For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
16.39 |
0.71 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
12.0 |
13.79 |
0.73 |
2.06 |
0 |
95 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.0 |
12.02 |
0.61 |
3.81 |
0 |
1 |
46 |
31 |
14 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.78 |
0.75 |
4.15 |
0 |
3 |
26 |
34 |
24 |
5 |
Chiron S14 |
10.0 |
11.41 |
0.75 |
4.65 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
22 |
33 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
9.5 |
10.98 |
0.73 |
5.33 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
29 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.63 |
0.71 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.145% |
0.855% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.855% |
87.311% |
|
88.166% |
|
8.523% |
2.835% |
0.469% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.916% |
|
6.916% |
|
20.866% |
32.753% |
27.264% |
12.201% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.859% |
|
3.859% |
|
46.307% |
29.228% |
13.656% |
6.950% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.553% |
|
0.553% |
|
20.416% |
24.688% |
33.055% |
21.288% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.506% |
|
0.506% |
|
3.888% |
10.496% |
25.556% |
59.554% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.525% |
2.475% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.475% |
85.048% |
|
87.523% |
|
8.762% |
3.009% |
0.682% |
0.024% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.649% |
|
6.649% |
|
17.656% |
26.718% |
35.437% |
13.540% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
4.003% |
|
4.003% |
|
38.937% |
30.481% |
18.742% |
7.837% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
1.488% |
|
1.488% |
|
32.167% |
31.809% |
26.321% |
8.215% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.337% |
|
0.337% |
|
2.478% |
7.983% |
18.818% |
70.384% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.484% |
0.516% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.516% |
87.880% |
|
88.396% |
|
8.249% |
2.857% |
0.498% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.844% |
|
6.844% |
|
20.705% |
30.991% |
28.699% |
12.761% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.796% |
|
3.796% |
|
46.674% |
27.887% |
14.366% |
7.277% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.520% |
|
0.520% |
|
3.560% |
9.425% |
23.480% |
63.015% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.444% |
|
0.444% |
|
20.812% |
28.840% |
32.957% |
16.947% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – LCZero v19.1-11248 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
|
88.438% |
|
88.438% |
|
8.462% |
2.732% |
0.368% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
7.129% |
|
7.129% |
|
22.870% |
37.450% |
21.528% |
11.023% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.839% |
|
3.839% |
|
50.820% |
28.633% |
10.386% |
6.322% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.560% |
|
0.560% |
|
5.059% |
12.559% |
30.892% |
50.930% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.034% |
|
0.034% |
|
12.789% |
18.626% |
36.826% |
31.725% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 08:28 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 10:33 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 12:39 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 14:45 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 16:50 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 18:56 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 21:02 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 23:07 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 01:13 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 03:19 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 05:24 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 07:30 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |