For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 12.5 | 18.78 | 1.37 | 1.22 | 81 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 11.5 | 17.04 | 1.37 | 2.09 | 17 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 10.5 | 14.98 | 1.30 | 3.58 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 9.0 | 13.91 | 1.50 | 4.56 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 22 | 16 | 10 |
| 5 | Ginkgo 2.18b | 8.5 | 13.27 | 1.52 | 5.17 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 20 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 8.0 | 12.69 | 1.35 | 5.73 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | 30 |
| 7 | Chiron S14 | 8.5 | 12.68 | 1.43 | 5.71 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 25 | 34 |
| 8 | Fritz 16.10 | 4.5 | 8.65 | 1.35 | 7.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 79.364% | 17.955% | 97.319% | 2.195% | 0.417% | 0.063% | 0.006% | ||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 18.521% | 59.814% | 78.335% | 14.867% | 4.824% | 1.461% | 0.425% | 0.088% | 0.088% | ||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.108% | 12.387% | 13.495% | 43.585% | 23.264% | 11.997% | 5.624% | 2.035% | 2.020% | 0.015% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 0.793% | 5.959% | 6.752% | 16.894% | 27.269% | 22.179% | 16.071% | 10.835% | 10.539% | 0.296% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.157% | 1.834% | 1.991% | 10.022% | 16.851% | 22.229% | 23.005% | 25.902% | 24.194% | 1.708% | |||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.042% | 1.088% | 1.130% | 5.755% | 12.461% | 21.190% | 29.041% | 30.423% | 28.697% | 1.726% | |||||
| 7. | Chiron S14 | 0.015% | 0.963% | 0.978% | 6.682% | 14.899% | 20.748% | 24.968% | 31.725% | 30.177% | 1.548% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.015% | 0.133% | 0.860% | 98.992% | 4.285% | 94.707% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – LCZero v19.1-11248 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 70.007% | 24.443% | 94.450% | 4.269% | 1.042% | 0.212% | 0.025% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 25.997% | 51.244% | 77.241% | 14.808% | 5.366% | 1.865% | 0.596% | 0.124% | 0.124% | ||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.932% | 12.041% | 13.973% | 38.025% | 24.059% | 14.262% | 7.066% | 2.615% | 2.609% | 0.006% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 1.394% | 6.146% | 7.540% | 15.389% | 24.175% | 22.756% | 17.369% | 12.771% | 12.451% | 0.320% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.546% | 4.166% | 4.712% | 16.652% | 22.404% | 23.777% | 18.772% | 13.683% | 13.214% | 0.469% | |||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.064% | 1.024% | 1.088% | 5.062% | 10.467% | 18.550% | 29.613% | 35.220% | 33.487% | 1.733% | |||||
| 7. | Chiron S14 | 0.060% | 0.936% | 0.996% | 5.795% | 12.476% | 18.483% | 25.977% | 36.273% | 34.611% | 1.662% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.011% | 0.095% | 0.582% | 99.312% | 3.502% | 95.810% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – LCZero v19.1-11248 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 78.370% | 18.897% | 97.267% | 2.304% | 0.377% | 0.049% | 0.003% | ||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 19.335% | 58.777% | 78.112% | 14.854% | 4.969% | 1.496% | 0.480% | 0.089% | 0.087% | 0.002% | |||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 1.273% | 12.342% | 13.615% | 42.799% | 23.110% | 12.434% | 5.933% | 2.109% | 2.095% | 0.014% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 0.880% | 6.250% | 7.130% | 17.182% | 26.582% | 21.809% | 15.956% | 11.341% | 11.046% | 0.295% | |||||
| 5. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.077% | 1.700% | 1.777% | 10.614% | 18.288% | 23.912% | 22.996% | 22.413% | 21.275% | 1.138% | |||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.039% | 1.057% | 1.096% | 5.608% | 12.065% | 20.371% | 29.064% | 31.796% | 29.988% | 1.808% | |||||
| 7. | Chiron S14 | 0.026% | 0.977% | 1.003% | 6.638% | 14.597% | 19.818% | 24.857% | 33.087% | 31.425% | 1.662% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.012% | 0.111% | 0.711% | 99.165% | 4.084% | 95.081% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – LCZero v19.1-11248 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 85.572% | 13.297% | 98.869% | 1.016% | 0.104% | 0.010% | 0.001% | ||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 13.279% | 66.172% | 79.451% | 14.589% | 4.408% | 1.186% | 0.317% | 0.049% | 0.049% | ||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 0.627% | 12.166% | 12.793% | 47.381% | 22.739% | 10.698% | 4.800% | 1.589% | 1.576% | 0.013% | |||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 0.488% | 5.836% | 6.324% | 17.852% | 29.477% | 21.682% | 14.960% | 9.705% | 9.424% | 0.281% | |||||
| 5. | Chiron S14 | 0.017% | 0.934% | 0.951% | 7.277% | 16.869% | 22.324% | 24.515% | 28.064% | 26.562% | 1.502% | |||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 0.014% | 0.998% | 1.012% | 6.280% | 13.783% | 23.309% | 28.924% | 26.692% | 25.136% | 1.556% | |||||
| 7. | Ginkgo 2.18b | 0.003% | 0.597% | 0.600% | 5.604% | 12.606% | 20.620% | 25.580% | 34.990% | 32.276% | 2.714% | |||||
| 8. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.001% | 0.014% | 0.171% | 0.903% | 98.911% | 4.977% | 93.934% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.14h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-21 05:30 | 75 | Laser 181205 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-21 07:39 | 76 | Fritz 16.10 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 09:47 | 77 | Fizbo 2 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-21 11:56 | 78 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-21 14:04 | 79 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-21 16:13 | 80 | Chiron S14 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-21 18:21 | 81 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-21 20:30 | 82 | Laser 181205 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-21 22:38 | 83 | Fritz 16.10 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 00:47 | 84 | Jonny 8.1 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 02:55 | 85 | Fizbo 2 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 05:03 | 86 | Jonny 8.1 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 07:12 | 87 | Fritz 16.10 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-22 09:20 | 88 | Laser 181205 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-22 11:29 | 89 | Laser 181205 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-22 13:37 | 90 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-22 15:46 | 91 | Chiron S14 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-22 17:54 | 92 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-22 20:03 | 93 | Fizbo 2 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-22 22:11 | 94 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 00:20 | 95 | Jonny 8.1 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 02:28 | 96 | Fritz 16.10 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 04:37 | 97 | Fritz 16.10 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 06:45 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 08:53 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 11:02 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 13:10 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 15:19 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 17:27 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 19:36 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 21:44 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 23:53 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-24 02:01 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 04:10 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 06:18 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 08:26 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 10:35 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 12:43 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |