For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
16.39 |
0.72 |
1.00 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
12.0 |
13.77 |
0.73 |
2.06 |
0 |
94 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
11.0 |
12.02 |
0.61 |
3.81 |
0 |
1 |
45 |
31 |
15 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.79 |
0.75 |
4.14 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
34 |
24 |
5 |
Chiron S14 |
10.0 |
11.41 |
0.75 |
4.66 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
22 |
33 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
9.5 |
10.99 |
0.73 |
5.33 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
12 |
29 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.64 |
0.71 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.174% |
0.826% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.826% |
87.009% |
|
87.835% |
|
8.679% |
2.950% |
0.533% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
7.121% |
|
7.121% |
|
20.982% |
32.603% |
27.283% |
12.011% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.967% |
|
3.967% |
|
46.233% |
28.945% |
13.775% |
7.080% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.561% |
|
0.561% |
|
20.156% |
24.937% |
32.893% |
21.453% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.516% |
|
0.516% |
|
3.950% |
10.565% |
25.516% |
59.453% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.176% |
0.824% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.824% |
86.469% |
|
87.293% |
|
9.012% |
3.132% |
0.555% |
0.008% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
7.502% |
|
7.502% |
|
21.307% |
32.189% |
27.114% |
11.888% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
4.045% |
|
4.045% |
|
45.439% |
29.466% |
13.792% |
7.258% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.638% |
|
0.638% |
|
20.310% |
24.664% |
32.924% |
21.464% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.522% |
|
0.522% |
|
3.932% |
10.549% |
25.615% |
59.382% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.194% |
0.806% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.806% |
86.856% |
|
87.662% |
|
8.857% |
2.975% |
0.496% |
0.010% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
7.200% |
|
7.200% |
|
21.010% |
32.643% |
27.200% |
11.947% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
4.053% |
|
4.053% |
|
45.963% |
28.902% |
13.934% |
7.148% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.567% |
|
0.567% |
|
20.392% |
24.914% |
32.801% |
21.326% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.518% |
|
0.518% |
|
3.778% |
10.566% |
25.569% |
59.569% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Ginkgo 2.18b – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
99.180% |
0.820% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
0.820% |
87.252% |
|
88.072% |
|
8.609% |
2.866% |
0.445% |
0.008% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
6.940% |
|
6.940% |
|
20.917% |
32.709% |
27.394% |
12.040% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
3.928% |
|
3.928% |
|
46.352% |
29.051% |
13.796% |
6.873% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
0.564% |
|
0.564% |
|
20.405% |
24.909% |
32.861% |
21.261% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
0.496% |
|
0.496% |
|
3.717% |
10.465% |
25.504% |
59.818% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 07:37 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 09:43 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 11:50 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 13:56 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 16:02 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 18:09 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 20:15 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 22:22 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 00:28 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 02:34 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 04:41 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 06:47 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 08:53 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |