For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
12.5 |
18.77 |
1.36 |
1.22 |
81 |
17 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
11.5 |
17.04 |
1.37 |
2.09 |
17 |
64 |
14 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
10.0 |
14.95 |
1.37 |
3.63 |
1 |
11 |
43 |
24 |
13 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
9.0 |
13.92 |
1.50 |
4.56 |
1 |
5 |
18 |
28 |
22 |
16 |
10 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.5 |
13.26 |
1.51 |
5.18 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
19 |
24 |
22 |
20 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
8.0 |
12.72 |
1.54 |
5.64 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
14 |
19 |
24 |
33 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
8.0 |
12.69 |
1.35 |
5.74 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
11 |
21 |
31 |
30 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
4.5 |
8.64 |
1.36 |
7.94 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
79.030% |
18.131% |
|
97.161% |
|
2.307% |
0.448% |
0.075% |
0.006% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.543% |
59.191% |
|
77.734% |
|
15.383% |
4.842% |
1.519% |
0.445% |
|
0.077% |
|
0.077% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.395% |
12.497% |
|
13.892% |
|
41.520% |
22.914% |
12.322% |
6.648% |
|
2.704% |
|
2.691% |
0.013% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.792% |
5.874% |
|
6.666% |
|
16.962% |
27.357% |
22.168% |
15.902% |
|
10.945% |
|
10.663% |
0.282% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.148% |
1.809% |
|
1.957% |
|
9.803% |
16.947% |
22.476% |
23.147% |
|
25.670% |
|
23.993% |
1.677% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.050% |
1.448% |
|
1.498% |
|
8.570% |
15.261% |
19.841% |
23.484% |
|
31.346% |
|
29.426% |
1.920% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.042% |
1.050% |
|
1.092% |
|
5.454% |
12.211% |
21.461% |
29.605% |
|
30.177% |
|
28.561% |
1.616% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.020% |
0.138% |
0.763% |
|
99.078% |
|
4.586% |
94.492% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fizbo 2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
79.565% |
18.160% |
|
97.725% |
|
1.839% |
0.354% |
0.073% |
0.008% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.702% |
61.865% |
|
80.567% |
|
13.077% |
4.331% |
1.498% |
0.429% |
|
0.098% |
|
0.097% |
0.001% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.846% |
6.480% |
|
7.326% |
|
19.275% |
23.178% |
21.164% |
16.750% |
|
12.307% |
|
12.011% |
0.296% |
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
0.551% |
7.592% |
|
8.143% |
|
33.039% |
25.862% |
17.046% |
10.540% |
|
5.370% |
|
5.326% |
0.044% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.194% |
1.962% |
|
2.156% |
|
11.373% |
15.217% |
19.852% |
22.536% |
|
28.866% |
|
27.143% |
1.723% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.096% |
2.776% |
|
2.872% |
|
15.372% |
19.513% |
21.417% |
21.167% |
|
19.659% |
|
19.052% |
0.607% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.046% |
1.165% |
|
1.211% |
|
6.024% |
11.528% |
18.864% |
27.981% |
|
34.392% |
|
32.604% |
1.788% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.017% |
0.086% |
0.589% |
|
99.307% |
|
3.766% |
95.541% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
79.253% |
17.954% |
|
97.207% |
|
2.290% |
0.425% |
0.074% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.618% |
59.794% |
|
78.412% |
|
14.845% |
4.820% |
1.447% |
0.400% |
|
0.076% |
|
0.076% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
1.115% |
12.434% |
|
13.549% |
|
43.734% |
23.240% |
11.879% |
5.641% |
|
1.957% |
|
1.949% |
0.008% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.776% |
5.911% |
|
6.687% |
|
16.917% |
27.425% |
22.165% |
15.812% |
|
10.994% |
|
10.705% |
0.289% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.157% |
1.842% |
|
1.999% |
|
9.752% |
16.797% |
22.523% |
22.928% |
|
26.001% |
|
24.259% |
1.742% |
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.051% |
1.071% |
|
1.122% |
|
5.790% |
12.363% |
21.063% |
29.522% |
|
30.140% |
|
28.515% |
1.625% |
7. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.030% |
0.994% |
|
1.024% |
|
6.671% |
14.916% |
20.718% |
24.958% |
|
31.713% |
|
30.157% |
1.556% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.014% |
0.131% |
0.735% |
|
99.119% |
|
4.339% |
94.780% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Fizbo 2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
78.532% |
17.654% |
|
96.186% |
|
3.173% |
0.560% |
0.077% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
17.945% |
55.218% |
|
73.163% |
|
19.143% |
5.687% |
1.570% |
0.390% |
|
0.047% |
|
0.047% |
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
2.572% |
19.122% |
|
21.694% |
|
49.201% |
18.650% |
7.392% |
2.623% |
|
0.440% |
|
0.439% |
0.001% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
0.767% |
5.167% |
|
5.934% |
|
13.816% |
32.634% |
23.018% |
15.328% |
|
9.270% |
|
8.959% |
0.311% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.155% |
1.614% |
|
1.769% |
|
7.900% |
18.753% |
25.852% |
24.149% |
|
21.577% |
|
19.913% |
1.664% |
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.029% |
0.974% |
|
1.003% |
|
4.732% |
13.646% |
24.701% |
31.104% |
|
24.814% |
|
23.343% |
1.471% |
7. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.251% |
|
0.251% |
|
2.034% |
10.040% |
17.191% |
25.398% |
|
45.086% |
|
41.407% |
3.679% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.030% |
0.199% |
1.004% |
|
98.766% |
|
5.892% |
92.874% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-21 03:33 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 05:42 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 07:50 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 09:59 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 12:08 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 14:16 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 16:25 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 18:33 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 20:42 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 22:51 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 00:59 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 03:08 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 05:16 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 07:25 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 09:34 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 11:42 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 13:51 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 16:00 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 18:08 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 20:17 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 22:25 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 00:34 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 02:43 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 04:51 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 07:00 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 09:08 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 11:17 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 13:26 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 15:34 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 17:43 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 19:51 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 22:00 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 00:09 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 02:17 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 04:26 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 06:35 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 08:43 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 10:52 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 13:00 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |