For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
15.79 |
0.57 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
12.0 |
13.78 |
0.73 |
2.07 |
1 |
93 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
11.0 |
12.02 |
0.61 |
3.99 |
0 |
1 |
37 |
29 |
25 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.0 |
12.00 |
0.61 |
4.04 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
34 |
21 |
5 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.79 |
0.75 |
4.35 |
0 |
3 |
21 |
28 |
33 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
9.5 |
10.99 |
0.73 |
5.54 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
21 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.63 |
0.71 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.527% |
2.473% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.473% |
85.117% |
|
87.590% |
|
8.718% |
2.942% |
0.715% |
0.035% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.532% |
|
6.532% |
|
17.524% |
26.898% |
35.455% |
13.591% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.908% |
|
3.908% |
|
38.936% |
30.393% |
18.807% |
7.956% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
1.612% |
|
1.612% |
|
32.313% |
31.693% |
26.164% |
8.218% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.358% |
|
0.358% |
|
2.509% |
8.074% |
18.859% |
70.200% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Chiron S14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.595% |
2.405% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.405% |
81.795% |
|
84.200% |
|
10.846% |
4.235% |
0.696% |
0.023% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
8.754% |
|
8.754% |
|
72.268% |
17.868% |
1.110% |
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.469% |
|
6.469% |
|
13.267% |
31.286% |
34.617% |
14.361% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.577% |
|
0.577% |
|
3.506% |
5.011% |
20.229% |
70.677% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.113% |
41.600% |
43.348% |
14.939% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Chiron S14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.461% |
2.539% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.539% |
87.605% |
|
90.144% |
|
6.663% |
2.571% |
0.558% |
0.064% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.577% |
|
6.577% |
|
18.371% |
24.862% |
35.999% |
14.191% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
1.960% |
|
1.960% |
|
39.305% |
36.947% |
18.358% |
3.430% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.874% |
|
0.874% |
|
33.319% |
27.618% |
29.051% |
9.138% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.445% |
|
0.445% |
|
2.342% |
8.002% |
16.034% |
73.177% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fizbo 2 – Chiron S14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.533% |
2.467% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.467% |
87.185% |
|
89.652% |
|
7.745% |
1.781% |
0.822% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.383% |
|
6.383% |
|
21.986% |
23.530% |
35.686% |
12.415% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
3.824% |
|
3.824% |
|
68.622% |
23.681% |
3.873% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.141% |
|
0.141% |
|
1.489% |
11.617% |
19.773% |
66.980% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.158% |
39.391% |
39.846% |
20.605% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 10:25 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 12:31 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 14:36 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 16:42 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 18:48 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 20:53 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 22:59 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 01:04 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 03:10 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 05:15 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 07:21 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |