For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
16.39 |
0.71 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
12.0 |
13.76 |
0.73 |
2.08 |
0 |
92 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.0 |
12.02 |
0.60 |
3.86 |
0 |
1 |
41 |
35 |
17 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
10.0 |
11.88 |
0.88 |
4.08 |
0 |
5 |
30 |
31 |
20 |
5 |
Chiron S14 |
10.0 |
11.40 |
0.75 |
4.67 |
0 |
0 |
17 |
22 |
37 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
9.0 |
10.92 |
0.85 |
5.31 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
25 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.63 |
0.71 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.164% |
0.836% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.836% |
83.904% |
|
84.740% |
|
11.412% |
3.307% |
0.530% |
0.011% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
9.753% |
|
9.753% |
|
22.428% |
28.560% |
22.695% |
16.564% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.675% |
|
3.675% |
|
42.033% |
31.732% |
16.564% |
5.996% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
1.193% |
|
1.193% |
|
5.407% |
11.994% |
23.469% |
57.825% |
|
0.112% |
|
0.112% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.639% |
|
0.639% |
|
18.720% |
24.407% |
36.742% |
19.492% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.112% |
|
99.888% |
|
99.888% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Jonny 8.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.120% |
0.880% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.880% |
79.522% |
|
80.402% |
|
14.951% |
4.278% |
0.369% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
16.029% |
|
16.029% |
|
30.688% |
32.483% |
19.401% |
1.399% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
2.908% |
|
2.908% |
|
36.592% |
36.877% |
19.136% |
4.487% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.661% |
|
0.661% |
|
17.085% |
23.574% |
45.234% |
13.446% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.684% |
2.788% |
15.860% |
80.417% |
|
0.251% |
|
0.251% |
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.251% |
|
99.749% |
|
99.749% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Jonny 8.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.231% |
0.769% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.769% |
86.846% |
|
87.615% |
|
8.840% |
2.995% |
0.544% |
0.006% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
7.125% |
|
7.125% |
|
21.191% |
32.680% |
27.160% |
11.844% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
4.081% |
|
4.081% |
|
45.911% |
28.979% |
13.899% |
7.130% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.615% |
|
0.615% |
|
20.149% |
25.027% |
32.714% |
21.495% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.564% |
|
0.564% |
|
3.909% |
10.319% |
25.683% |
59.525% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – Jonny 8.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.163% |
0.837% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.837% |
87.961% |
|
88.798% |
|
8.250% |
2.180% |
0.728% |
0.044% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
4.728% |
|
4.728% |
|
47.463% |
26.230% |
14.860% |
6.719% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
3.729% |
|
3.729% |
|
13.952% |
27.100% |
33.652% |
21.567% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
2.264% |
|
2.264% |
|
10.257% |
19.259% |
24.240% |
43.980% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.481% |
|
0.481% |
|
20.078% |
25.231% |
26.520% |
27.690% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 06:03 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 08:10 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 10:16 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 12:23 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 14:30 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 16:37 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 18:43 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 20:50 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 22:57 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 01:03 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 03:10 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 05:17 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 07:24 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 09:30 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |