For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
15.79 |
0.57 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
12.0 |
13.78 |
0.73 |
2.05 |
0 |
95 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
11.5 |
12.05 |
0.43 |
3.87 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
26 |
27 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.5 |
11.98 |
0.43 |
4.10 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
45 |
22 |
5 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.78 |
0.75 |
4.38 |
0 |
3 |
25 |
18 |
38 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
9.5 |
10.98 |
0.73 |
5.60 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
14 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.63 |
0.71 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.555% |
2.445% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.445% |
87.693% |
|
90.138% |
|
6.669% |
2.578% |
0.559% |
0.056% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.649% |
|
6.649% |
|
18.313% |
24.629% |
36.145% |
14.264% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
1.969% |
|
1.969% |
|
39.370% |
37.222% |
18.062% |
3.377% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.813% |
|
0.813% |
|
33.263% |
27.570% |
29.153% |
9.201% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.431% |
|
0.431% |
|
2.385% |
8.001% |
16.081% |
73.102% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.600% |
2.400% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.400% |
87.880% |
|
90.280% |
|
6.526% |
2.611% |
0.522% |
0.061% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.547% |
|
6.547% |
|
18.102% |
24.852% |
36.254% |
14.245% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
1.876% |
|
1.876% |
|
39.813% |
36.908% |
17.985% |
3.418% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.852% |
|
0.852% |
|
33.120% |
27.653% |
29.129% |
9.246% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.445% |
|
0.445% |
|
2.439% |
7.976% |
16.110% |
73.030% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.459% |
2.541% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.541% |
87.344% |
|
89.885% |
|
6.794% |
2.721% |
0.538% |
0.062% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.852% |
|
6.852% |
|
18.424% |
25.124% |
35.575% |
14.025% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
1.922% |
|
1.922% |
|
39.470% |
36.874% |
18.224% |
3.510% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.870% |
|
0.870% |
|
32.930% |
27.379% |
29.677% |
9.144% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.471% |
|
0.471% |
|
2.382% |
7.902% |
15.986% |
73.259% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.502% |
2.498% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.498% |
87.194% |
|
89.692% |
|
6.888% |
2.791% |
0.569% |
0.060% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.937% |
|
6.937% |
|
18.439% |
24.775% |
35.696% |
14.153% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
1.916% |
|
1.916% |
|
39.141% |
37.129% |
18.248% |
3.566% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.972% |
|
0.972% |
|
33.072% |
27.253% |
29.458% |
9.245% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.483% |
|
0.483% |
|
2.460% |
8.052% |
16.029% |
72.976% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 12:25 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 14:31 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 16:36 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 18:42 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 20:47 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 22:53 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 00:58 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 03:04 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 05:09 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 07:15 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |