For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
12.0 |
19.05 |
1.43 |
1.19 |
84 |
14 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
11.5 |
17.06 |
1.37 |
2.11 |
15 |
66 |
14 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
10.0 |
14.98 |
1.37 |
3.60 |
1 |
11 |
44 |
24 |
12 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
9.0 |
13.93 |
1.50 |
4.52 |
0 |
5 |
18 |
29 |
23 |
15 |
9 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.5 |
13.27 |
1.51 |
5.13 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
20 |
25 |
23 |
18 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
8.0 |
12.70 |
1.35 |
5.66 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
22 |
32 |
26 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
7.5 |
12.38 |
1.64 |
5.86 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
11 |
17 |
23 |
39 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
4.5 |
8.65 |
1.36 |
7.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
81.913% |
15.614% |
|
97.527% |
|
2.013% |
0.374% |
0.070% |
0.015% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.066% |
61.806% |
|
77.872% |
|
15.607% |
4.740% |
1.380% |
0.342% |
|
0.059% |
|
0.059% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.109% |
12.886% |
|
13.995% |
|
42.969% |
22.723% |
12.114% |
5.871% |
|
2.328% |
|
2.305% |
0.023% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.647% |
5.782% |
|
6.429% |
|
17.089% |
28.764% |
22.410% |
15.396% |
|
9.912% |
|
9.642% |
0.270% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.134% |
1.753% |
|
1.887% |
|
9.932% |
17.589% |
23.365% |
23.635% |
|
23.592% |
|
21.984% |
1.608% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.099% |
1.193% |
|
1.292% |
|
6.778% |
12.745% |
17.790% |
23.304% |
|
38.091% |
|
34.806% |
3.285% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.032% |
0.966% |
|
0.998% |
|
5.612% |
13.046% |
22.711% |
30.522% |
|
27.111% |
|
25.521% |
1.590% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.019% |
0.160% |
0.915% |
|
98.906% |
|
5.682% |
93.224% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
86.455% |
12.223% |
|
98.678% |
|
1.151% |
0.146% |
0.020% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
12.277% |
65.767% |
|
78.044% |
|
15.590% |
4.699% |
1.302% |
0.306% |
|
0.059% |
|
0.059% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
0.706% |
12.829% |
|
13.535% |
|
44.993% |
22.536% |
11.474% |
5.555% |
|
1.907% |
|
1.888% |
0.019% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.443% |
5.944% |
|
6.387% |
|
17.689% |
30.182% |
22.010% |
14.943% |
|
8.789% |
|
8.520% |
0.269% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.098% |
1.695% |
|
1.793% |
|
10.391% |
18.707% |
24.977% |
23.668% |
|
20.464% |
|
18.921% |
1.543% |
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.014% |
1.037% |
|
1.051% |
|
5.833% |
13.862% |
24.115% |
30.910% |
|
24.229% |
|
22.766% |
1.463% |
7. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.007% |
0.505% |
|
0.512% |
|
4.353% |
9.845% |
15.911% |
23.570% |
|
45.809% |
|
41.333% |
4.476% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.023% |
0.191% |
1.043% |
|
98.743% |
|
6.513% |
92.230% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
79.051% |
18.111% |
|
97.162% |
|
2.342% |
0.413% |
0.072% |
0.010% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.543% |
59.317% |
|
77.860% |
|
15.145% |
4.948% |
1.562% |
0.406% |
|
0.079% |
|
0.078% |
0.001% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.378% |
12.482% |
|
13.860% |
|
41.791% |
22.636% |
12.601% |
6.437% |
|
2.675% |
|
2.655% |
0.020% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.770% |
5.817% |
|
6.587% |
|
16.870% |
27.680% |
21.847% |
16.110% |
|
10.906% |
|
10.608% |
0.298% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.167% |
1.823% |
|
1.990% |
|
9.859% |
16.705% |
22.670% |
23.152% |
|
25.624% |
|
23.936% |
1.688% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.047% |
1.483% |
|
1.530% |
|
8.428% |
15.275% |
19.624% |
23.618% |
|
31.525% |
|
29.579% |
1.946% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.044% |
0.967% |
|
1.011% |
|
5.565% |
12.328% |
21.488% |
29.535% |
|
30.073% |
|
28.511% |
1.562% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
0.136% |
0.732% |
|
99.117% |
|
4.632% |
94.485% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
70.958% |
23.049% |
|
94.007% |
|
4.523% |
1.160% |
0.256% |
0.048% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
24.886% |
52.202% |
|
77.088% |
|
15.200% |
5.356% |
1.744% |
0.502% |
|
0.110% |
|
0.110% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.099% |
12.563% |
|
14.662% |
|
37.828% |
23.381% |
13.355% |
7.557% |
|
3.217% |
|
3.193% |
0.024% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.256% |
5.938% |
|
7.194% |
|
15.491% |
24.765% |
22.767% |
17.442% |
|
12.341% |
|
12.027% |
0.314% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.452% |
3.250% |
|
3.702% |
|
13.091% |
19.049% |
21.257% |
21.274% |
|
21.627% |
|
20.752% |
0.875% |
6. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.291% |
1.989% |
|
2.280% |
|
8.978% |
15.401% |
20.887% |
23.700% |
|
28.754% |
|
26.958% |
1.796% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.058% |
1.009% |
|
1.067% |
|
4.888% |
10.881% |
19.613% |
28.860% |
|
34.691% |
|
32.889% |
1.802% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
0.121% |
0.617% |
|
99.254% |
|
4.065% |
95.189% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-21 00:57 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 03:05 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 05:13 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 07:21 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 09:29 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 11:38 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 13:46 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 15:54 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 18:02 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 20:11 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 22:19 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 00:27 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 02:35 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 04:44 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 06:52 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 09:00 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 11:08 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 13:16 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 15:25 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 17:33 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 19:41 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 21:49 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 23:58 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 02:06 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 04:14 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 06:22 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 08:30 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 10:39 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 12:47 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 14:55 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 17:03 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 19:12 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 21:20 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 23:28 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 01:36 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 03:45 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 05:53 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 08:01 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 10:09 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 12:17 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |