For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 14.5 | 16.38 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 12.0 | 13.76 | 0.73 | 2.10 | 0 | 92 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Fizbo 2 | 10.5 | 12.03 | 0.74 | 3.87 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 32 | 17 |
| 4 | Laser 181205 | 10.0 | 11.88 | 0.88 | 4.07 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 31 | 20 |
| 5 | Chiron S14 | 10.0 | 11.41 | 0.75 | 4.66 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 23 | 37 |
| 6 | Jonny 8.1 | 9.0 | 10.91 | 0.85 | 5.30 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 26 |
| 7 | Fritz 16.10 | 6.0 | 7.62 | 0.83 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 99.210% | 0.790% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 0.790% | 82.501% | 83.291% | 12.418% | 3.758% | 0.512% | 0.021% | |||||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.369% | 9.369% | 21.689% | 29.987% | 22.664% | 16.291% | ||||||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 5.577% | 5.577% | 42.550% | 29.659% | 15.500% | 6.714% | ||||||||
| 5. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.192% | 1.192% | 5.225% | 12.047% | 24.489% | 56.811% | 0.236% | 0.236% | ||||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.571% | 0.571% | 18.118% | 24.549% | 36.835% | 19.927% | ||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.236% | 99.764% | 99.764% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Fizbo 2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 99.155% | 0.845% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 0.845% | 86.031% | 86.876% | 10.846% | 2.039% | 0.235% | 0.004% | |||||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 10.426% | 10.426% | 29.646% | 26.032% | 19.625% | 14.271% | ||||||||
| 4. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.274% | 1.274% | 7.578% | 13.685% | 24.091% | 52.780% | 0.592% | 0.592% | ||||||
| 5. | Fizbo 2 | 0.765% | 0.765% | 28.242% | 34.355% | 23.112% | 13.526% | ||||||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.659% | 0.659% | 23.688% | 23.889% | 32.937% | 18.827% | ||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.592% | 99.408% | 99.408% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 99.163% | 0.837% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 0.837% | 83.926% | 84.763% | 11.268% | 3.451% | 0.503% | 0.015% | |||||||
| 3. | Laser 181205 | 9.806% | 9.806% | 22.233% | 28.678% | 22.530% | 16.753% | ||||||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 3.681% | 3.681% | 42.418% | 31.551% | 16.470% | 5.880% | ||||||||
| 5. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.143% | 1.143% | 5.423% | 11.775% | 23.822% | 57.703% | 0.134% | 0.134% | ||||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.607% | 0.607% | 18.658% | 24.545% | 36.675% | 19.515% | ||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 0.134% | 99.866% | 99.866% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Fizbo 2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 99.212% | 0.788% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 0.788% | 78.235% | 79.023% | 14.563% | 5.551% | 0.818% | 0.045% | |||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 11.425% | 11.425% | 56.771% | 23.268% | 7.676% | 0.860% | ||||||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 7.978% | 7.978% | 13.567% | 34.483% | 26.261% | 17.711% | ||||||||
| 5. | Jonny 8.1 | 1.049% | 1.049% | 3.009% | 10.786% | 24.754% | 60.402% | ||||||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 0.525% | 0.525% | 12.090% | 25.912% | 40.491% | 20.982% | ||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-23 04:12 | 98 | Laser 181205 | Jonny 8.1 |
| 2018-12-23 06:19 | 99 | Ginkgo 2.18b | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 08:26 | 100 | Chiron S14 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-23 10:33 | 101 | Fizbo 2 | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-23 12:40 | 102 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-23 14:47 | 103 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-23 16:54 | 104 | Jonny 8.1 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-23 19:01 | 105 | Jonny 8.1 | Fizbo 2 |
| 2018-12-23 21:08 | 106 | Fritz 16.10 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
| 2018-12-23 23:14 | 107 | Laser 181205 | LCZero v19.1-11248 |
| 2018-12-24 01:21 | 108 | Ginkgo 2.18b | Chiron S14 |
| 2018-12-24 03:28 | 109 | Fizbo 2 | Ginkgo 2.18b |
| 2018-12-24 05:35 | 110 | Chiron S14 | Laser 181205 |
| 2018-12-24 07:42 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 09:49 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |