For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
12.0 |
19.00 |
1.44 |
1.16 |
87 |
11 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
10.5 |
16.58 |
1.45 |
2.37 |
10 |
59 |
19 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
10.0 |
14.95 |
1.37 |
3.64 |
1 |
15 |
37 |
24 |
14 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
9.0 |
13.94 |
1.50 |
4.56 |
1 |
6 |
17 |
26 |
24 |
17 |
10 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.5 |
13.84 |
1.61 |
4.65 |
1 |
7 |
17 |
22 |
23 |
18 |
12 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
8.0 |
12.68 |
1.35 |
5.76 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
20 |
34 |
29 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
7.5 |
12.35 |
1.64 |
5.94 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
10 |
15 |
24 |
42 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
4.5 |
8.66 |
1.35 |
7.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
84.885% |
12.550% |
|
97.435% |
|
1.973% |
0.480% |
0.087% |
0.021% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.174% |
55.250% |
|
67.424% |
|
19.081% |
8.427% |
3.497% |
1.273% |
|
0.298% |
|
0.297% |
0.001% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.343% |
15.920% |
|
17.263% |
|
36.727% |
22.950% |
13.371% |
6.995% |
|
2.694% |
|
2.669% |
0.025% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.803% |
7.223% |
|
8.026% |
|
16.231% |
25.385% |
22.859% |
16.690% |
|
10.809% |
|
10.499% |
0.310% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.626% |
6.150% |
|
6.776% |
|
14.496% |
19.867% |
22.806% |
19.658% |
|
16.397% |
|
15.575% |
0.822% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.128% |
1.596% |
|
1.724% |
|
6.270% |
11.200% |
16.601% |
23.522% |
|
40.683% |
|
37.308% |
3.375% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.041% |
1.311% |
|
1.352% |
|
5.221% |
11.676% |
20.650% |
31.037% |
|
30.064% |
|
28.400% |
1.664% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.015% |
0.129% |
0.804% |
|
99.051% |
|
5.248% |
93.803% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
81.741% |
15.749% |
|
97.490% |
|
2.057% |
0.392% |
0.047% |
0.013% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.199% |
61.663% |
|
77.862% |
|
15.500% |
4.777% |
1.427% |
0.368% |
|
0.066% |
|
0.066% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.139% |
12.847% |
|
13.986% |
|
43.051% |
22.654% |
11.937% |
6.008% |
|
2.364% |
|
2.346% |
0.018% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.676% |
5.784% |
|
6.460% |
|
17.050% |
28.602% |
22.311% |
15.599% |
|
9.978% |
|
9.678% |
0.300% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.146% |
1.794% |
|
1.940% |
|
9.967% |
17.689% |
23.815% |
23.500% |
|
23.089% |
|
21.788% |
1.301% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.073% |
1.156% |
|
1.229% |
|
6.756% |
12.835% |
17.703% |
23.268% |
|
38.209% |
|
34.969% |
3.240% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.026% |
1.007% |
|
1.033% |
|
5.619% |
13.035% |
22.631% |
30.355% |
|
27.327% |
|
25.698% |
1.629% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
0.129% |
0.889% |
|
98.966% |
|
5.454% |
93.512% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
86.183% |
11.254% |
|
97.437% |
|
1.968% |
0.467% |
0.108% |
0.018% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
10.814% |
55.123% |
|
65.937% |
|
20.440% |
8.641% |
3.497% |
1.230% |
|
0.255% |
|
0.254% |
0.001% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.472% |
16.839% |
|
18.311% |
|
35.113% |
22.736% |
13.635% |
7.248% |
|
2.957% |
|
2.933% |
0.024% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.833% |
7.858% |
|
8.691% |
|
15.795% |
24.502% |
23.017% |
16.799% |
|
11.196% |
|
10.917% |
0.279% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.534% |
5.766% |
|
6.300% |
|
15.703% |
21.771% |
23.719% |
18.869% |
|
13.638% |
|
13.135% |
0.503% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.127% |
1.690% |
|
1.817% |
|
5.964% |
10.829% |
16.054% |
23.812% |
|
41.524% |
|
38.199% |
3.325% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.037% |
1.470% |
|
1.507% |
|
5.017% |
11.036% |
19.877% |
31.324% |
|
31.239% |
|
29.550% |
1.689% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.018% |
0.093% |
0.700% |
|
99.189% |
|
5.010% |
94.179% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
88.979% |
8.459% |
|
97.438% |
|
1.903% |
0.502% |
0.123% |
0.031% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
6.691% |
44.921% |
|
51.612% |
|
24.304% |
13.238% |
7.076% |
2.948% |
|
0.822% |
|
0.817% |
0.005% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.661% |
13.615% |
|
15.276% |
|
20.351% |
22.772% |
20.265% |
13.627% |
|
7.709% |
|
7.542% |
0.167% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.551% |
20.110% |
|
21.661% |
|
28.659% |
23.175% |
15.071% |
8.182% |
|
3.252% |
|
3.234% |
0.018% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.947% |
8.948% |
|
9.895% |
|
14.698% |
21.199% |
24.153% |
18.062% |
|
11.993% |
|
11.700% |
0.293% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.141% |
2.154% |
|
2.295% |
|
5.324% |
9.339% |
14.988% |
24.320% |
|
43.734% |
|
40.326% |
3.408% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.030% |
1.793% |
|
1.823% |
|
4.761% |
9.766% |
18.251% |
32.204% |
|
33.195% |
|
31.558% |
1.637% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.073% |
0.626% |
|
99.292% |
|
4.820% |
94.472% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 23:52 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 02:01 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 04:10 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 06:19 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 08:28 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 10:37 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 12:47 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 14:56 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 17:05 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 19:14 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 21:23 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 23:32 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 01:41 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 03:50 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:00 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 08:09 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 10:18 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 12:27 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 14:36 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 16:45 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 18:54 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 21:03 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 23:13 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 01:22 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 03:31 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 05:40 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 07:49 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 09:58 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 12:07 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 14:16 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 16:26 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 18:35 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 20:44 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 22:53 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 01:02 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 03:11 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 05:20 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 07:29 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 09:38 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 11:48 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 13:57 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |