For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 14.5 | 15.81 | 0.57 | 1.01 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 13.0 | 14.20 | 0.59 | 1.99 | 1 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chiron S14 | 11.5 | 12.06 | 0.43 | 3.69 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 30 | 17 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 11.5 | 11.98 | 0.43 | 3.87 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 47 | 15 |
| 5 | Laser 181205 | 10.5 | 11.35 | 0.61 | 4.97 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 9.5 | 10.98 | 0.73 | 5.47 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 22 |
| 7 | Fritz 16.10 | 6.5 | 7.62 | 0.71 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 95.446% | 4.554% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 4.554% | 95.446% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 49.096% | 35.303% | 14.587% | 1.014% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 36.801% | 30.231% | 24.186% | 8.782% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 11.085% | 24.963% | 40.386% | 23.566% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 3.018% | 9.503% | 20.841% | 66.638% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 95.501% | 4.499% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 4.499% | 95.501% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 46.943% | 31.213% | 20.424% | 1.420% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 35.420% | 31.893% | 18.578% | 14.109% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 11.541% | 23.096% | 29.556% | 35.807% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 6.096% | 13.798% | 31.442% | 48.664% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 95.421% | 4.579% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 4.579% | 95.421% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 49.974% | 37.733% | 11.558% | 0.735% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 37.687% | 29.413% | 26.917% | 5.983% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 11.010% | 25.196% | 43.744% | 20.050% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.329% | 7.658% | 17.781% | 73.232% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 95.467% | 4.533% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 4.533% | 95.467% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 51.219% | 39.973% | 8.055% | 0.753% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 38.563% | 28.712% | 29.754% | 2.971% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 10.218% | 27.075% | 55.105% | 7.602% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 4.240% | 7.086% | 88.674% | |||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-23 16:33 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 18:39 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 20:44 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 22:50 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 00:55 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 03:01 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 05:06 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 07:12 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |