% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.126% |
1.584% |
|
1.710% |
|
6.304% |
11.721% |
16.058% |
22.541% |
|
41.666% |
|
38.232% |
3.434% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.093% |
3.026% |
|
3.119% |
|
9.723% |
18.479% |
24.620% |
25.896% |
|
18.163% |
|
17.401% |
0.762% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.021% |
0.113% |
0.726% |
|
99.140% |
|
5.068% |
94.072% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
85.132% |
12.341% |
|
97.473% |
|
1.987% |
0.422% |
0.095% |
0.020% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.021% |
55.514% |
|
67.535% |
|
19.459% |
8.020% |
3.455% |
1.226% |
|
0.305% |
|
0.302% |
0.003% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.294% |
15.816% |
|
17.110% |
|
36.526% |
23.177% |
13.493% |
6.989% |
|
2.705% |
|
2.686% |
0.019% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.737% |
7.297% |
|
8.034% |
|
16.081% |
25.424% |
23.130% |
16.580% |
|
10.751% |
|
10.487% |
0.264% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.659% |
6.148% |
|
6.807% |
|
14.742% |
20.147% |
22.582% |
19.491% |
|
16.231% |
|
15.445% |
0.786% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.121% |
1.603% |
|
1.724% |
|
6.120% |
11.353% |
16.454% |
23.707% |
|
40.642% |
|
37.286% |
3.356% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.036% |
1.281% |
|
1.317% |
|
5.085% |
11.443% |
20.667% |
31.233% |
|
30.255% |
|
28.598% |
1.657% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.014% |
0.124% |
0.754% |
|
99.108% |
|
5.193% |
93.915% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Laser 181205 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
84.045% |
12.764% |
|
96.809% |
|
2.437% |
0.606% |
0.129% |
0.017% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
11.858% |
52.024% |
|
63.882% |
|
20.920% |
9.727% |
4.046% |
1.175% |
|
0.250% |
|
0.249% |
0.001% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
2.048% |
13.090% |
|
15.138% |
|
22.654% |
27.862% |
20.162% |
10.143% |
|
4.041% |
|
3.971% |
0.070% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.268% |
14.400% |
|
15.668% |
|
32.848% |
25.813% |
15.740% |
7.325% |
|
2.606% |
|
2.585% |
0.021% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.659% |
5.766% |
|
6.425% |
|
13.476% |
19.195% |
26.709% |
20.091% |
|
14.104% |
|
13.418% |
0.686% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.117% |
1.438% |
|
1.555% |
|
5.447% |
10.543% |
17.512% |
27.353% |
|
37.590% |
|
34.375% |
3.215% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.005% |
0.518% |
|
0.523% |
|
2.218% |
6.248% |
15.592% |
32.942% |
|
42.477% |
|
39.477% |
3.000% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.110% |
0.954% |
|
98.930% |
|
5.923% |
93.007% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 22:57 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 01:07 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 03:17 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 05:27 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 07:37 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 09:47 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 11:58 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:08 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 16:18 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 18:28 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 20:38 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 22:48 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 00:59 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 03:09 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 05:19 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 07:29 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 09:39 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 11:50 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 14:00 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 16:10 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 18:20 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 20:30 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 22:40 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 00:51 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 03:01 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 05:11 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 07:21 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 09:31 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 11:41 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 13:52 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 16:02 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 18:12 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 20:22 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 22:32 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 00:42 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 02:53 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 05:03 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 07:13 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 09:23 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 11:33 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 13:44 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 15:54 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |