For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
15.80 |
0.57 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
12.0 |
13.79 |
0.73 |
2.05 |
0 |
95 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
11.5 |
12.05 |
0.43 |
3.87 |
0 |
1 |
44 |
26 |
27 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.5 |
11.98 |
0.43 |
4.09 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
45 |
22 |
5 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.77 |
0.75 |
4.39 |
0 |
3 |
24 |
18 |
38 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
9.5 |
10.98 |
0.73 |
5.60 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
9 |
14 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.63 |
0.71 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.587% |
2.413% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.413% |
87.781% |
|
90.194% |
|
6.640% |
2.595% |
0.513% |
0.058% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.642% |
|
6.642% |
|
18.140% |
24.993% |
36.018% |
14.207% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
1.900% |
|
1.900% |
|
39.586% |
36.871% |
18.252% |
3.391% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.816% |
|
0.816% |
|
33.212% |
27.533% |
29.274% |
9.165% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.448% |
|
0.448% |
|
2.422% |
8.008% |
15.943% |
73.179% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Laser 181205 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
95.422% |
4.578% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.578% |
95.422% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
49.315% |
35.213% |
14.471% |
1.001% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.535% |
30.192% |
24.453% |
8.820% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.120% |
25.159% |
40.382% |
23.339% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.030% |
9.436% |
20.694% |
66.840% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
98.936% |
1.064% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
1.064% |
93.189% |
|
94.253% |
|
5.156% |
0.591% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
2.416% |
|
2.416% |
|
37.618% |
37.513% |
18.722% |
3.731% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
2.361% |
|
2.361% |
|
23.089% |
25.439% |
38.745% |
10.366% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.970% |
|
0.970% |
|
1.299% |
7.875% |
13.063% |
76.793% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
32.838% |
28.582% |
29.470% |
9.110% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Laser 181205 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
|
69.822% |
|
69.822% |
|
18.962% |
9.028% |
1.981% |
0.207% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
21.475% |
|
21.475% |
|
24.989% |
24.252% |
26.539% |
2.745% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
4.893% |
|
4.893% |
|
25.778% |
38.573% |
23.554% |
7.202% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
3.180% |
|
3.180% |
|
27.792% |
22.473% |
37.042% |
9.513% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.630% |
|
0.630% |
|
2.479% |
5.674% |
10.884% |
80.333% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 14:37 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 16:43 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 18:48 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 20:54 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 22:59 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 01:05 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 03:10 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 05:16 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 07:22 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |