For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
15.82 |
0.57 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
13.0 |
14.20 |
0.59 |
1.99 |
1 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
11.5 |
12.06 |
0.43 |
3.76 |
0 |
0 |
48 |
31 |
17 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.5 |
11.98 |
0.43 |
4.00 |
0 |
0 |
34 |
38 |
22 |
5 |
Jonny 8.1 |
10.5 |
11.40 |
0.59 |
5.07 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
18 |
32 |
6 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.35 |
0.60 |
5.17 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
13 |
29 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.20 |
0.57 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
95.525% |
4.475% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.475% |
95.525% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.081% |
31.037% |
20.495% |
1.387% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
35.275% |
31.859% |
18.814% |
14.052% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.555% |
23.300% |
29.330% |
35.815% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.089% |
13.804% |
31.361% |
48.746% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fizbo 2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
95.555% |
4.445% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.445% |
95.555% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.721% |
8.373% |
|
30.906% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
23.772% |
14.571% |
8.737% |
52.920% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.507% |
33.331% |
38.622% |
12.540% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.725% |
52.641% |
3.634% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
95.493% |
4.507% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.507% |
95.493% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.949% |
52.051% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.229% |
18.470% |
30.524% |
7.777% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.822% |
25.935% |
28.610% |
36.633% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.544% |
40.866% |
55.590% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Jonny 8.1 – Fizbo 2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
95.481% |
4.519% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.519% |
95.481% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
69.217% |
30.783% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.783% |
53.267% |
15.950% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.950% |
84.050% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 18:35 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 20:40 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 22:46 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 00:51 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 02:57 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 05:02 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 07:07 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |